SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 4 March 2022

NYK114–115PHX
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 92% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ PHX winsNYK wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when PHX leads and falls when NYK does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · NYK

RJ Barrett
Mitchell Robinson
Alec Burks
Immanuel Quickley
Cam Reddish

Barrett · Robinson · Burks · Quickley · Reddish

Closing lineup · PHX

Mikal Bridges
Deandre Ayton
Cameron Payne
Jae Crowder
Cameron Johnson

Bridges · Ayton · Payne · Crowder · Johnson

Q1Q2Q3Q4
NYK
RJ Barrett

RJ Barrett

44′ · -12

Mitchell Robinson

Mitchell Robinson

37′ · -2

Evan Fournier

Evan Fournier

36′ · +8

Alec Burks

Alec Burks

35′ · +12

Julius Randle

Julius Randle

28′ · +8

Immanuel Quickley

Immanuel Quickley

27′ · -2

Jericho Sims

Jericho Sims

11′ · +1

Cam Reddish

Cam Reddish

14′ · -15

Miles McBride

Miles McBride

8′ · -3

PHX
Mikal Bridges

Mikal Bridges

39′ · -5

Deandre Ayton

Deandre Ayton

34′ · -2

Cameron Payne

Cameron Payne

32′ · +10

Jae Crowder

Jae Crowder

30′ · 0

Landry Shamet

Landry Shamet

28′ · +6

Cameron Johnson

Cameron Johnson

28′ · +9

Aaron Holiday

Aaron Holiday

15′ · -7

Torrey Craig

Torrey Craig

16′ · -9

JaVale McGee

JaVale McGee

7′ · +2

Ish Wainright

Ish Wainright

2′ · +1

Bismack Biyombo

Bismack Biyombo

8′ · 0

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. NYK and PHX.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

New York Knicks

  • Robinson, Barrett, Burks, Fournier, and Randle played 21.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Robinson, Barrett, Quickley, Burks, and Fournier played 5.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Barrett, Reddish, Quickley, McBride, and Sims played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

Phoenix Suns

  • Payne, Bridges, Shamet, Ayton, and Crowder played 13.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Payne, Bridges, Ayton, Johnson, and Crowder played 8.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 10 points.

  • Bridges, Holiday, Ayton, Johnson, and Crowder played 4.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

New York Knicks

  • Robinson, Barrett, Reddish, Quickley, and McBride played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Robinson, Quickley, Burks, Fournier, and Randle played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Barrett, Quickley, Sims, Burks, and Fournier played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Robinson, Barrett, Reddish, Quickley, and Burks played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Barrett, Reddish, Quickley, Sims, and Fournier played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Barrett, Reddish, Quickley, Sims, and Randle played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Quickley, Sims, Burks, Fournier, and Randle played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

Phoenix Suns

  • Payne, Craig, Shamet, Johnson, and Biyombo played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Payne, Craig, Shamet, Johnson, and McGee played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Craig, Bridges, Holiday, Johnson, and Biyombo played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Bridges, Holiday, Shamet, Ayton, and Crowder played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Craig, Holiday, Shamet, Wainright, and McGee played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Payne, Bridges, Shamet, Ayton, and Johnson played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Craig, Bridges, Holiday, Shamet, and McGee played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Payne, Craig, Bridges, Ayton, and Johnson played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Bridges, Holiday, Ayton, Johnson, and Biyombo played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
17.071
100% of capacity
Mortgage Matchup Center · Phoenix
Scoring
229
combined points
7.8 above the season average (221.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

11 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Shooting · 00:18.5
Mikal Bridges → RJ Barrett
Bridges (PHX) has an arm around Barrett's (NYK) body and he initiates further body contact that affects his driving shot attempt.