SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 16 May 2021

PHX123–121SAS
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 74% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 18 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ SAS winsPHX wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when SAS leads and falls when PHX does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · PHX

Jevon Carter
Jalen Smith
Torrey Craig
Langston Galloway
E'Twaun Moore

Carter · Smith · Craig · Galloway · Moore

Closing lineup · SAS

Devin Vassell
Tre Jones
Drew Eubanks
Keita Bates-Diop
Quinndary Weatherspoon

Vassell · Jones · Eubanks · Bates-Diop · Weatherspoon

Q1Q2Q3Q4
PHX
Jevon Carter

Jevon Carter

43′ · +5

Jalen Smith

Jalen Smith

41′ · +5

Cameron Payne

Cameron Payne

27′ · +11

Dario Saric

Dario Saric

27′ · +13

Mikal Bridges

Mikal Bridges

5′ · +8

Torrey Craig

Torrey Craig

30′ · +8

Frank Kaminsky

Frank Kaminsky

20′ · -10

Langston Galloway

Langston Galloway

26′ · -21

E'Twaun Moore

E'Twaun Moore

21′ · -9

SAS
Jakob Poeltl

Jakob Poeltl

30′ · -7

Dejounte Murray

Dejounte Murray

30′ · -7

Lonnie Walker IV

Lonnie Walker IV

27′ · -8

DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan

25′ · -4

Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson

22′ · -4

Devin Vassell

Devin Vassell

26′ · +7

Rudy Gay

Rudy Gay

20′ · -1

Tre Jones

Tre Jones

18′ · +5

Drew Eubanks

Drew Eubanks

9′ · +9

Gorgui Dieng

Gorgui Dieng

9′ · -4

Keita Bates-Diop

Keita Bates-Diop

12′ · +2

Quinndary Weatherspoon

Quinndary Weatherspoon

12′ · +2

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. PHX and SAS.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Phoenix Suns

  • Payne, Craig, Carter, Smith, and Saric played 13.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 17 points.

  • Kaminsky, Carter, Smith, Moore, and Galloway played 6.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Payne, Bridges, Carter, Smith, and Saric played 5.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

San Antonio Spurs

  • Murray, Poeltl, Walker, Johnson, and DeRozan played 10.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Murray, Poeltl, Walker, Gay, and DeRozan played 8.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Bates-Diop, Weatherspoon, Vassell, Jones, and Dieng played 7.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Phoenix Suns

  • Kaminsky, Craig, Carter, Moore, and Galloway played 4.6 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Payne, Carter, Smith, Saric, and Galloway played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Craig, Carter, Smith, Moore, and Galloway played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Kaminsky, Payne, Craig, Carter, and Smith played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Kaminsky, Craig, Moore, Saric, and Galloway played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Kaminsky, Payne, Carter, Smith, and Galloway played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Kaminsky, Craig, Smith, Moore, and Galloway played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Craig, Smith, Moore, Saric, and Galloway played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

San Antonio Spurs

  • Bates-Diop, Eubanks, Weatherspoon, Vassell, and Jones played 5.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Murray, Poeltl, Vassell, Gay, and DeRozan played 4.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Murray, Poeltl, Walker, Johnson, and Gay played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Murray, Poeltl, Walker, Johnson, and Vassell played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Walker, Johnson, Vassell, Jones, and Dieng played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Eubanks, Johnson, Vassell, Jones, and Gay played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Eubanks, Vassell, Jones, Gay, and DeRozan played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
4738
25.8% of capacity
Frost Bank Center · San Antonio
Scoring
244
combined points
19.8 above the season average (224.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

13 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors