SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 16 March 2022

OKC120–122SAS
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 70% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ SAS winsOKC wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when SAS leads and falls when OKC does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Darius Bazley
Aaron Wiggins
Aleksej Pokusevski
Lindy Waters III

Gilgeous-Alexander · Bazley · Wiggins · Pokusevski · Waters

Closing lineup · SAS

Dejounte Murray
Keldon Johnson
Devin Vassell
Jakob Poeltl
Joshua Primo

Murray · Johnson · Vassell · Poeltl · Primo

Q1Q2Q3Q4
OKC
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

35′ · -8

Darius Bazley

Darius Bazley

33′ · -7

Tre Mann

Tre Mann

29′ · -6

Aaron Wiggins

Aaron Wiggins

26′ · -19

Isaiah Roby

Isaiah Roby

14′ · -14

Aleksej Pokusevski

Aleksej Pokusevski

27′ · +8

Theo Maledon

Theo Maledon

25′ · +14

Vit Krejci

Vit Krejci

20′ · +16

Olivier Sarr

Olivier Sarr

18′ · +5

Lindy Waters III

Lindy Waters III

12′ · +1

SAS
Dejounte Murray

Dejounte Murray

36′ · +19

Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson

35′ · +12

Devin Vassell

Devin Vassell

32′ · +13

Jakob Poeltl

Jakob Poeltl

29′ · +5

Josh Richardson

Josh Richardson

28′ · -4

Zach Collins

Zach Collins

15′ · -1

Lonnie Walker IV

Lonnie Walker IV

22′ · +1

Tre Jones

Tre Jones

18′ · -11

Joshua Primo

Joshua Primo

20′ · -19

Jock Landale

Jock Landale

4′ · -5

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. OKC and SAS.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Gilgeous-Alexander, Bazley, Roby, Mann, and Wiggins played 10.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 11 points.

  • Gilgeous-Alexander, Bazley, Maledon, Pokusevski, and Krejci played 7.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 14 points.

  • Maledon, Waters, Mann, Wiggins, and Sarr played 5.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

San Antonio Spurs

  • Richardson, Murray, Poeltl, Johnson, and Vassell played 9.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Richardson, Murray, Poeltl, Johnson, and Jones played 4.9 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Collins, Walker, Johnson, Jones, and Primo played 4.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Maledon, Krejci, Mann, Wiggins, and Sarr played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Gilgeous-Alexander, Bazley, Pokusevski, Waters, and Sarr played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Gilgeous-Alexander, Bazley, Pokusevski, Mann, and Wiggins played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Maledon, Pokusevski, Krejci, Mann, and Wiggins played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Gilgeous-Alexander, Bazley, Pokusevski, Mann, and Sarr played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Gilgeous-Alexander, Bazley, Roby, Maledon, and Pokusevski played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Gilgeous-Alexander, Bazley, Pokusevski, Waters, and Wiggins played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Gilgeous-Alexander, Bazley, Roby, Pokusevski, and Krejci played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Maledon, Krejci, Waters, Mann, and Sarr played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Gilgeous-Alexander, Maledon, Pokusevski, Krejci, and Sarr played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

San Antonio Spurs

  • Murray, Poeltl, Walker, Johnson, and Primo played 4.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Murray, Collins, Walker, Johnson, and Vassell played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 12 points.

  • Richardson, Murray, Collins, Johnson, and Vassell played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Richardson, Murray, Poeltl, Vassell, and Primo played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Richardson, Poeltl, Johnson, Vassell, and Jones played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Richardson, Murray, Poeltl, Walker, and Vassell played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Murray, Walker, Landale, Vassell, and Primo played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Murray, Collins, Walker, Vassell, and Primo played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Walker, Landale, Vassell, Jones, and Primo played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Murray, Poeltl, Walker, Vassell, and Jones played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Richardson, Poeltl, Johnson, Jones, and Primo played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
14.994
81.7% of capacity
Frost Bank Center · San Antonio
Scoring
242
combined points
20.8 above the season average (221.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

19 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors