SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 23 December 2022

CHA134–130LAL
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 87% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 19 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ LAL winsCHA wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when LAL leads and falls when CHA does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · CHA

Terry Rozier
LaMelo Ball
Gordon Hayward
P.J. Washington
Kelly Oubre Jr.

Rozier · Ball · Hayward · Washington · Oubre

Closing lineup · LAL

LeBron James
Patrick Beverley
Dennis Schroder
Austin Reaves
Russell Westbrook

James · Beverley · Schroder · Reaves · Westbrook

Q1Q2Q3Q4
CHA
Terry Rozier

Terry Rozier

38′ · -7

LaMelo Ball

LaMelo Ball

37′ · 0

Gordon Hayward

Gordon Hayward

31′ · +14

P.J. Washington

P.J. Washington

31′ · -9

Mason Plumlee

Mason Plumlee

31′ · -2

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Kelly Oubre Jr.

31′ · -10

Theo Maledon

Theo Maledon

11′ · +4

Jalen McDaniels

Jalen McDaniels

19′ · +13

Nick Richards

Nick Richards

12′ · +17

LAL
LeBron James

LeBron James

34′ · -6

Thomas Bryant

Thomas Bryant

33′ · +11

Patrick Beverley

Patrick Beverley

30′ · -8

Dennis Schroder

Dennis Schroder

27′ · -8

Lonnie Walker IV

Lonnie Walker IV

27′ · +8

Austin Reaves

Austin Reaves

29′ · +3

Russell Westbrook

Russell Westbrook

25′ · +8

Wenyen Gabriel

Wenyen Gabriel

16′ · -6

Max Christie

Max Christie

10′ · -11

Troy Brown Jr.

Troy Brown Jr.

9′ · -11

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHA and LAL.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Charlotte Hornets

  • Rozier, Washington, Ball, Hayward, and Plumlee played 13.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Oubre, Rozier, Washington, Ball, and Plumlee played 11.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Oubre, McDaniels, Ball, Richards, and Hayward played 6.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 11 points.

Los Angeles Lakers

  • Bryant, Walker, Beverley, Schroder, and James played 15.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Brown, Gabriel, Reaves, Christie, and Westbrook played 5.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Bryant, Reaves, Beverley, Schroder, and James played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Charlotte Hornets

  • Oubre, Rozier, Washington, Ball, and Hayward played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.

  • Oubre, McDaniels, Maledon, Richards, and Hayward played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Rozier, McDaniels, Maledon, Richards, and Hayward played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Oubre, McDaniels, Ball, Hayward, and Plumlee played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Rozier, Washington, McDaniels, Maledon, and Hayward played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Oubre, Rozier, McDaniels, Maledon, and Richards played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Oubre, Rozier, McDaniels, Ball, and Plumlee played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Oubre, Rozier, McDaniels, Maledon, and Plumlee played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Oubre, Rozier, Washington, Maledon, and Plumlee played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Los Angeles Lakers

  • Bryant, Walker, Christie, Beverley, and Schroder played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Reaves, Westbrook, Beverley, Schroder, and James played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Bryant, Walker, Reaves, Westbrook, and James played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Bryant, Walker, Gabriel, Reaves, and Westbrook played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Bryant, Brown, Gabriel, Reaves, and Westbrook played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Walker, Reaves, Westbrook, Beverley, and James played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Bryant, Gabriel, Reaves, Westbrook, and James played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Gabriel, Reaves, Christie, Westbrook, and James played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Gabriel, Reaves, Westbrook, Beverley, and James played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Brown, Gabriel, Reaves, Westbrook, and James played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
18.997
100% of capacity
Crypto.com Arena · Los Angeles
Scoring
264
combined points
34.6 above the season average (229.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

35 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Defense 3 Second · 00:15.3
Russell Westbrook → Hornets
Westbrook (LAL) is in the paint for longer than three seconds without imminently actively guarding an opponent.
Foul: Defense 3 Second · 01:09.0
LeBron James → Hornets
James (LAL) fails to fully clear the lane and is in the paint for longer than three seconds without imminently actively guarding an opponent.