SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 21 October 2022

PHX111–113POR
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 99% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 30 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ POR winsPHX wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when POR leads and falls when PHX does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · PHX

Devin Booker
Deandre Ayton
Mikal Bridges
Jock Landale
Bismack Biyombo

Booker · Ayton · Bridges · Landale · Biyombo

Closing lineup · POR

Damian Lillard
Josh Hart
Jerami Grant
Jusuf Nurkic
Drew Eubanks

Lillard · Hart · Grant · Nurkic · Eubanks

Q1Q2Q3Q4OT1
PHX
Devin Booker

Devin Booker

44′ · -2

Deandre Ayton

Deandre Ayton

38′ · +1

Mikal Bridges

Mikal Bridges

38′ · +6

Chris Paul

Chris Paul

36′ · 0

Cameron Johnson

Cameron Johnson

23′ · -5

Cameron Payne

Cameron Payne

17′ · -2

Torrey Craig

Torrey Craig

11′ · -3

Jock Landale

Jock Landale

14′ · -3

Damion Lee

Damion Lee

31′ · +3

Josh Okogie

Josh Okogie

14′ · -5

Bismack Biyombo

Bismack Biyombo

0′ · 0

POR
Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard

43′ · -2

Anfernee Simons

Anfernee Simons

42′ · +2

Josh Hart

Josh Hart

41′ · -3

Jerami Grant

Jerami Grant

40′ · -4

Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic

35′ · 0

Justise Winslow

Justise Winslow

24′ · +1

Drew Eubanks

Drew Eubanks

16′ · +5

Shaedon Sharpe

Shaedon Sharpe

12′ · +7

Nassir Little

Nassir Little

13′ · +4

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. PHX and POR.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Phoenix Suns

  • Paul, Booker, Lee, Bridges, and Ayton played 13.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Paul, Booker, Bridges, Ayton, and Johnson played 9.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Paul, Booker, Craig, Bridges, and Ayton played 5.9 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Portland Trail Blazers

  • Hart, Simons, Lillard, Grant, and Nurkic played 27.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Winslow, Simons, Eubanks, Little, and Sharpe played 4.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Winslow, Hart, Lillard, Grant, and Nurkic played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Phoenix Suns

  • Paul, Lee, Okogie, Landale, and Johnson played 3.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Booker, Payne, Lee, Bridges, and Ayton played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Payne, Lee, Okogie, Landale, and Johnson played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Paul, Booker, Okogie, Ayton, and Johnson played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Booker, Payne, Lee, Craig, and Landale played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Booker, Payne, Lee, Landale, and Johnson played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Booker, Payne, Bridges, Landale, and Johnson played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Paul, Booker, Lee, Okogie, and Ayton played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Booker, Payne, Okogie, Ayton, and Johnson played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Booker, Payne, Craig, Bridges, and Landale played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Payne, Lee, Bridges, Okogie, and Landale played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Booker, Payne, Craig, Bridges, and Ayton played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

Portland Trail Blazers

  • Winslow, Simons, Little, Sharpe, and Nurkic played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Winslow, Hart, Eubanks, Lillard, and Grant played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Winslow, Eubanks, Little, Sharpe, and Lillard played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Winslow, Hart, Simons, Eubanks, and Lillard played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Hart, Simons, Eubanks, Lillard, and Grant played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Winslow, Hart, Simons, Grant, and Nurkic played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Winslow, Hart, Little, Lillard, and Grant played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
19.393
99.9% of capacity
Moda Center · Portland
Scoring
224
combined points
5.4 below the season average (229.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

38 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors