SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 10 December 2021

SAC123–124CHA
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 94% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 22 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ CHA winsSAC wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHA leads and falls when SAC does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · SAC

De'Aaron Fox
Terence Davis
Buddy Hield
Davion Mitchell
Marvin Bagley III

Fox · Davis · Hield · Mitchell · Bagley

Closing lineup · CHA

Cody Martin
Gordon Hayward
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Miles Bridges
James Bouknight

Martin · Hayward · Oubre · Bridges · Bouknight

Q1Q2Q3Q4
SAC
Tyrese Haliburton

Tyrese Haliburton

36′ · +9

De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox

34′ · -10

Harrison Barnes

Harrison Barnes

26′ · -8

Terence Davis

Terence Davis

22′ · +4

Alex Len

Alex Len

13′ · +5

Buddy Hield

Buddy Hield

31′ · -2

Tristan Thompson

Tristan Thompson

21′ · -5

Davion Mitchell

Davion Mitchell

26′ · -1

Marvin Bagley III

Marvin Bagley III

27′ · +6

Maurice Harkless

Maurice Harkless

3′ · -3

CHA
Cody Martin

Cody Martin

43′ · -3

Gordon Hayward

Gordon Hayward

42′ · +1

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Kelly Oubre Jr.

41′ · +1

Miles Bridges

Miles Bridges

40′ · +12

Vernon Carey Jr.

Vernon Carey Jr.

11′ · -18

JT Thor

JT Thor

28′ · +9

James Bouknight

James Bouknight

26′ · +4

Arnoldas Kulboka

Arnoldas Kulboka

3′ · -8

Kai Jones

Kai Jones

6′ · +7

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. SAC and CHA.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Sacramento Kings

  • Hield, Bagley, Haliburton, Mitchell, and Thompson played 13.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Fox, Davis, Haliburton, Barnes, and Len played 12.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Hield, Fox, Bagley, Davis, and Haliburton played 4.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

Charlotte Hornets

  • Oubre, Bridges, Martin, Thor, and Hayward played 15.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Oubre, Bridges, Martin, Carey, and Hayward played 6.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 11 points.

  • Oubre, Bridges, Martin, Bouknight, and Hayward played 4.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Sacramento Kings

  • Hield, Fox, Bagley, Mitchell, and Barnes played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Hield, Fox, Bagley, Mitchell, and Thompson played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Hield, Fox, Mitchell, Thompson, and Barnes played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Hield, Fox, Bagley, Haliburton, and Barnes played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Fox, Davis, Mitchell, Barnes, and Harkless played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Fox, Davis, Mitchell, Thompson, and Barnes played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

Charlotte Hornets

  • Bridges, Martin, Bouknight, Thor, and Hayward played 3.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Oubre, Bridges, Martin, Bouknight, and Thor played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Oubre, Bridges, Martin, Jones, and Bouknight played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Oubre, Martin, Bouknight, Thor, and Hayward played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Martin, Kulboka, Carey, Bouknight, and Hayward played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Oubre, Bridges, Jones, Bouknight, and Hayward played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Oubre, Carey, Bouknight, Thor, and Hayward played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
16.335
85.6% of capacity
Spectrum Center · Charlotte
Scoring
247
combined points
25.8 above the season average (221.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

12 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors