SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 5 December 2022

LAC119–117CHA
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 97% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 17 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ CHA winsLAC wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHA leads and falls when LAC does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · LAC

Ivica Zubac
Paul George
Kawhi Leonard
Nicolas Batum
Terance Mann

Zubac · George · Leonard · Batum · Mann

Closing lineup · CHA

Kelly Oubre Jr.
Terry Rozier
P.J. Washington
Jalen McDaniels
Mason Plumlee

Oubre · Rozier · Washington · McDaniels · Plumlee

Q1Q2Q3Q4
LAC
Reggie Jackson

Reggie Jackson

32′ · -10

Marcus Morris Sr.

Marcus Morris Sr.

30′ · -15

Ivica Zubac

Ivica Zubac

29′ · -19

Paul George

Paul George

28′ · -8

Kawhi Leonard

Kawhi Leonard

28′ · -8

John Wall

John Wall

27′ · +14

Luke Kennard

Luke Kennard

20′ · +10

Nicolas Batum

Nicolas Batum

20′ · +23

Terance Mann

Terance Mann

15′ · +15

Moses Brown

Moses Brown

10′ · +8

CHA
Kelly Oubre Jr.

Kelly Oubre Jr.

40′ · -2

Terry Rozier

Terry Rozier

38′ · +7

P.J. Washington

P.J. Washington

34′ · +12

Jalen McDaniels

Jalen McDaniels

34′ · +12

Mason Plumlee

Mason Plumlee

28′ · +14

Theo Maledon

Theo Maledon

15′ · -4

Nick Richards

Nick Richards

20′ · -16

Bryce McGowens

Bryce McGowens

17′ · -19

Kai Jones

Kai Jones

14′ · -14

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. LAC and CHA.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

LA Clippers

  • Zubac, George, Morris, Leonard, and Jackson played 17.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 19 points.

  • Kennard, Mann, Brown, Batum, and Wall played 9.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 11 points.

  • Zubac, Kennard, Wall, Morris, and Jackson played 7.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

Charlotte Hornets

  • Oubre, Rozier, Washington, McDaniels, and Plumlee played 23.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 21 points.

  • Oubre, Rozier, Richards, Jones, and McGowens played 8.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 19 points.

  • Rozier, Maledon, Richards, Jones, and McGowens played 5.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

LA Clippers

  • Mann, Batum, Wall, George, and Leonard played 4.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Zubac, Kennard, Batum, Wall, and Jackson played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Wall, George, Morris, Leonard, and Jackson played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Batum, George, Morris, Leonard, and Jackson played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Zubac, Batum, George, Morris, and Leonard played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

Charlotte Hornets

  • Oubre, Washington, McDaniels, Maledon, and Plumlee played 4.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Oubre, Washington, McDaniels, Maledon, and Richards played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Washington, McDaniels, Maledon, Richards, and McGowens played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
13.945
73.1% of capacity
Spectrum Center · Charlotte
Scoring
236
combined points
6.6 above the season average (229.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

28 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Defense 3 Second · 01:37
Marcus Morris → Hornets
Morris Sr. (LAC) is in the paint for longer than three seconds without actively guarding an opponent before the shot is imminent.