Win probability changed during the game. · 5 December 2022
It was more exciting than 97% of NBA games since 2017
- · It was still open in the final minutes
- · The win probability swung between the two teams 17 times
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHA leads and falls when LAC does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · LAC
Zubac · George · Leonard · Batum · Mann
Closing lineup · CHA
Oubre · Rozier · Washington · McDaniels · Plumlee
Reggie Jackson
32′ · -10
Marcus Morris Sr.
30′ · -15
Ivica Zubac
29′ · -19
Paul George
28′ · -8
Kawhi Leonard
28′ · -8
John Wall
27′ · +14
Luke Kennard
20′ · +10
Nicolas Batum
20′ · +23
Terance Mann
15′ · +15
Moses Brown
10′ · +8
Kelly Oubre Jr.
40′ · -2
Terry Rozier
38′ · +7
P.J. Washington
34′ · +12
Jalen McDaniels
34′ · +12
Mason Plumlee
28′ · +14
Theo Maledon
15′ · -4
Nick Richards
20′ · -16
Bryce McGowens
17′ · -19
Kai Jones
14′ · -14
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. LAC and CHA.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
LA Clippers
Zubac, George, Morris, Leonard, and Jackson played 17.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 19 points.
Kennard, Mann, Brown, Batum, and Wall played 9.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 11 points.
Zubac, Kennard, Wall, Morris, and Jackson played 7.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Charlotte Hornets
Oubre, Rozier, Washington, McDaniels, and Plumlee played 23.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 21 points.
Oubre, Rozier, Richards, Jones, and McGowens played 8.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 19 points.
Rozier, Maledon, Richards, Jones, and McGowens played 5.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
LA Clippers
Mann, Batum, Wall, George, and Leonard played 4.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Zubac, Kennard, Batum, Wall, and Jackson played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Wall, George, Morris, Leonard, and Jackson played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Batum, George, Morris, Leonard, and Jackson played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Zubac, Batum, George, Morris, and Leonard played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Charlotte Hornets
Oubre, Washington, McDaniels, Maledon, and Plumlee played 4.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Oubre, Washington, McDaniels, Maledon, and Richards played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Washington, McDaniels, Maledon, Richards, and McGowens played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

