Portland Trail Blazers – Philadelphia 76ers · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 10 March 2023

POR119–120PHI

Is it worth watching?

Recommended

It was more exciting than 75% of NBA games since 2017

· The win probability swung between the two teams 24 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ PHI winsPOR wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when PHI leads and falls when POR does.

This is how the game was decided.

Joel Embiid decided it, the Philadelphia 76ers player with the most points (39, with 7 rebounds and 4 assists; +2 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Georges Niang's (+23). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Philadelphia 76ers 120-119 Portland Trail Blazers (March 10, 2023) was hit by Joel Embiid: a jump shot with 1.1 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Philadelphia 76ers up 120-119. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Philadelphia 76ers 120-119 Portland Trail Blazers (March 10, 2023) was a 13-0 run by the Portland Trail Blazers in the second quarter (from 4:34 to 2:06), from 58-50 to 71-50. The Philadelphia 76ers' best was a 10-0 run in the fourth quarter (from 4:48 to 2:50), from 104-114 to 114-114.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Joel Embiid makes two point shot.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Joel Embiid decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 1.1 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 4 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Embiid decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

10 March 2023 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401469153:617; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · POR

Grant · Lillard · Simons · Nurkic · Reddish

Closing lineup · PHI

Harden · Embiid · Harris · Melton · House

Q1Q2Q3Q4

POR

Jerami Grant

42′ · +7

Damian Lillard

39′ · +3

Anfernee Simons

29′ · -3

Jusuf Nurkic

26′ · +9

Matisse Thybulle

19′ · +14

Cam Reddish

36′ · -2

Drew Eubanks

22′ · -10

Shaedon Sharpe

17′ · -19

Nassir Little

9′ · -4

PHI

James Harden

39′ · -3

Joel Embiid

38′ · +2

Tyrese Maxey

36′ · -1

Tobias Harris

25′ · -22

P.J. Tucker

21′ · -18

De'Anthony Melton

24′ · +11

Jalen McDaniels

10′ · +1

Georges Niang

23′ · +23

Shake Milton

8′ · +2

Paul Reed

10′ · -1

Danuel House Jr.

7′ · +11

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. POR and PHI.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Portland Trail Blazers

Simons, Thybulle, Lillard, Grant, and Nurkic played 10.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Eubanks, Reddish, Sharpe, Lillard, and Grant played 10.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Simons, Reddish, Lillard, Grant, and Nurkic played 9.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

Philadelphia 76ers

Maxey, Tucker, Harden, Harris, and Embiid played 20.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 18 points.
Niang, Melton, Maxey, Harden, and Embiid played 6.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 13 points.
Melton, McDaniels, Maxey, Harris, and Embiid played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Portland Trail Blazers

Simons, Eubanks, Reddish, Little, and Sharpe played 5.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Reddish, Thybulle, Lillard, Grant, and Nurkic played 5.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Simons, Eubanks, Reddish, Little, and Grant played 3.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Eubanks, Reddish, Thybulle, Lillard, and Grant played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Eubanks, Thybulle, Sharpe, Lillard, and Grant played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

Philadelphia 76ers

Niang, House, Melton, Reed, and Harden played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Niang, Melton, Milton, McDaniels, and Embiid played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Niang, Melton, Milton, Reed, and Harden played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Niang, House, Milton, Reed, and Harden played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Niang, Melton, McDaniels, Maxey, and Embiid played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Niang, Melton, McDaniels, Reed, and Harden played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Niang, House, Maxey, Harden, and Embiid played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Jerami Grant covered 4.94 km, more than anyone in the game.

James Harden touched the ball 100 times, a game high.
James Harden made 81 passes, a game high.
Drew Eubanks defended 10 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 6.
Joel Embiid had 17 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Portland Trail Blazers

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Jerami Grant	4.94	6.7	61	45
Cam Reddish	4.30	6.7	51	33
Damian Lillard	4.07	6.0	79	55
Anfernee Simons	3.31	6.5	62	38
Jusuf Nurkić	2.75	6.0	42	33
Drew Eubanks	2.54	6.5	32	23
Matisse Thybulle	2.33	6.9	15	11
Shaedon Sharpe	2.06	6.7	14	13
Nassir Little	1.13	6.8	12	9

Philadelphia 76ers

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Tyrese Maxey	4.12	6.6	54	44
Joel Embiid	3.96	6.0	75	40
James Harden	3.89	5.7	100	81
De'Anthony Melton	2.80	6.6	30	22
Tobias Harris	2.78	6.5	37

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2022-23 regular season, not this game.

Portland Trail Blazers

Jusuf Nurkić contested 8.9 shots per game over his 52 games.
He ranks 23 of 382 in the league.
Matisse Thybulle deflected 2.4 passes per game over his 64 games.
He ranks 36 of 382 in the league.
Jerami Grant drew 0.13 charges per game over his 63 games.
He ranks 40 of 382 in the league.

Philadelphia 76ers

Joel Embiid recovered 0.9 loose balls per game over his 66 games.
He ranks 11 of 382 in the league.
De'Anthony Melton deflected 3.0 passes per game over his 77 games.
He ranks 12 of 382 in the league.
James Harden recovered 0.8 loose balls per game over his 58 games.
He ranks 32 of 382 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Philadelphia 76ers have won 26 of their 58 games against the Portland Trail Blazers.

26-32record of the Philadelphia 76ers · NBA 1996-97 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

1-1in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1996-97 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

21.001

105% of capacity

Xfinity Mobile Arena · Philadelphia

Scoring

239

combined points

9.6 above the season average (229.4)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

20 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors