SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 14 April 2021

LAC100–98DET
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 75% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 18 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ DET winsLAC wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when DET leads and falls when LAC does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · LAC

Luke Kennard
Reggie Jackson
Terance Mann
Amir Coffey
Nicolas Batum

Kennard · Jackson · Mann · Coffey · Batum

Closing lineup · DET

Jerami Grant
Saddiq Bey
Mason Plumlee
Killian Hayes
Frank Jackson

Grant · Bey · Plumlee · Hayes · Jackson

Q1Q2Q3Q4
LAC
Luke Kennard

Luke Kennard

39′ · +2

Reggie Jackson

Reggie Jackson

37′ · +3

Ivica Zubac

Ivica Zubac

32′ · -3

Terance Mann

Terance Mann

29′ · -5

Patrick Patterson

Patrick Patterson

17′ · -9

Amir Coffey

Amir Coffey

28′ · +21

Nicolas Batum

Nicolas Batum

27′ · -1

Rajon Rondo

Rajon Rondo

17′ · 0

DeMarcus Cousins

DeMarcus Cousins

15′ · 0

DET
Jerami Grant

Jerami Grant

36′ · -4

Saddiq Bey

Saddiq Bey

35′ · -4

Cory Joseph

Cory Joseph

23′ · +9

Josh Jackson

Josh Jackson

21′ · +14

Mason Plumlee

Mason Plumlee

21′ · -5

Hamidou Diallo

Hamidou Diallo

18′ · -2

Isaiah Stewart

Isaiah Stewart

22′ · +4

Killian Hayes

Killian Hayes

25′ · -11

Wayne Ellington

Wayne Ellington

16′ · -7

Frank Jackson

Frank Jackson

18′ · -3

Jahlil Okafor

Jahlil Okafor

5′ · -1

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. LAC and DET.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

LA Clippers

  • Zubac, Kennard, Mann, Patterson, and Jackson played 12.7 minutes together.

  • Kennard, Coffey, Rondo, Batum, and Cousins played 6.6 minutes together.

  • Zubac, Kennard, Mann, Batum, and Jackson played 4.7 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each LA Clippers lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

Detroit Pistons

  • Jackson, Bey, Joseph, Plumlee, and Grant played 9.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Diallo, Hayes, Stewart, Ellington, and Grant played 6.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Jackson, Hayes, Bey, Plumlee, and Grant played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 11 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

LA Clippers

  • Zubac, Kennard, Coffey, Mann, and Jackson played 4.5 minutes together.

  • Zubac, Kennard, Coffey, Patterson, and Jackson played 3.9 minutes together.

  • Coffey, Rondo, Batum, Cousins, and Jackson played 3.6 minutes together.

  • Zubac, Kennard, Coffey, Batum, and Jackson played 3.1 minutes together.

  • Coffey, Mann, Rondo, Batum, and Cousins played 3.0 minutes together.

  • Kennard, Mann, Rondo, Batum, and Cousins played 1.4 minutes together.

  • Zubac, Mann, Rondo, Batum, and Jackson played 1.4 minutes together.

  • Zubac, Coffey, Rondo, Batum, and Jackson played 1.4 minutes together.

Detroit Pistons

  • Okafor, Jackson, Hayes, Bey, and Ellington played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Diallo, Bey, Stewart, Joseph, and Grant played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Diallo, Hayes, Bey, Stewart, and Ellington played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Diallo, Bey, Joseph, Plumlee, and Grant played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Jackson, Bey, Stewart, Joseph, and Grant played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Jackson, Jackson, Hayes, Bey, and Stewart played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Okafor, Jackson, Jackson, Bey, and Joseph played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Jackson, Hayes, Bey, Stewart, and Ellington played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Diallo, Hayes, Ellington, Plumlee, and Grant played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Jackson, Jackson, Hayes, Plumlee, and Grant played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Jackson, Jackson, Joseph, Plumlee, and Grant played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Jackson, Jackson, Stewart, Joseph, and Grant played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
750
3.7% of capacity
Little Caesars Arena · Detroit
Scoring
198
combined points
26.2 below the season average (224.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

17 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Turnover: 3 Second Violation · 01:01.0
Ivica Zubac → Pistons
Zubac (LAC) fails to fully clear the lane and is in the lane for longer than three seconds.