Win probability changed during the game. · 4 March 2022
It was more exciting than 92% of NBA games since 2017
- · It was still open in the final minutes
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when PHX leads and falls when NYK does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · NYK
Barrett · Robinson · Burks · Quickley · Reddish
Closing lineup · PHX
Bridges · Ayton · Payne · Crowder · Johnson
RJ Barrett
44′ · -12
Mitchell Robinson
37′ · -2
Evan Fournier
36′ · +8
Alec Burks
35′ · +12
Julius Randle
28′ · +8
Immanuel Quickley
27′ · -2
Jericho Sims
11′ · +1
Cam Reddish
14′ · -15
Miles McBride
8′ · -3
Mikal Bridges
39′ · -5
Deandre Ayton
34′ · -2
Cameron Payne
32′ · +10
Jae Crowder
30′ · 0
Landry Shamet
28′ · +6
Cameron Johnson
28′ · +9
Aaron Holiday
15′ · -7
Torrey Craig
16′ · -9
JaVale McGee
7′ · +2
Ish Wainright
2′ · +1
Bismack Biyombo
8′ · 0
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. NYK and PHX.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
New York Knicks
Robinson, Barrett, Burks, Fournier, and Randle played 21.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Robinson, Barrett, Quickley, Burks, and Fournier played 5.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Barrett, Reddish, Quickley, McBride, and Sims played 4.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Phoenix Suns
Payne, Bridges, Shamet, Ayton, and Crowder played 13.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Payne, Bridges, Ayton, Johnson, and Crowder played 8.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 10 points.
Bridges, Holiday, Ayton, Johnson, and Crowder played 4.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
New York Knicks
Robinson, Barrett, Reddish, Quickley, and McBride played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Robinson, Quickley, Burks, Fournier, and Randle played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 9 points.
Barrett, Quickley, Sims, Burks, and Fournier played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Robinson, Barrett, Reddish, Quickley, and Burks played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Barrett, Reddish, Quickley, Sims, and Fournier played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Barrett, Reddish, Quickley, Sims, and Randle played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Quickley, Sims, Burks, Fournier, and Randle played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Phoenix Suns
Payne, Craig, Shamet, Johnson, and Biyombo played 4.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Payne, Craig, Shamet, Johnson, and McGee played 3.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Craig, Bridges, Holiday, Johnson, and Biyombo played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Bridges, Holiday, Shamet, Ayton, and Crowder played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Craig, Holiday, Shamet, Wainright, and McGee played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Payne, Bridges, Shamet, Ayton, and Johnson played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Craig, Bridges, Holiday, Shamet, and McGee played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Payne, Craig, Bridges, Ayton, and Johnson played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Bridges, Holiday, Ayton, Johnson, and Biyombo played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

