SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 27 October 2021

SAC110–107PHX
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 60% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ PHX winsSAC wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when PHX leads and falls when SAC does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · SAC

Harrison Barnes
De'Aaron Fox
Tyrese Haliburton
Buddy Hield
Davion Mitchell

Barnes · Fox · Haliburton · Hield · Mitchell

Closing lineup · PHX

Devin Booker
Mikal Bridges
Jae Crowder
Chris Paul
Cameron Johnson

Booker · Bridges · Crowder · Paul · Johnson

Q1Q2Q3Q4
SAC
Harrison Barnes

Harrison Barnes

39′ · +4

De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox

37′ · 0

Tyrese Haliburton

Tyrese Haliburton

35′ · -1

Richaun Holmes

Richaun Holmes

29′ · -1

Maurice Harkless

Maurice Harkless

25′ · +5

Buddy Hield

Buddy Hield

27′ · +3

Davion Mitchell

Davion Mitchell

19′ · +9

Alex Len

Alex Len

18′ · +1

Terence Davis

Terence Davis

11′ · -5

PHX
Devin Booker

Devin Booker

37′ · +4

Deandre Ayton

Deandre Ayton

34′ · +8

Mikal Bridges

Mikal Bridges

33′ · +6

Jae Crowder

Jae Crowder

32′ · +1

Chris Paul

Chris Paul

30′ · -10

Cameron Johnson

Cameron Johnson

23′ · -9

Elfrid Payton

Elfrid Payton

13′ · +2

Landry Shamet

Landry Shamet

19′ · -7

JaVale McGee

JaVale McGee

14′ · -8

Abdel Nader

Abdel Nader

5′ · -2

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. SAC and PHX.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Sacramento Kings

  • Holmes, Fox, Haliburton, Barnes, and Harkless played 10.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Fox, Davis, Haliburton, Barnes, and Len played 5.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Holmes, Hield, Davis, Haliburton, and Harkless played 4.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

Phoenix Suns

  • Paul, Booker, Bridges, Ayton, and Crowder played 19.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Paul, Shamet, Johnson, McGee, and Crowder played 6.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Booker, Bridges, Shamet, Ayton, and Johnson played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

▸See every lineup of the game

Sacramento Kings

  • Hield, Fox, Mitchell, Barnes, and Len played 4.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Fox, Haliburton, Mitchell, Barnes, and Len played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Holmes, Hield, Haliburton, Mitchell, and Harkless played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Holmes, Hield, Fox, Mitchell, and Barnes played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Holmes, Hield, Fox, Haliburton, and Barnes played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Holmes, Hield, Fox, Barnes, and Harkless played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Hield, Fox, Barnes, Harkless, and Len played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Hield, Haliburton, Mitchell, Barnes, and Len played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

Phoenix Suns

  • Booker, Shamet, Johnson, McGee, and Payton played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Shamet, Johnson, McGee, Crowder, and Payton played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Booker, Bridges, Johnson, McGee, and Payton played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Booker, Nader, Bridges, Ayton, and Payton played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Booker, Bridges, Ayton, Johnson, and Payton played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Booker, Bridges, Ayton, Crowder, and Payton played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Paul, Nader, Shamet, Ayton, and Johnson played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Booker, Bridges, Shamet, Ayton, and Crowder played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Paul, Nader, Shamet, Johnson, and McGee played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
14.678
86% of capacity
Mortgage Matchup Center · Phoenix
Scoring
217
combined points
4.2 below the season average (221.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

14 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Personal · 00:01.4
Devin Booker → Buddy Hield
During the inbound, Booker (PHX) grabs and pulls Hield's (SAC) jersey away from his body and affects his FOM.
Turnover: Double Dribble · 01:29
Devin Booker → Harrison Barnes
Booker (PHX) brings two hands to the ball to stop his dribble at the three point line and then restarts his dribble on the drive to the basket.