SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 27 February 2022

DET127–126CHA
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 99% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 25 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ CHA winsDET wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHA leads and falls when DET does.

Game context

Attendance
15.348
80.5% of capacity
Spectrum Center · Charlotte
Scoring
253
combined points
31.8 above the season average (221.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

28 calls reviewed4 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Shooting · 00:05.2
Cade Cunningham → P.J. Washington
Cunningham (DET) makes contact to Washington's (CHA) arm that affects his putback shot attempt.
Foul: Personal · 00:09.7
LaMelo Ball → Cade Cunningham
Ball (CHA) reaches in and makes clean contact with the ball and any ensuing contact with Cunningham (DET) is marginal.
Turnover: Traveling · 01:34.7
Jerami Grant → Hornets
Grant (DET) hops consecutively on the same foot upon gathering the ball.
Foul: Shooting · 01:44.3
P.J. Washington → Isaiah Stewart
Washington (CHA) makes contact to Stewart's (DET) wrist that affects his shot attempt.