SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 26 November 2021

NOP98–97UTA
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 65% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ UTA winsNOP wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when UTA leads and falls when NOP does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · NOP

Brandon Ingram
Josh Hart
Jonas Valanciunas
Devonte' Graham
Garrett Temple

Ingram · Hart · Valanciunas · Graham · Temple

Closing lineup · UTA

Rudy Gobert
Donovan Mitchell
Royce O'Neale
Mike Conley
Bojan Bogdanovic

Gobert · Mitchell · O'Neale · Conley · Bogdanovic

Q1Q2Q3Q4
NOP
Brandon Ingram

Brandon Ingram

38′ · -3

Josh Hart

Josh Hart

37′ · 0

Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones

35′ · -2

Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas

29′ · -9

Devonte' Graham

Devonte' Graham

29′ · -1

Willy Hernangomez

Willy Hernangomez

19′ · +10

Garrett Temple

Garrett Temple

11′ · +2

Kira Lewis Jr.

Kira Lewis Jr.

10′ · 0

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

24′ · +6

Tomas Satoransky

Tomas Satoransky

9′ · +2

UTA
Rudy Gobert

Rudy Gobert

37′ · -6

Donovan Mitchell

Donovan Mitchell

34′ · 0

Royce O'Neale

Royce O'Neale

32′ · 0

Mike Conley

Mike Conley

31′ · -11

Bojan Bogdanovic

Bojan Bogdanovic

31′ · +2

Joe Ingles

Joe Ingles

23′ · +7

Hassan Whiteside

Hassan Whiteside

11′ · +5

Jordan Clarkson

Jordan Clarkson

22′ · -9

Rudy Gay

Rudy Gay

16′ · -1

Trent Forrest

Trent Forrest

3′ · +8

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. NOP and UTA.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Ingram, Hart, Graham, Jones, and Valanciunas played 22.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Hernangomez, Ingram, Hart, Alexander-Walker, and Satoransky played 6.9 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Hernangomez, Ingram, Alexander-Walker, Lewis, and Temple played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

Utah Jazz

  • O'Neale, Mitchell, Conley, Bogdanovic, and Gobert played 19.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Gay, Conley, Gobert, Clarkson, and Ingles played 11.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.

  • O'Neale, Mitchell, Whiteside, Bogdanovic, and Ingles played 5.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Hernangomez, Alexander-Walker, Lewis, Jones, and Temple played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Hart, Graham, Alexander-Walker, Jones, and Valanciunas played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Alexander-Walker, Lewis, Jones, Temple, and Valanciunas played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Hernangomez, Ingram, Alexander-Walker, Temple, and Satoransky played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Ingram, Graham, Alexander-Walker, Jones, and Valanciunas played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Hernangomez, Hart, Graham, Alexander-Walker, and Jones played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Hernangomez, Ingram, Hart, Graham, and Jones played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Hernangomez, Hart, Lewis, Jones, and Temple played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Utah Jazz

  • O'Neale, Mitchell, Whiteside, Bogdanovic, and Clarkson played 3.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Forrest, Gay, Gobert, Clarkson, and Ingles played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • O'Neale, Mitchell, Bogdanovic, Gobert, and Clarkson played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Mitchell, Gay, Gobert, Clarkson, and Ingles played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
18.306
100% of capacity
Delta Center · Salt Lake City
Scoring
195
combined points
26.2 below the season average (221.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

22 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Shooting · 00:10.5
Herbert Jones → Donovan Mitchell
Jones (NOP) makes contact with Mitchell's (UTA) arm that affects his driving shot attempt.