Win probability changed during the game. · 30 November 2021
It was more exciting than 88% of NBA games since 2017
- · It was still open in the final minutes
- · The win probability swung between the two teams 26 times
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when BKN leads and falls when NYK does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · NYK
Randle · Burks · Fournier · Rose · Quickley
Closing lineup · BKN
Durant · Harden · Bembry · Brown · Johnson
Julius Randle
40′ · -8
Alec Burks
39′ · -11
Mitchell Robinson
25′ · -10
Evan Fournier
22′ · -3
RJ Barrett
9′ · +2
Derrick Rose
35′ · +11
Nerlens Noel
19′ · +8
Immanuel Quickley
38′ · +9
Obi Toppin
12′ · +4
Quentin Grimes
3′ · -12
Kevin Durant
41′ · +10
James Harden
40′ · +6
LaMarcus Aldridge
32′ · +11
DeAndre' Bembry
30′ · -1
Patty Mills
28′ · +10
Cam Thomas
21′ · -9
Bruce Brown
13′ · -1
Paul Millsap
15′ · -7
James Johnson
18′ · -6
Jevon Carter
3′ · -3
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. NYK and BKN.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
New York Knicks
Robinson, Quickley, Rose, Burks, and Randle played 8.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Quickley, Rose, Burks, Noel, and Randle played 7.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Robinson, Quickley, Burks, Fournier, and Randle played 6.4 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Brooklyn Nets
Bembry, Aldridge, Durant, Harden, and Mills played 10.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 14 points.
Bembry, Thomas, Aldridge, Durant, and Harden played 6.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Brown, Thomas, Millsap, Durant, and Mills played 5.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
▸See every lineup of the game
New York Knicks
Robinson, Barrett, Burks, Fournier, and Randle played 4.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Barrett, Toppin, Quickley, Rose, and Noel played 4.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Quickley, Rose, Fournier, Noel, and Randle played 3.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Toppin, Quickley, Rose, Burks, and Randle played 3.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Robinson, Rose, Burks, Fournier, and Randle played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Robinson, Grimes, Burks, Fournier, and Randle played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 12 points.
Toppin, Quickley, Rose, Burks, and Noel played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Brooklyn Nets
Bembry, Aldridge, Durant, Harden, and Johnson played 4.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Brown, Thomas, Aldridge, Durant, and Harden played 4.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Aldridge, Durant, Harden, Johnson, and Mills played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Bembry, Millsap, Durant, Harden, and Johnson played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Brown, Millsap, Harden, Johnson, and Mills played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Bembry, Thomas, Aldridge, Durant, and Mills played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Carter, Millsap, Harden, Johnson, and Mills played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Bembry, Millsap, Harden, Johnson, and Mills played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

