Win probability changed during the game. · 23 December 2022
It was more exciting than 87% of NBA games since 2017
- · The win probability swung between the two teams 19 times
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when LAL leads and falls when CHA does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · CHA
Rozier · Ball · Hayward · Washington · Oubre
Closing lineup · LAL
James · Beverley · Schroder · Reaves · Westbrook
Terry Rozier
38′ · -7
LaMelo Ball
37′ · 0
Gordon Hayward
31′ · +14
P.J. Washington
31′ · -9
Mason Plumlee
31′ · -2
Kelly Oubre Jr.
31′ · -10
Theo Maledon
11′ · +4
Jalen McDaniels
19′ · +13
Nick Richards
12′ · +17
LeBron James
34′ · -6
Thomas Bryant
33′ · +11
Patrick Beverley
30′ · -8
Dennis Schroder
27′ · -8
Lonnie Walker IV
27′ · +8
Austin Reaves
29′ · +3
Russell Westbrook
25′ · +8
Wenyen Gabriel
16′ · -6
Max Christie
10′ · -11
Troy Brown Jr.
9′ · -11
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHA and LAL.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Charlotte Hornets
Rozier, Washington, Ball, Hayward, and Plumlee played 13.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 9 points.
Oubre, Rozier, Washington, Ball, and Plumlee played 11.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Oubre, McDaniels, Ball, Richards, and Hayward played 6.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 11 points.
Los Angeles Lakers
Bryant, Walker, Beverley, Schroder, and James played 15.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Brown, Gabriel, Reaves, Christie, and Westbrook played 5.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Bryant, Reaves, Beverley, Schroder, and James played 4.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
Charlotte Hornets
Oubre, Rozier, Washington, Ball, and Hayward played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.
Oubre, McDaniels, Maledon, Richards, and Hayward played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Rozier, McDaniels, Maledon, Richards, and Hayward played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Oubre, McDaniels, Ball, Hayward, and Plumlee played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Rozier, Washington, McDaniels, Maledon, and Hayward played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Oubre, Rozier, McDaniels, Maledon, and Richards played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Oubre, Rozier, McDaniels, Ball, and Plumlee played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Oubre, Rozier, McDaniels, Maledon, and Plumlee played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Oubre, Rozier, Washington, Maledon, and Plumlee played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Los Angeles Lakers
Bryant, Walker, Christie, Beverley, and Schroder played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Reaves, Westbrook, Beverley, Schroder, and James played 3.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Bryant, Walker, Reaves, Westbrook, and James played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Bryant, Walker, Gabriel, Reaves, and Westbrook played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Bryant, Brown, Gabriel, Reaves, and Westbrook played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Walker, Reaves, Westbrook, Beverley, and James played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Bryant, Gabriel, Reaves, Westbrook, and James played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Gabriel, Reaves, Christie, Westbrook, and James played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Gabriel, Reaves, Westbrook, Beverley, and James played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Brown, Gabriel, Reaves, Westbrook, and James played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

