Oklahoma City Thunder – Toronto Raptors · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 8 December 2021

OKC110–109TOR

Is it worth watching?

Recommended

It was more exciting than 56% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ TOR winsOKC wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when TOR leads and falls when OKC does.

This is how the game was decided.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander decided it, the Oklahoma City Thunder player with the most points (26, with 2 rebounds and 9 assists; -3 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Tre Mann's (+10). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Toronto Raptors 109-110 Oklahoma City Thunder (December 8, 2021) was hit by Mike Muscala: a three-pointer with 9.4 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Oklahoma City Thunder up 110-109. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Toronto Raptors 109-110 Oklahoma City Thunder (December 8, 2021) was a 14-0 run by the Oklahoma City Thunder between the third quarter and the fourth quarter, from 75-76 to 89-76. The Toronto Raptors' best was a 8-0 run in the first quarter (from 5:57 to 4:25), from 15-17 to 23-17.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Mike Muscala makes 27-foot three point jumper (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists).

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Mike Muscala decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 9.4 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 2 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Muscala decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

8 December 2021 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401360195:621; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · OKC

Dort · Gilgeous-Alexander · Bazley · Robinson-Earl · Williams

Closing lineup · TOR

Barnes · Trent · VanVleet · Siakam · Champagnie

Q1Q2Q3Q4

OKC

Luguentz Dort

38′ · -3

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

37′ · -3

Darius Bazley

32′ · -8

Josh Giddey

31′ · +6

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl

18′ · +5

Paul Watson

3′ · -5

Tre Mann

18′ · +10

Derrick Favors

17′ · +10

Kenrich Williams

21′ · +4

Aleksej Pokusevski

10′ · +4

Mike Muscala

15′ · -15

TOR

Scottie Barnes

39′ · -8

Gary Trent Jr.

39′ · +8

Fred VanVleet

39′ · +2

Pascal Siakam

38′ · +8

Chris Boucher

22′ · -2

Yuta Watanabe

19′ · -2

Isaac Bonga

14′ · -9

Svi Mykhailiuk

7′ · -1

Dalano Banton

11′ · -11

Justin Champagnie

12′ · +10

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. OKC and TOR.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Gilgeous-Alexander, Bazley, Dort, Robinson-Earl, and Giddey played 14.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 10 points.
Williams, Pokusevski, Mann, Giddey, and Favors played 8.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Gilgeous-Alexander, Williams, Bazley, Dort, and Muscala played 5.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

Toronto Raptors

Siakam, VanVleet, Boucher, Trent, and Barnes played 15.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 11 points.
Siakam, VanVleet, Trent, Champagnie, and Barnes played 8.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 12 points.
Siakam, VanVleet, Boucher, Trent, and Watanabe played 4.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Oklahoma City Thunder

Gilgeous-Alexander, Bazley, Dort, Giddey, and Muscala played 4.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Gilgeous-Alexander, Williams, Dort, Mann, and Favors played 4.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Gilgeous-Alexander, Bazley, Dort, Robinson-Earl, and Muscala played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Gilgeous-Alexander, Bazley, Dort, Mann, and Favors played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Williams, Bazley, Pokusevski, Giddey, and Muscala played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Watson, Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Mann, and Favors played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Watson, Gilgeous-Alexander, Bazley, Dort, and Robinson-Earl played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Williams, Dort, Mann, Giddey, and Muscala played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.

Toronto Raptors

Siakam, VanVleet, Trent, Bonga, and Watanabe played 4.5 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Siakam, Mykhailiuk, Champagnie, Barnes, and Banton played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
VanVleet, Mykhailiuk, Bonga, Watanabe, and Barnes played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
VanVleet, Bonga, Watanabe, Barnes, and Banton played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
VanVleet, Trent, Bonga, Watanabe, and Barnes played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Siakam, Boucher, Trent, Barnes, and Banton played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Trent, Bonga, Watanabe, Barnes, and Banton played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Mykhailiuk, Bonga, Watanabe, Barnes, and Banton played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Fred VanVleet covered 4.86 km, more than anyone in the game.

Fred VanVleet touched the ball 94 times, a game high.
Fred VanVleet made 69 passes, a game high.
Josh Giddey had 17 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Luguentz Dort	4.46	6.6	44	22
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	4.17	6.4	73	44
Darius Bazley	3.91	6.8	37	29
Josh Giddey	3.77	6.9	80	59
Kenrich Williams	2.51	6.7	37	31
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	2.22	7.0	25	21
Tre Mann	2.14	6.9	26	16
Derrick Favors	1.93	6.5	31	25
Mike Muscala	1.91	7.0	26	19
Aleksej Pokusevski	1.17	6.9	20	16
Paul Watson	0.39	7.7	3	1

Toronto Raptors

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Fred VanVleet	4.86	7.0	94	69
Scottie Barnes	4.79	7.0	72	52
Gary Trent Jr.	4.54	6.6	44	26
Pascal Siakam	4.39	6.5	63	41
Chris Boucher	2.75	7.1	35

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2021-22 regular season, not this game.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Josh Giddey recovered 1.1 loose balls per game over his 54 games.
He ranks 13 of 386 in the league.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander deflected 2.7 passes per game over his 56 games.
He ranks 19 of 386 in the league.
Kenrich Williams drew 0.18 charges per game over his 49 games.
He ranks 20 of 386 in the league.

Toronto Raptors

Fred VanVleet deflected 3.9 passes per game over his 65 games.
He ranks 2 of 386 in the league.
Pascal Siakam recovered 1.1 loose balls per game over his 68 games.
He ranks 4 of 386 in the league.
Gary Trent Jr. deflected 3.4 passes per game over his 70 games.
He ranks 4 of 386 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Toronto Raptors have won 13 of their 35 games against the Oklahoma City Thunder.

13-22record of the Toronto Raptors · NBA 2008-09 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

1-1in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 2008-09 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

19.800

100% of capacity

Scotiabank Arena · Toronto

Scoring

219

combined points

2.2 below the season average (221.2)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

23 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors