SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 15 January 2022

CHI112–114BOS
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 81% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ BOS winsCHI wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when BOS leads and falls when CHI does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · CHI

Ayo Dosunmu
Coby White
DeMar DeRozan
Nikola Vucevic
Matt Thomas

Dosunmu · White · DeRozan · Vucevic · Thomas

Closing lineup · BOS

Jayson Tatum
Dennis Schroder
Jaylen Brown
Robert Williams III
Josh Richardson

Tatum · Schroder · Brown · Williams · Richardson

Q1Q2Q3Q4
CHI
Ayo Dosunmu

Ayo Dosunmu

40′ · -6

Coby White

Coby White

39′ · -7

DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan

37′ · +11

Nikola Vucevic

Nikola Vucevic

35′ · -10

Alfonzo McKinnie

Alfonzo McKinnie

27′ · -8

Matt Thomas

Matt Thomas

17′ · +5

Troy Brown Jr.

Troy Brown Jr.

13′ · -2

Tony Bradley

Tony Bradley

13′ · +8

Malcolm Hill

Malcolm Hill

18′ · -3

BOS
Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum

40′ · +11

Dennis Schroder

Dennis Schroder

36′ · +14

Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown

36′ · 0

Robert Williams III

Robert Williams III

35′ · +9

Al Horford

Al Horford

30′ · -1

Josh Richardson

Josh Richardson

29′ · -6

Grant Williams

Grant Williams

14′ · -3

Enes Freedom

Enes Freedom

8′ · -2

Payton Pritchard

Payton Pritchard

12′ · -12

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHI and BOS.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Chicago Bulls

  • McKinnie, White, Dosunmu, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 18.2 minutes together.

  • Bradley, White, Thomas, Hill, and DeRozan played 5.9 minutes together.

  • McKinnie, White, Dosunmu, Hill, and Vucevic played 4.6 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Chicago Bulls lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

Boston Celtics

  • Brown, Tatum, Williams, Horford, and Schroder played 19.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Richardson, Brown, Tatum, Williams, and Schroder played 6.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Richardson, Brown, Williams, Pritchard, and Freedom played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Chicago Bulls

  • White, Dosunmu, Hill, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 4.3 minutes together.

  • Bradley, Brown, Thomas, Dosunmu, and DeRozan played 4.0 minutes together.

  • Brown, White, Dosunmu, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 2.5 minutes together.

  • Brown, Thomas, Dosunmu, Hill, and Vucevic played 2.3 minutes together.

  • McKinnie, Brown, White, Thomas, and Vucevic played 1.8 minutes together.

  • McKinnie, Bradley, Brown, Thomas, and Dosunmu played 1.5 minutes together.

  • McKinnie, Bradley, White, Dosunmu, and DeRozan played 1.1 minutes together.

Boston Celtics

  • Richardson, Brown, Williams, Horford, and Schroder played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Richardson, Tatum, Williams, Pritchard, and Horford played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Richardson, Tatum, Williams, Williams, and Schroder played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Richardson, Tatum, Williams, Horford, and Schroder played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Richardson, Tatum, Williams, Pritchard, and Freedom played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Richardson, Tatum, Williams, Freedom, and Schroder played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Richardson, Brown, Tatum, Pritchard, and Horford played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
19.156
102.9% of capacity
TD Garden · Boston
Scoring
226
combined points
4.8 above the season average (221.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

20 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Shooting · 00:47.4
Jaylen Brown → Malcolm Hill
Brown (BOS) makes contact with Hill's (CHI) lower body during his upward motion, which affects his body's trajectory and shot attempt.