SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 11 January 2023

CHI97–100WAS
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 74% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ WAS winsCHI wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when WAS leads and falls when CHI does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · CHI

Zach LaVine
Nikola Vucevic
Patrick Williams
Alex Caruso
Coby White

LaVine · Vucevic · Williams · Caruso · White

Closing lineup · WAS

Kyle Kuzma
Deni Avdija
Monte Morris
Taj Gibson
Delon Wright

Kuzma · Avdija · Morris · Gibson · Wright

Q1Q2Q3Q4
CHI
Zach LaVine

Zach LaVine

41′ · +5

Nikola Vucevic

Nikola Vucevic

39′ · -2

Patrick Williams

Patrick Williams

33′ · -9

Ayo Dosunmu

Ayo Dosunmu

29′ · -4

Alex Caruso

Alex Caruso

28′ · -16

Coby White

Coby White

29′ · +6

Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr.

18′ · +5

Goran Dragic

Goran Dragic

15′ · -1

Andre Drummond

Andre Drummond

8′ · +1

WAS
Kyle Kuzma

Kyle Kuzma

38′ · +11

Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija

35′ · +1

Monte Morris

Monte Morris

29′ · +7

Taj Gibson

Taj Gibson

25′ · +6

Corey Kispert

Corey Kispert

25′ · +9

Rui Hachimura

Rui Hachimura

20′ · -12

Delon Wright

Delon Wright

25′ · -4

Anthony Gill

Anthony Gill

23′ · -3

Will Barton

Will Barton

8′ · -3

Jordan Goodwin

Jordan Goodwin

14′ · +3

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHI and WAS.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Chicago Bulls

  • Caruso, Williams, Dosunmu, Vucevic, and LaVine played 16.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 13 points.

  • White, Williams, Dosunmu, Vucevic, and LaVine played 8.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Jones, White, Dragic, Drummond, and LaVine played 4.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

Washington Wizards

  • Kuzma, Morris, Avdija, Kispert, and Gibson played 15.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Wright, Kuzma, Hachimura, Gill, and Barton played 8.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Wright, Kuzma, Morris, Avdija, and Gibson played 5.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

▸See every lineup of the game

Chicago Bulls

  • Caruso, White, Williams, Vucevic, and LaVine played 3.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Jones, White, Dosunmu, Vucevic, and LaVine played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Jones, Caruso, White, Dragic, and Vucevic played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Jones, White, Dragic, Vucevic, and LaVine played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Jones, White, Williams, Dragic, and Drummond played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Jones, Caruso, Dosunmu, Vucevic, and LaVine played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Jones, Caruso, Dragic, Vucevic, and LaVine played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Jones, Caruso, White, Williams, and Dragic played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

Washington Wizards

  • Wright, Hachimura, Avdija, Gill, and Goodwin played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Wright, Kuzma, Gill, Kispert, and Goodwin played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Wright, Hachimura, Gill, Kispert, and Goodwin played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Morris, Hachimura, Avdija, Kispert, and Gibson played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Wright, Kuzma, Hachimura, Avdija, and Gibson played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Kuzma, Morris, Avdija, Gill, and Goodwin played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Morris, Hachimura, Avdija, Gill, and Goodwin played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Kuzma, Morris, Avdija, Gill, and Kispert played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Morris, Avdija, Gill, Kispert, and Goodwin played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
17.032
83.8% of capacity
Capital One Arena · Washington
Scoring
197
combined points
32.4 below the season average (229.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

20 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors