SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 15 March 2023

SAC117–114CHI
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 98% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 29 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ CHI winsSAC wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHI leads and falls when SAC does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · SAC

Domantas Sabonis
Harrison Barnes
De'Aaron Fox
Kevin Huerter
Malik Monk

Sabonis · Barnes · Fox · Huerter · Monk

Closing lineup · CHI

DeMar DeRozan
Zach LaVine
Nikola Vucevic
Ayo Dosunmu
Patrick Williams

DeRozan · LaVine · Vucevic · Dosunmu · Williams

Q1Q2Q3Q4
SAC
Domantas Sabonis

Domantas Sabonis

40′ · +10

Harrison Barnes

Harrison Barnes

36′ · +13

De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox

33′ · +5

Keegan Murray

Keegan Murray

30′ · +4

Kevin Huerter

Kevin Huerter

28′ · +26

Davion Mitchell

Davion Mitchell

15′ · -5

Malik Monk

Malik Monk

24′ · -5

Kessler Edwards

Kessler Edwards

18′ · -22

Chimezie Metu

Chimezie Metu

8′ · -4

Alex Len

Alex Len

5′ · -5

Terence Davis

Terence Davis

5′ · -2

CHI
DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan

40′ · -11

Zach LaVine

Zach LaVine

36′ · -3

Nikola Vucevic

Nikola Vucevic

35′ · -8

Patrick Beverley

Patrick Beverley

29′ · -8

Ayo Dosunmu

Ayo Dosunmu

28′ · -4

Coby White

Coby White

28′ · +5

Patrick Williams

Patrick Williams

25′ · +13

Andre Drummond

Andre Drummond

13′ · +6

Dalen Terry

Dalen Terry

7′ · -5

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. SAC and CHI.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Sacramento Kings

  • Sabonis, Fox, Huerter, Murray, and Barnes played 14.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 13 points.

  • Sabonis, Fox, Monk, Huerter, and Barnes played 5.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 12 points.

  • Fox, Monk, Metu, Edwards, and Murray played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

Chicago Bulls

  • Dosunmu, DeRozan, Beverley, Vucevic, and LaVine played 17.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • White, Williams, Dosunmu, DeRozan, and Drummond played 8.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • White, DeRozan, Beverley, Vucevic, and LaVine played 5.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Sacramento Kings

  • Sabonis, Monk, Edwards, Mitchell, and Murray played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Sabonis, Huerter, Mitchell, Murray, and Barnes played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Sabonis, Davis, Mitchell, Murray, and Barnes played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Fox, Monk, Metu, Edwards, and Len played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Sabonis, Monk, Metu, Edwards, and Mitchell played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Sabonis, Fox, Huerter, Edwards, and Barnes played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Sabonis, Monk, Huerter, Mitchell, and Barnes played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Sabonis, Fox, Monk, Murray, and Barnes played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Davis, Edwards, Mitchell, Barnes, and Len played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Sabonis, Fox, Monk, Edwards, and Murray played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Sabonis, Monk, Edwards, Mitchell, and Barnes played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Chicago Bulls

  • White, Williams, Beverley, Vucevic, and LaVine played 5.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • White, Williams, Terry, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • White, Williams, DeRozan, Vucevic, and LaVine played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • White, Williams, Terry, Drummond, and LaVine played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Williams, Dosunmu, DeRozan, Drummond, and LaVine played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
21.886
104.6% of capacity
United Center · Chicago
Scoring
231
combined points
1.6 above the season average (229.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

17 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Shooting · 01:00.2
Domantas Sabonis → DeMar DeRozan
Sabonis (SAC) initiates contact with DeRozan's (CHI) arm during the drive, that affects DeRozan's ability to gather the ball. A personal foul should have been assessed.