Win probability changed during the game. · 14 April 2021
It was more exciting than 75% of NBA games since 2017
- · The win probability swung between the two teams 18 times
- · It stayed close for almost the whole game
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when DET leads and falls when LAC does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · LAC
Kennard · Jackson · Mann · Coffey · Batum
Closing lineup · DET
Grant · Bey · Plumlee · Hayes · Jackson
Luke Kennard
39′ · +2
Reggie Jackson
37′ · +3
Ivica Zubac
32′ · -3
Terance Mann
29′ · -5
Patrick Patterson
17′ · -9
Amir Coffey
28′ · +21
Nicolas Batum
27′ · -1
Rajon Rondo
17′ · 0
DeMarcus Cousins
15′ · 0
Jerami Grant
36′ · -4
Saddiq Bey
35′ · -4
Cory Joseph
23′ · +9
Josh Jackson
21′ · +14
Mason Plumlee
21′ · -5
Hamidou Diallo
18′ · -2
Isaiah Stewart
22′ · +4
Killian Hayes
25′ · -11
Wayne Ellington
16′ · -7
Frank Jackson
18′ · -3
Jahlil Okafor
5′ · -1
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. LAC and DET.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
LA Clippers
Zubac, Kennard, Mann, Patterson, and Jackson played 12.7 minutes together.
Kennard, Coffey, Rondo, Batum, and Cousins played 6.6 minutes together.
Zubac, Kennard, Mann, Batum, and Jackson played 4.7 minutes together.
The plus-minus of each LA Clippers lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.
Detroit Pistons
Jackson, Bey, Joseph, Plumlee, and Grant played 9.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Diallo, Hayes, Stewart, Ellington, and Grant played 6.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Jackson, Hayes, Bey, Plumlee, and Grant played 4.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 11 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
LA Clippers
Zubac, Kennard, Coffey, Mann, and Jackson played 4.5 minutes together.
Zubac, Kennard, Coffey, Patterson, and Jackson played 3.9 minutes together.
Coffey, Rondo, Batum, Cousins, and Jackson played 3.6 minutes together.
Zubac, Kennard, Coffey, Batum, and Jackson played 3.1 minutes together.
Coffey, Mann, Rondo, Batum, and Cousins played 3.0 minutes together.
Kennard, Mann, Rondo, Batum, and Cousins played 1.4 minutes together.
Zubac, Mann, Rondo, Batum, and Jackson played 1.4 minutes together.
Zubac, Coffey, Rondo, Batum, and Jackson played 1.4 minutes together.
Detroit Pistons
Okafor, Jackson, Hayes, Bey, and Ellington played 3.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Diallo, Bey, Stewart, Joseph, and Grant played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Diallo, Hayes, Bey, Stewart, and Ellington played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Diallo, Bey, Joseph, Plumlee, and Grant played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Jackson, Bey, Stewart, Joseph, and Grant played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Jackson, Jackson, Hayes, Bey, and Stewart played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Okafor, Jackson, Jackson, Bey, and Joseph played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Jackson, Hayes, Bey, Stewart, and Ellington played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Diallo, Hayes, Ellington, Plumlee, and Grant played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Jackson, Jackson, Hayes, Plumlee, and Grant played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Jackson, Jackson, Joseph, Plumlee, and Grant played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Jackson, Jackson, Stewart, Joseph, and Grant played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

