SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 22 November 2021

MEM119–118UTA
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 82% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ UTA winsMEM wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when UTA leads and falls when MEM does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · MEM

Ja Morant
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Desmond Bane
Ziaire Williams
Brandon Clarke

Morant · Jackson · Bane · Williams · Clarke

Closing lineup · UTA

Donovan Mitchell
Rudy Gobert
Bojan Bogdanovic
Mike Conley
Joe Ingles

Mitchell · Gobert · Bogdanovic · Conley · Ingles

Q1Q2Q3Q4
MEM
Ja Morant

Ja Morant

37′ · +1

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

34′ · -2

Desmond Bane

Desmond Bane

34′ · +15

Steven Adams

Steven Adams

24′ · +4

Kyle Anderson

Kyle Anderson

23′ · +2

Ziaire Williams

Ziaire Williams

29′ · -8

Brandon Clarke

Brandon Clarke

26′ · -1

John Konchar

John Konchar

21′ · -6

Tyus Jones

Tyus Jones

11′ · 0

UTA
Donovan Mitchell

Donovan Mitchell

36′ · -11

Rudy Gobert

Rudy Gobert

33′ · +10

Bojan Bogdanovic

Bojan Bogdanovic

30′ · -4

Mike Conley

Mike Conley

30′ · +13

Royce O'Neale

Royce O'Neale

30′ · -4

Joe Ingles

Joe Ingles

24′ · -6

Hassan Whiteside

Hassan Whiteside

15′ · -11

Jordan Clarkson

Jordan Clarkson

23′ · +7

Rudy Gay

Rudy Gay

18′ · +3

Trent Forrest

Trent Forrest

2′ · -2

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. MEM and UTA.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Jackson, Morant, Bane, Adams, and Anderson played 10.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Morant, Clarke, Bane, Williams, and Adams played 8.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Jackson, Morant, Clarke, Bane, and Williams played 7.5 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Utah Jazz

  • O'Neale, Mitchell, Conley, Bogdanovic, and Gobert played 19.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Gay, Conley, Gobert, Clarkson, and Ingles played 10.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 12 points.

  • O'Neale, Mitchell, Whiteside, Bogdanovic, and Ingles played 5.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Jones, Jackson, Konchar, Bane, and Anderson played 5.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Morant, Clarke, Konchar, Williams, and Adams played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Jones, Jackson, Konchar, Williams, and Anderson played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Jones, Jackson, Clarke, Konchar, and Williams played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Jackson, Morant, Konchar, Williams, and Anderson played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Morant, Clarke, Konchar, Bane, and Adams played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Jackson, Morant, Clarke, Williams, and Anderson played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Utah Jazz

  • Mitchell, Gay, Whiteside, Clarkson, and Ingles played 4.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • O'Neale, Mitchell, Whiteside, Bogdanovic, and Clarkson played 4.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Forrest, Gay, Gobert, Clarkson, and Ingles played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Mitchell, Gay, Gobert, Clarkson, and Ingles played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
18.306
100% of capacity
Delta Center · Salt Lake City
Scoring
237
combined points
15.8 above the season average (221.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

24 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Loose Ball · 00:00.6
Jaren Jackson Jr. → Rudy Gobert
Jackson Jr. (MEM) wraps his arm around Gobert's (UTA) back while also grabbing his arm, which restricts Gobert's ability to pursue the rebound.
Turnover: Traveling · 01:20.0
Ja Morant → Jazz
Morant (MEM) slides his pivot foot to create space from the defensive pressure.