SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 25 January 2022

LAC116–115WAS
Is it worth watching?
Skippable

It was more exciting than 31% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ WAS winsLAC wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when WAS leads and falls when LAC does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · LAC

Amir Coffey
Terance Mann
Luke Kennard
Justise Winslow
Jay Scrubb

Coffey · Mann · Kennard · Winslow · Scrubb

Closing lineup · WAS

Bradley Beal
Kyle Kuzma
Spencer Dinwiddie
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Montrezl Harrell

Beal · Kuzma · Dinwiddie · Caldwell-Pope · Harrell

Q1Q2Q3Q4
LAC
Amir Coffey

Amir Coffey

37′ · +15

Terance Mann

Terance Mann

32′ · -1

Reggie Jackson

Reggie Jackson

16′ · -29

Ivica Zubac

Ivica Zubac

12′ · -19

Nicolas Batum

Nicolas Batum

8′ · -22

Luke Kennard

Luke Kennard

30′ · +26

Isaiah Hartenstein

Isaiah Hartenstein

26′ · +23

Justise Winslow

Justise Winslow

23′ · +9

Eric Bledsoe

Eric Bledsoe

15′ · +5

Brandon Boston

Brandon Boston

20′ · -6

Serge Ibaka

Serge Ibaka

4′ · -12

Jay Scrubb

Jay Scrubb

17′ · +16

WAS
Bradley Beal

Bradley Beal

40′ · +1

Kyle Kuzma

Kyle Kuzma

35′ · +3

Spencer Dinwiddie

Spencer Dinwiddie

34′ · -5

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

29′ · +10

Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford

12′ · +6

Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija

21′ · -4

Thomas Bryant

Thomas Bryant

15′ · 0

Corey Kispert

Corey Kispert

20′ · -4

Rui Hachimura

Rui Hachimura

13′ · -4

Montrezl Harrell

Montrezl Harrell

20′ · -8

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. LAC and WAS.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

LA Clippers

  • Kennard, Hartenstein, Coffey, Mann, and Bledsoe played 6.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Zubac, Coffey, Mann, Batum, and Jackson played 6.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 15 points.

  • Kennard, Hartenstein, Coffey, Mann, and Scrubb played 5.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

Washington Wizards

  • Kuzma, Gafford, Beal, Caldwell-Pope, and Dinwiddie played 12.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Harrell, Kuzma, Beal, Caldwell-Pope, and Dinwiddie played 7.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.

  • Bryant, Hachimura, Avdija, Kispert, and Dinwiddie played 5.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

LA Clippers

  • Zubac, Coffey, Mann, Scrubb, and Jackson played 4.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Winslow, Kennard, Coffey, Mann, and Boston played 4.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Winslow, Kennard, Hartenstein, Boston, and Bledsoe played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Winslow, Kennard, Hartenstein, Coffey, and Bledsoe played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Winslow, Hartenstein, Coffey, Scrubb, and Boston played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Winslow, Kennard, Hartenstein, Scrubb, and Boston played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Winslow, Mann, Boston, Ibaka, and Jackson played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Winslow, Kennard, Coffey, Scrubb, and Boston played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

Washington Wizards

  • Kuzma, Bryant, Avdija, Beal, and Caldwell-Pope played 4.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Harrell, Kuzma, Kispert, Beal, and Caldwell-Pope played 4.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Bryant, Hachimura, Avdija, Kispert, and Beal played 4.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Harrell, Kuzma, Kispert, Beal, and Dinwiddie played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Harrell, Hachimura, Avdija, Kispert, and Dinwiddie played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Harrell, Kuzma, Avdija, Beal, and Dinwiddie played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Harrell, Hachimura, Avdija, Beal, and Dinwiddie played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
13.544
66.6% of capacity
Capital One Arena · Washington
Scoring
231
combined points
9.8 above the season average (221.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

22 calls reviewed4 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Shooting · 00:01.9
Bradley Beal → Luke Kennard
Beal (WAS) places two hands on Kennard's (LAC) body and makes contact with his arm, prior to the start of his upward shooting motion. A personal foul should be assessed and the basket should not count.
Turnover: 5 Second Violation · 00:10.9
Justise Winslow → Wizards
Winslow (LAC) does not release the inbound within 5 seconds.
Turnover: Traveling · 00:29.8
Kyle Kuzma → Clippers
Kuzma (WAS) lifts and re-plants his pivot foot prior to passing the ball.
Foul: Shooting · 00:50.1
Luke Kennard → Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Kennard (LAC) reaches in and makes contact with Caldwell-Pope's (WAS) arm, which affects his driving shot attempt.