SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 12 May 2021

HOU122–124LAL
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 63% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ LAL winsHOU wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when LAL leads and falls when HOU does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · HOU

KJ Martin
Kelly Olynyk
D.J. Augustin
Jae'Sean Tate
Armoni Brooks

Martin · Olynyk · Augustin · Tate · Brooks

Closing lineup · LAL

Talen Horton-Tucker
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Wesley Matthews
Kyle Kuzma
Ben McLemore

Horton-Tucker · Caldwell-Pope · Matthews · Kuzma · McLemore

Q1Q2Q3Q4
HOU
Khyri Thomas

Khyri Thomas

37′ · -1

KJ Martin

KJ Martin

37′ · -2

Kelly Olynyk

Kelly Olynyk

25′ · -5

D.J. Augustin

D.J. Augustin

24′ · -3

Jae'Sean Tate

Jae'Sean Tate

23′ · +17

Anthony Lamb

Anthony Lamb

34′ · -18

Armoni Brooks

Armoni Brooks

37′ · -1

Cameron Oliver

Cameron Oliver

23′ · +3

LAL
Talen Horton-Tucker

Talen Horton-Tucker

37′ · +2

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

31′ · +7

Wesley Matthews

Wesley Matthews

24′ · -7

Markieff Morris

Markieff Morris

23′ · +9

Andre Drummond

Andre Drummond

22′ · +9

Kyle Kuzma

Kyle Kuzma

32′ · +3

Ben McLemore

Ben McLemore

26′ · -1

Montrezl Harrell

Montrezl Harrell

26′ · -8

Alfonzo McKinnie

Alfonzo McKinnie

17′ · -1

Devontae Cacok

Devontae Cacok

4′ · -3

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. HOU and LAL.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Houston Rockets

  • Oliver, Thomas, Brooks, Martin, and Lamb played 9.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Thomas, Martin, Tate, Augustin, and Olynyk played 9.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 11 points.

  • Thomas, Brooks, Martin, Lamb, and Olynyk played 7.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

Los Angeles Lakers

  • Horton-Tucker, Matthews, Morris, Drummond, and Caldwell-Pope played 11.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Harrell, McKinnie, Kuzma, Horton-Tucker, and McLemore played 10.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Kuzma, Morris, Drummond, McLemore, and Caldwell-Pope played 5.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Houston Rockets

  • Oliver, Thomas, Brooks, Lamb, and Tate played 6.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Brooks, Martin, Lamb, Augustin, and Olynyk played 4.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Oliver, Brooks, Lamb, Tate, and Augustin played 3.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Brooks, Martin, Tate, Augustin, and Olynyk played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Thomas, Martin, Lamb, Augustin, and Olynyk played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 12 points.

  • Oliver, Thomas, Brooks, Martin, and Augustin played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

Los Angeles Lakers

  • Harrell, Kuzma, Horton-Tucker, Matthews, and Caldwell-Pope played 4.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Kuzma, Horton-Tucker, Morris, Drummond, and Caldwell-Pope played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Harrell, Kuzma, Matthews, Morris, and Caldwell-Pope played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Harrell, McKinnie, Horton-Tucker, Matthews, and McLemore played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Harrell, McKinnie, Horton-Tucker, Cacok, and McLemore played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Kuzma, Horton-Tucker, Matthews, Drummond, and Caldwell-Pope played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Harrell, Kuzma, Horton-Tucker, Cacok, and McLemore played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Harrell, McKinnie, Kuzma, Matthews, and McLemore played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Harrell, McKinnie, Kuzma, McLemore, and Caldwell-Pope played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
4087
21.5% of capacity
Crypto.com Arena · Los Angeles
Scoring
246
combined points
21.8 above the season average (224.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

24 calls reviewed3 errors admitted by the NBA
Turnover: Traveling · 00:16.4
Talen Horton-Tucker → Rockets
Horton-Tucker (LAL) moves his pivot foot after picking up his dribble in the lane.
Foul: Personal · 01:07.0
Kelly Olynyk → Kyle Kuzma
Olynyk (HOU) makes contact with the ball and the part of Kuzma's (LAL) hand that is on the ball, and dislodges it away before any incidental contact occurs.
Foul: Shooting · 01:27.4
Jae'Sean Tate → Kyle Kuzma
Kuzma (LAL) draws Tate (HOU) into the air toward him and the contact results in a foul on Tate even if contact is initiated by Kuzma.