SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 11 December 2021

ORL104–106LAC
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 80% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ LAC winsORL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when LAC leads and falls when ORL does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · ORL

Franz Wagner
Gary Harris
Cole Anthony
Wendell Carter Jr.
Terrence Ross

Wagner · Harris · Anthony · Carter · Ross

Closing lineup · LAC

Terance Mann
Reggie Jackson
Marcus Morris Sr.
Eric Bledsoe
Justise Winslow

Mann · Jackson · Morris · Bledsoe · Winslow

Q1Q2Q3Q4
ORL
Franz Wagner

Franz Wagner

34′ · +3

Gary Harris

Gary Harris

34′ · +2

Cole Anthony

Cole Anthony

34′ · +2

Wendell Carter Jr.

Wendell Carter Jr.

33′ · 0

Mo Bamba

Mo Bamba

29′ · +4

Terrence Ross

Terrence Ross

26′ · -3

Moritz Wagner

Moritz Wagner

20′ · -10

Chuma Okeke

Chuma Okeke

16′ · -4

R.J. Hampton

R.J. Hampton

14′ · -4

LAC
Luke Kennard

Luke Kennard

36′ · -5

Terance Mann

Terance Mann

35′ · -7

Reggie Jackson

Reggie Jackson

32′ · 0

Ivica Zubac

Ivica Zubac

28′ · -11

Marcus Morris Sr.

Marcus Morris Sr.

24′ · -4

Eric Bledsoe

Eric Bledsoe

25′ · +13

Brandon Boston

Brandon Boston

24′ · +6

Isaiah Hartenstein

Isaiah Hartenstein

20′ · +13

Justise Winslow

Justise Winslow

15′ · +5

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. ORL and LAC.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Orlando Magic

  • Bamba, Carter, Anthony, Wagner, and Harris played 16.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Bamba, Wagner, Okeke, Hampton, and Ross played 7.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Carter, Anthony, Wagner, Ross, and Harris played 5.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

LA Clippers

  • Zubac, Kennard, Mann, Morris, and Jackson played 19.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Kennard, Hartenstein, Mann, Boston, and Bledsoe played 8.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Winslow, Hartenstein, Boston, Bledsoe, and Jackson played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Orlando Magic

  • Carter, Wagner, Anthony, Wagner, and Harris played 5.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Bamba, Okeke, Hampton, Wagner, and Ross played 4.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Carter, Wagner, Anthony, Ross, and Harris played 4.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Wagner, Okeke, Anthony, Ross, and Harris played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Carter, Okeke, Hampton, Wagner, and Ross played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

LA Clippers

  • Zubac, Kennard, Mann, Boston, and Bledsoe played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Winslow, Kennard, Hartenstein, Boston, and Bledsoe played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Winslow, Zubac, Bledsoe, Morris, and Jackson played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Winslow, Hartenstein, Mann, Boston, and Jackson played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Winslow, Hartenstein, Bledsoe, Morris, and Jackson played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
17.156
95.3% of capacity
Intuit Dome · Inglewood
Scoring
210
combined points
11.2 below the season average (221.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

10 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors