SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 11 February 2023

PHI101–98BKN
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 66% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ BKN winsPHI wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when BKN leads and falls when PHI does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · PHI

Joel Embiid
James Harden
Tobias Harris
P.J. Tucker
Jalen McDaniels

Embiid · Harden · Harris · Tucker · McDaniels

Closing lineup · BKN

Mikal Bridges
Spencer Dinwiddie
Nic Claxton
Cameron Johnson
Royce O'Neale

Bridges · Dinwiddie · Claxton · Johnson · O'Neale

Q1Q2Q3Q4
PHI
Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid

37′ · +5

James Harden

James Harden

37′ · -1

Tobias Harris

Tobias Harris

29′ · +2

P.J. Tucker

P.J. Tucker

27′ · -3

De'Anthony Melton

De'Anthony Melton

14′ · -12

Tyrese Maxey

Tyrese Maxey

34′ · +17

Georges Niang

Georges Niang

22′ · +4

Jalen McDaniels

Jalen McDaniels

16′ · -1

Shake Milton

Shake Milton

14′ · +6

Paul Reed

Paul Reed

11′ · -2

BKN
Mikal Bridges

Mikal Bridges

34′ · -8

Dorian Finney-Smith

Dorian Finney-Smith

34′ · +2

Spencer Dinwiddie

Spencer Dinwiddie

31′ · +2

Nic Claxton

Nic Claxton

29′ · -1

Cameron Johnson

Cameron Johnson

28′ · +5

Day'Ron Sharpe

Day'Ron Sharpe

3′ · -3

Royce O'Neale

Royce O'Neale

17′ · -9

Joe Harris

Joe Harris

16′ · +1

Ben Simmons

Ben Simmons

16′ · -1

Patty Mills

Patty Mills

7′ · 0

Cam Thomas

Cam Thomas

18′ · -3

Yuta Watanabe

Yuta Watanabe

5′ · 0

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. PHI and BKN.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Melton, Tucker, Harden, Harris, and Embiid played 14.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 14 points.

  • Maxey, Tucker, Harden, Harris, and Embiid played 8.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Niang, Milton, McDaniels, Maxey, and Embiid played 7.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

Brooklyn Nets

  • Finney-Smith, Bridges, Claxton, Johnson, and Dinwiddie played 22.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 11 points.

  • O'Neale, Simmons, Thomas, Mills, and Harris played 6.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • O'Neale, Simmons, Finney-Smith, Thomas, and Harris played 5.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Niang, McDaniels, Maxey, Reed, and Harden played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Niang, Maxey, Tucker, Harden, and Embiid played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Niang, Milton, McDaniels, Maxey, and Reed played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Milton, Maxey, Reed, Harden, and Harris played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Niang, Maxey, Harden, Harris, and Embiid played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

Brooklyn Nets

  • O'Neale, Simmons, Bridges, Thomas, and Harris played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Finney-Smith, Bridges, Johnson, Sharpe, and Dinwiddie played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Finney-Smith, Bridges, Watanabe, Claxton, and Dinwiddie played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Watanabe, Claxton, Johnson, Thomas, and Dinwiddie played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • O'Neale, Finney-Smith, Bridges, Claxton, and Thomas played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • O'Neale, Simmons, Bridges, Mills, and Harris played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Bridges, Watanabe, Claxton, Johnson, and Dinwiddie played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
17.732
100% of capacity
Barclays Center · Brooklyn
Scoring
199
combined points
30.4 below the season average (229.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

22 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Personal · 00:15.8
James Harden → Spencer Dinwiddie
Harden (PHI) does not beat Dinwiddie (BKN) to the spot and initiates contact that affects his ability to make the pass.