Orlando Magic – Denver Nuggets · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 15 January 2023

ORL116–119DEN

Is it worth watching?

Recommended

It was more exciting than 70% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ DEN winsORL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when DEN leads and falls when ORL does.

This is how the game was decided.

Aaron Gordon decided it, the Denver Nuggets player with the most points (25, with 8 rebounds and 5 assists; +11 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Nikola Jokić's (+16). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Denver Nuggets 119-116 Orlando Magic (January 15, 2023) was hit by Nikola Jokić: a three-pointer with 1.0 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Denver Nuggets up 119-116. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Denver Nuggets 119-116 Orlando Magic (January 15, 2023) was a 8-0 run by the Denver Nuggets in the first quarter (from 6:39 to 5:14), from 7-13 to 15-13. The Orlando Magic' best was a 8-0 run in the first quarter (from 8:48 to 7:09), from 5-7 to 13-7.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Nikola Jokic makes 25-foot step back jumpshot (Jamal Murray assists).

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Nikola Jokić decided this game: his points put his team ahead with one second left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 8 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Jokić decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

15 January 2023 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401468808:664; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · ORL

Banchero · Wagner · Fultz · Anthony · Bol

Closing lineup · DEN

Murray · Jokic · Caldwell-Pope · Gordon · Porter

Q1Q2Q3Q4

ORL

Paolo Banchero

33′ · -16

Franz Wagner

32′ · +21

Wendell Carter Jr.

32′ · -14

Markelle Fultz

27′ · -8

Gary Harris

21′ · -2

Jalen Suggs

13′ · -10

Cole Anthony

24′ · +3

Terrence Ross

23′ · +1

Moritz Wagner

15′ · +13

Bol Bol

18′ · -1

Mo Bamba

1′ · -2

DEN

Jamal Murray

38′ · -9

Nikola Jokic

35′ · +16

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

35′ · +11

Aaron Gordon

32′ · +11

Michael Porter Jr.

28′ · +1

Bruce Brown

24′ · +10

Zeke Nnaji

16′ · -8

Bones Hyland

9′ · +2

DeAndre Jordan

13′ · -13

Christian Braun

10′ · -6

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. ORL and DEN.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Orlando Magic

Fultz, Carter, Wagner, Banchero, and Harris played 12.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 12 points.
Wagner, Bol, Anthony, Wagner, and Ross played 11.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Fultz, Carter, Suggs, Banchero, and Harris played 5.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.

Denver Nuggets

Murray, Porter, Caldwell-Pope, Gordon, and Jokic played 22.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Murray, Brown, Nnaji, Braun, and Jordan played 6.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 12 points.
Murray, Brown, Nnaji, Hyland, and Jordan played 5.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

▸See every lineup of the game

Orlando Magic

Carter, Bol, Anthony, Banchero, and Ross played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Wagner, Anthony, Wagner, Suggs, and Ross played 3.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Fultz, Carter, Anthony, Wagner, and Banchero played 3.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Fultz, Carter, Suggs, Banchero, and Ross played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Fultz, Carter, Bol, Banchero, and Harris played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Carter, Anthony, Suggs, Banchero, and Ross played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

Denver Nuggets

Brown, Porter, Caldwell-Pope, Gordon, and Jokic played 4.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Brown, Braun, Caldwell-Pope, Gordon, and Jokic played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Murray, Brown, Nnaji, Hyland, and Jokic played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Murray, Brown, Caldwell-Pope, Gordon, and Jokic played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Jamal Murray covered 4.46 km, more than anyone in the game.

Nikola Jokić made 83 passes, a game high.
Nikola Jokić defended 14 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 10.
Nikola Jokić had 15 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Orlando Magic

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Franz Wagner	3.99	6.9	47	27
Paolo Banchero	3.67	6.3	48	34
Markelle Fultz	3.44	7.1	66	49
Wendell Carter Jr.	3.43	6.1	38	26
Cole Anthony	2.90	6.6	46	34
Gary Harris	2.70	7.1	17	11
Terrence Ross	2.67	6.4	16	8
Bol Bol	2.14	6.7	25	12
Moritz Wagner	1.74	6.2	27	17
Jalen Suggs	1.71	7.0	18	13
Mo Bamba	0.08	5.1	0	0

Denver Nuggets

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Jamal Murray	4.46	6.5	100	69
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	3.86	6.2	46	32
Nikola Jokić	3.83	6.2	100	83
Aaron Gordon	3.62	6.3	47	29
Michael Porter Jr.	3.09	6.3	38

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2022-23 regular season, not this game.

Orlando Magic

Moritz Wagner drew 0.30 charges per game over his 57 games.
He ranks 9 of 382 in the league.
Markelle Fultz recovered 0.9 loose balls per game over his 60 games.
He ranks 17 of 382 in the league.
Jalen Suggs deflected 2.4 passes per game over his 53 games.
He ranks 33 of 382 in the league.

Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokić deflected 3.2 passes per game over his 69 games.
He ranks 11 of 382 in the league.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope deflected 2.7 passes per game over his 75 games.
He ranks 19 of 382 in the league.
Aaron Gordon recovered 0.8 loose balls per game over his 68 games.
He ranks 37 of 382 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Denver Nuggets have won 38 of their 75 games against the Orlando Magic.

38-37record of the Denver Nuggets · NBA 1989-90 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

1-1in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1989-90 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

19.641

100.6% of capacity

Ball Arena · Denver

Scoring

235

combined points

5.6 above the season average (229.4)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

16 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors