Win probability changed during the game. · 27 November 2021
It was more exciting than 99% of NBA games since 2017
- · It was still open in the final minutes
- · The win probability swung between the two teams 46 times
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when PHI leads and falls when MIN does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · MIN
Edwards · Prince · Bolmaro · Beasley · Reid
Closing lineup · PHI
Curry · Harris · Embiid · Maxey · Niang
Anthony Edwards
48′ · +8
D'Angelo Russell
44′ · +1
Karl-Anthony Towns
37′ · -2
Jarred Vanderbilt
36′ · +5
Taurean Prince
31′ · -6
Leandro Bolmaro
17′ · +4
Malik Beasley
24′ · -4
Jaden McDaniels
32′ · -4
Naz Reid
21′ · +3
Seth Curry
46′ · -5
Tobias Harris
45′ · 0
Joel Embiid
45′ · +11
Tyrese Maxey
44′ · +7
Matisse Thybulle
29′ · -12
Danny Green
22′ · +11
Andre Drummond
13′ · -10
Georges Niang
22′ · +1
Furkan Korkmaz
17′ · -9
Isaiah Joe
6′ · +1
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. MIN and PHI.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Minnesota Timberwolves
Russell, Towns, Prince, Vanderbilt, and Edwards played 11.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Russell, Prince, Vanderbilt, Reid, and Edwards played 7.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.
Towns, Beasley, Edwards, McDaniels, and Bolmaro played 6.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Philadelphia 76ers
Thybulle, Maxey, Harris, Curry, and Embiid played 23.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.
Maxey, Green, Harris, Curry, and Embiid played 7.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 9 points.
Niang, Korkmaz, Joe, Green, and Drummond played 5.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
▸See every lineup of the game
Minnesota Timberwolves
Russell, Towns, Vanderbilt, Edwards, and McDaniels played 5.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Russell, Beasley, Prince, Vanderbilt, and Reid played 4.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Russell, Beasley, Prince, Reid, and McDaniels played 4.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Russell, Towns, Beasley, Edwards, and McDaniels played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Towns, Vanderbilt, Edwards, McDaniels, and Bolmaro played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Russell, Vanderbilt, Reid, Edwards, and McDaniels played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Russell, Towns, Edwards, McDaniels, and Bolmaro played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Towns, Beasley, Vanderbilt, Edwards, and Bolmaro played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Russell, Towns, Beasley, McDaniels, and Bolmaro played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Russell, Towns, Prince, Edwards, and McDaniels played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Philadelphia 76ers
Niang, Maxey, Harris, Curry, and Embiid played 4.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Niang, Korkmaz, Maxey, Green, and Embiid played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Niang, Thybulle, Harris, Curry, and Embiid played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Korkmaz, Thybulle, Harris, Curry, and Embiid played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Niang, Korkmaz, Green, Drummond, and Curry played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Niang, Maxey, Green, Curry, and Embiid played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Niang, Korkmaz, Harris, Drummond, and Curry played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Maxey, Green, Harris, Drummond, and Curry played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Niang, Korkmaz, Joe, Harris, and Drummond played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

