SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 13 November 2021

BOS89–91CLE
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 63% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 23 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ CLE winsBOS wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CLE leads and falls when BOS does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · BOS

Dennis Schroder
Jayson Tatum
Robert Williams III
Marcus Smart
Romeo Langford

Schroder · Tatum · Williams · Smart · Langford

Closing lineup · CLE

Evan Mobley
Jarrett Allen
Cedi Osman
Ricky Rubio
Denzel Valentine

Mobley · Allen · Osman · Rubio · Valentine

Q1Q2Q3Q4
BOS
Dennis Schroder

Dennis Schroder

35′ · -3

Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum

35′ · +12

Robert Williams III

Robert Williams III

34′ · +13

Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart

34′ · +12

Grant Williams

Grant Williams

27′ · -16

Romeo Langford

Romeo Langford

29′ · -7

Payton Pritchard

Payton Pritchard

15′ · -7

Jabari Parker

Jabari Parker

14′ · -17

Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith

11′ · -6

Juancho Hernangomez

Juancho Hernangomez

5′ · +9

CLE
Evan Mobley

Evan Mobley

40′ · +16

Darius Garland

Darius Garland

36′ · -4

Jarrett Allen

Jarrett Allen

28′ · -14

Dean Wade

Dean Wade

22′ · -13

Isaac Okoro

Isaac Okoro

18′ · -7

Cedi Osman

Cedi Osman

29′ · +2

Ricky Rubio

Ricky Rubio

33′ · +13

Dylan Windler

Dylan Windler

12′ · +8

Denzel Valentine

Denzel Valentine

23′ · +9

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BOS and CLE.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Boston Celtics

  • Tatum, Williams, Langford, Schroder, and Smart played 13.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Tatum, Williams, Williams, Schroder, and Smart played 13.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Langford, Williams, Nesmith, Pritchard, and Parker played 10.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Allen, Garland, Wade, Okoro, and Mobley played 11.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Osman, Valentine, Windler, Mobley, and Rubio played 10.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 10 points.

  • Osman, Valentine, Garland, Mobley, and Rubio played 7.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Boston Celtics

  • Hernangomez, Tatum, Williams, Schroder, and Smart played 4.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Tatum, Williams, Langford, Pritchard, and Smart played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Langford, Williams, Pritchard, Schroder, and Parker played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Tatum, Williams, Nesmith, Schroder, and Parker played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Osman, Valentine, Allen, Garland, and Rubio played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Allen, Garland, Wade, Mobley, and Rubio played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Osman, Allen, Garland, Mobley, and Rubio played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Osman, Allen, Garland, Wade, and Okoro played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Osman, Allen, Garland, Wade, and Mobley played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Allen, Garland, Wade, Okoro, and Rubio played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Valentine, Garland, Okoro, Mobley, and Rubio played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Allen, Garland, Okoro, Mobley, and Rubio played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
19.432
100% of capacity
Rocket Arena · Cleveland
Scoring
180
combined points
41.2 below the season average (221.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

21 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Shooting · 01:17.1
Evan Mobley → Jayson Tatum
Mobley (CLE) makes contact with Tatum's (BOS) arm, which affects his jump shot attempt.