SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 27 November 2021

MIN121–120PHI
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 99% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 46 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ PHI winsMIN wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when PHI leads and falls when MIN does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · MIN

Anthony Edwards
Taurean Prince
Leandro Bolmaro
Malik Beasley
Naz Reid

Edwards · Prince · Bolmaro · Beasley · Reid

Closing lineup · PHI

Seth Curry
Tobias Harris
Joel Embiid
Tyrese Maxey
Georges Niang

Curry · Harris · Embiid · Maxey · Niang

Q1Q2Q3Q4OT1OT2
MIN
Anthony Edwards

Anthony Edwards

48′ · +8

D'Angelo Russell

D'Angelo Russell

44′ · +1

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns

37′ · -2

Jarred Vanderbilt

Jarred Vanderbilt

36′ · +5

Taurean Prince

Taurean Prince

31′ · -6

Leandro Bolmaro

Leandro Bolmaro

17′ · +4

Malik Beasley

Malik Beasley

24′ · -4

Jaden McDaniels

Jaden McDaniels

32′ · -4

Naz Reid

Naz Reid

21′ · +3

PHI
Seth Curry

Seth Curry

46′ · -5

Tobias Harris

Tobias Harris

45′ · 0

Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid

45′ · +11

Tyrese Maxey

Tyrese Maxey

44′ · +7

Matisse Thybulle

Matisse Thybulle

29′ · -12

Danny Green

Danny Green

22′ · +11

Andre Drummond

Andre Drummond

13′ · -10

Georges Niang

Georges Niang

22′ · +1

Furkan Korkmaz

Furkan Korkmaz

17′ · -9

Isaiah Joe

Isaiah Joe

6′ · +1

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. MIN and PHI.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Russell, Towns, Prince, Vanderbilt, and Edwards played 11.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Russell, Prince, Vanderbilt, Reid, and Edwards played 7.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.

  • Towns, Beasley, Edwards, McDaniels, and Bolmaro played 6.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Thybulle, Maxey, Harris, Curry, and Embiid played 23.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.

  • Maxey, Green, Harris, Curry, and Embiid played 7.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Niang, Korkmaz, Joe, Green, and Drummond played 5.2 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

▸See every lineup of the game

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Russell, Towns, Vanderbilt, Edwards, and McDaniels played 5.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Russell, Beasley, Prince, Vanderbilt, and Reid played 4.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Russell, Beasley, Prince, Reid, and McDaniels played 4.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Russell, Towns, Beasley, Edwards, and McDaniels played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Towns, Vanderbilt, Edwards, McDaniels, and Bolmaro played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Russell, Vanderbilt, Reid, Edwards, and McDaniels played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Russell, Towns, Edwards, McDaniels, and Bolmaro played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Towns, Beasley, Vanderbilt, Edwards, and Bolmaro played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Russell, Towns, Beasley, McDaniels, and Bolmaro played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Russell, Towns, Prince, Edwards, and McDaniels played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Niang, Maxey, Harris, Curry, and Embiid played 4.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Niang, Korkmaz, Maxey, Green, and Embiid played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Niang, Thybulle, Harris, Curry, and Embiid played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Korkmaz, Thybulle, Harris, Curry, and Embiid played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Niang, Korkmaz, Green, Drummond, and Curry played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Niang, Maxey, Green, Curry, and Embiid played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Niang, Korkmaz, Harris, Drummond, and Curry played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Maxey, Green, Harris, Drummond, and Curry played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Niang, Korkmaz, Joe, Harris, and Drummond played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
21.011
105% of capacity
Xfinity Mobile Arena · Philadelphia
Scoring
241
combined points
19.8 above the season average (221.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

66 calls reviewed5 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Offensive · 00:04.8
Seth Curry → Naz Reid
Curry (PHI) extends as he re-establishes in Reid's (MIN) path and initiates contact with Reid that affects his ability to defend.
Foul: Shooting · 00:06.0
Joel Embiid → Taurean Prince
Embiid (PHI) brings his right arm down and initiates contact across Prince's (MIN) right arm, which affects his driving shot attempt.
Foul: Loose Ball · 00:43.5
Naz Reid → Joel Embiid
Reid (MIN) faces Embiid (PHI) up and holds Embiid's left arm, affecting Embiid's ability to retrieve and back-tap the rebound.
Turnover: Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turn · 01:38.9
Jarred Vanderbilt → 76ers
Embiid's (PHI) right hand touches the ball last before it goes out of bounds.