SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 30 December 2022

UTA125–126SAC
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 89% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 16 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ SAC winsUTA wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when SAC leads and falls when UTA does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · UTA

Jordan Clarkson
Lauri Markkanen
Mike Conley
Kelly Olynyk
Collin Sexton

Clarkson · Markkanen · Conley · Olynyk · Sexton

Closing lineup · SAC

De'Aaron Fox
Domantas Sabonis
Harrison Barnes
Kevin Huerter
Keegan Murray

Fox · Sabonis · Barnes · Huerter · Murray

Q1Q2Q3Q4
UTA
Jordan Clarkson

Jordan Clarkson

35′ · -5

Lauri Markkanen

Lauri Markkanen

34′ · -1

Mike Conley

Mike Conley

30′ · -1

Kelly Olynyk

Kelly Olynyk

29′ · -4

Jarred Vanderbilt

Jarred Vanderbilt

24′ · -16

Collin Sexton

Collin Sexton

29′ · +4

Walker Kessler

Walker Kessler

24′ · +17

Rudy Gay

Rudy Gay

12′ · +5

Malik Beasley

Malik Beasley

23′ · -4

SAC
De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox

39′ · +8

Domantas Sabonis

Domantas Sabonis

37′ · +3

Harrison Barnes

Harrison Barnes

32′ · 0

Kevin Huerter

Kevin Huerter

30′ · +5

Keegan Murray

Keegan Murray

27′ · -2

Davion Mitchell

Davion Mitchell

23′ · -2

Malik Monk

Malik Monk

19′ · -1

Trey Lyles

Trey Lyles

19′ · 0

Richaun Holmes

Richaun Holmes

11′ · -2

KZ Okpala

KZ Okpala

3′ · -4

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. UTA and SAC.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Utah Jazz

  • Markkanen, Vanderbilt, Conley, Olynyk, and Clarkson played 10.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.

  • Beasley, Markkanen, Sexton, Vanderbilt, and Clarkson played 5.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Beasley, Sexton, Kessler, Gay, and Conley played 4.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

Sacramento Kings

  • Sabonis, Fox, Huerter, Murray, and Barnes played 17.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Holmes, Lyles, Fox, Monk, and Mitchell played 7.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Sabonis, Fox, Huerter, Mitchell, and Barnes played 4.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Utah Jazz

  • Markkanen, Sexton, Kessler, Conley, and Olynyk played 4.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Beasley, Sexton, Vanderbilt, Olynyk, and Clarkson played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Markkanen, Kessler, Conley, Olynyk, and Clarkson played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Markkanen, Sexton, Kessler, Olynyk, and Clarkson played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Beasley, Markkanen, Sexton, Kessler, and Gay played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Beasley, Kessler, Gay, Conley, and Clarkson played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Beasley, Vanderbilt, Conley, Olynyk, and Clarkson played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Markkanen, Sexton, Vanderbilt, Olynyk, and Clarkson played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Beasley, Markkanen, Sexton, Kessler, and Conley played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Markkanen, Sexton, Kessler, Gay, and Clarkson played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Beasley, Vanderbilt, Gay, Conley, and Clarkson played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

Sacramento Kings

  • Holmes, Lyles, Fox, Monk, and Okpala played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Sabonis, Monk, Mitchell, Murray, and Barnes played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Lyles, Sabonis, Fox, Huerter, and Murray played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Sabonis, Huerter, Mitchell, Murray, and Barnes played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Lyles, Sabonis, Huerter, Mitchell, and Barnes played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Sabonis, Monk, Huerter, Mitchell, and Barnes played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Lyles, Sabonis, Fox, Monk, and Mitchell played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Lyles, Sabonis, Fox, Monk, and Murray played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
17.946
101.9% of capacity
Golden 1 Center · Sacramento
Scoring
251
combined points
21.6 above the season average (229.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

33 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors