SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 19 December 2022

ORL125–126ATL
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 50% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ ATL winsORL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when ATL leads and falls when ORL does.

Game context

Attendance
17.809
104.5% of capacity
State Farm Arena · Atlanta
Scoring
251
combined points
21.6 above the season average (229.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

29 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA
Stoppage: Out-of-Bounds · 00:54.0
Bogdan Bogdanovic → Magic
Possession is awarded to Orlando after Bogdanovic (ATL) deflects the pass along the sideline. However, the ball never touches the boundary line and play should have remained live.
Foul: Offensive · 00:54.0
Moritz Wagner → De'Andre Hunter
Wagner (ORL) establishes himself in a wide screening position and initiates foot contact with Hunter (ATL) that causes him to trip.