Win probability changed during the game. · 26 April 2022
It was more exciting than 96% of NBA games since 2017
- · It was still open in the final minutes
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MEM leads and falls when MIN does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · MIN
Towns · Edwards · Vanderbilt · McDaniels · McLaughlin
Closing lineup · MEM
Morant · Bane · Brooks · Anderson · Jones
D'Angelo Russell
39′ · -5
Karl-Anthony Towns
35′ · -3
Anthony Edwards
35′ · -2
Patrick Beverley
28′ · +1
Jarred Vanderbilt
22′ · -10
Jaden McDaniels
18′ · +11
Malik Beasley
14′ · -1
Naz Reid
13′ · +1
Jordan McLaughlin
17′ · 0
Taurean Prince
19′ · -6
Ja Morant
45′ · +6
Desmond Bane
45′ · +3
Dillon Brooks
36′ · +8
Jaren Jackson Jr.
18′ · -2
Xavier Tillman
16′ · -6
Brandon Clarke
37′ · 0
Kyle Anderson
18′ · -6
Ziaire Williams
4′ · 0
Tyus Jones
20′ · +12
John Konchar
3′ · -5
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. MIN and MEM.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Minnesota Timberwolves
Russell, Towns, Vanderbilt, Edwards, and Beverley played 14.8 minutes together.
Russell, Towns, Edwards, McDaniels, and Beverley played 7.1 minutes together.
Beasley, Prince, McLaughlin, Reid, and Beverley played 4.8 minutes together.
The plus-minus of each Minnesota Timberwolves lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.
Memphis Grizzlies
Brooks, Jackson, Morant, Tillman, and Bane played 8.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Jones, Brooks, Morant, Clarke, and Bane played 6.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 14 points.
Brooks, Morant, Clarke, Bane, and Anderson played 6.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
Minnesota Timberwolves
Russell, Towns, Prince, Vanderbilt, and McLaughlin played 3.8 minutes together.
Russell, Prince, McLaughlin, Reid, and Edwards played 2.2 minutes together.
Russell, Towns, McLaughlin, Edwards, and McDaniels played 2.0 minutes together.
Russell, Beasley, Reid, Edwards, and McDaniels played 1.9 minutes together.
Beasley, McLaughlin, Reid, Edwards, and McDaniels played 1.6 minutes together.
Russell, Beasley, Prince, Reid, and Edwards played 1.5 minutes together.
Russell, Towns, Prince, Vanderbilt, and Edwards played 1.2 minutes together.
Towns, Beasley, Prince, McLaughlin, and McDaniels played 1.2 minutes together.
Beasley, Prince, McLaughlin, Reid, and McDaniels played 1.2 minutes together.
Russell, Towns, Vanderbilt, Edwards, and McDaniels played 1.1 minutes together.
Russell, Towns, Beasley, Prince, and McDaniels played 1.1 minutes together.
Russell, Towns, Prince, Vanderbilt, and Beverley played 1.0 minutes together.
Memphis Grizzlies
Jones, Morant, Clarke, Bane, and Anderson played 5.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Brooks, Morant, Clarke, Tillman, and Bane played 4.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Brooks, Jackson, Morant, Clarke, and Bane played 4.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Brooks, Morant, Clarke, Williams, and Anderson played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Jones, Jackson, Morant, Clarke, and Bane played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Jones, Jackson, Clarke, Konchar, and Bane played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Jones, Morant, Tillman, Bane, and Anderson played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

