SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 30 November 2021

NYK110–112BKN
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 88% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 26 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ BKN winsNYK wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when BKN leads and falls when NYK does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · NYK

Julius Randle
Alec Burks
Evan Fournier
Derrick Rose
Immanuel Quickley

Randle · Burks · Fournier · Rose · Quickley

Closing lineup · BKN

Kevin Durant
James Harden
DeAndre' Bembry
Bruce Brown
James Johnson

Durant · Harden · Bembry · Brown · Johnson

Q1Q2Q3Q4
NYK
Julius Randle

Julius Randle

40′ · -8

Alec Burks

Alec Burks

39′ · -11

Mitchell Robinson

Mitchell Robinson

25′ · -10

Evan Fournier

Evan Fournier

22′ · -3

RJ Barrett

RJ Barrett

9′ · +2

Derrick Rose

Derrick Rose

35′ · +11

Nerlens Noel

Nerlens Noel

19′ · +8

Immanuel Quickley

Immanuel Quickley

38′ · +9

Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin

12′ · +4

Quentin Grimes

Quentin Grimes

3′ · -12

BKN
Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant

41′ · +10

James Harden

James Harden

40′ · +6

LaMarcus Aldridge

LaMarcus Aldridge

32′ · +11

DeAndre' Bembry

DeAndre' Bembry

30′ · -1

Patty Mills

Patty Mills

28′ · +10

Cam Thomas

Cam Thomas

21′ · -9

Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown

13′ · -1

Paul Millsap

Paul Millsap

15′ · -7

James Johnson

James Johnson

18′ · -6

Jevon Carter

Jevon Carter

3′ · -3

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. NYK and BKN.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

New York Knicks

  • Robinson, Quickley, Rose, Burks, and Randle played 8.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Quickley, Rose, Burks, Noel, and Randle played 7.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Robinson, Quickley, Burks, Fournier, and Randle played 6.4 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Brooklyn Nets

  • Bembry, Aldridge, Durant, Harden, and Mills played 10.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 14 points.

  • Bembry, Thomas, Aldridge, Durant, and Harden played 6.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Brown, Thomas, Millsap, Durant, and Mills played 5.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

▸See every lineup of the game

New York Knicks

  • Robinson, Barrett, Burks, Fournier, and Randle played 4.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Barrett, Toppin, Quickley, Rose, and Noel played 4.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Quickley, Rose, Fournier, Noel, and Randle played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Toppin, Quickley, Rose, Burks, and Randle played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Robinson, Rose, Burks, Fournier, and Randle played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Robinson, Grimes, Burks, Fournier, and Randle played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 12 points.

  • Toppin, Quickley, Rose, Burks, and Noel played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

Brooklyn Nets

  • Bembry, Aldridge, Durant, Harden, and Johnson played 4.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Brown, Thomas, Aldridge, Durant, and Harden played 4.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Aldridge, Durant, Harden, Johnson, and Mills played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Bembry, Millsap, Durant, Harden, and Johnson played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Brown, Millsap, Harden, Johnson, and Mills played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Bembry, Thomas, Aldridge, Durant, and Mills played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Carter, Millsap, Harden, Johnson, and Mills played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Bembry, Millsap, Harden, Johnson, and Mills played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
18.081
102% of capacity
Barclays Center · Brooklyn
Scoring
222
combined points
0.8 above the season average (221.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

31 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA
Turnover: 3 Second Violation · 00:02.7
LaMarcus Aldridge → Knicks
Aldridge (BKN) is in the lane for longer than three seconds.
Foul: Shooting · 01:49.3
James Harden → Julius Randle
Harden (BKN) makes contact to Randle's (NYK) arm and affects his shot attempt.