Atlanta Hawks – Minnesota Timberwolves · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 22 March 2023

ATL124–125MIN

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 93% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes
· The win probability swung between the two teams 22 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MIN winsATL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MIN leads and falls when ATL does.

This is how the game was decided.

Naz Reid decided it, the Minnesota Timberwolves player with the most points (26, with 8 rebounds and 0 assists; +3 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Karl-Anthony Towns's (+13). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Minnesota Timberwolves 125-124 Atlanta Hawks (March 22, 2023) was hit by Karl-Anthony Towns: a free throw with 3.1 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Minnesota Timberwolves up 125-124. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Minnesota Timberwolves 125-124 Atlanta Hawks (March 22, 2023) was a 10-0 run by the Minnesota Timberwolves in the fourth quarter (from 6:59 to 5:49), from 101-111 to 111-111. The Atlanta Hawks' best was a 10-0 run in the fourth quarter (from 9:24 to 8:04), from 99-98 to 109-98.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Karl-Anthony Towns makes free throw 2 of 2.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Karl-Anthony Towns decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 3.1 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 3 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Towns decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

22 March 2023 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401469245:681; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · ATL

Collins · Hunter · Young · Bogdanovic · Bey

Closing lineup · MIN

Anderson · McDaniels · Gobert · Conley · Prince

Q1Q2Q3Q4

ATL

John Collins

33′ · -3

De'Andre Hunter

32′ · -1

Trae Young

32′ · -13

Bogdan Bogdanovic

31′ · +1

Clint Capela

29′ · -6

Aaron Holiday

16′ · +12

AJ Griffin

18′ · +5

Onyeka Okongwu

19′ · +5

Saddiq Bey

19′ · +3

Garrison Mathews

12′ · -8

MIN

Kyle Anderson

36′ · -4

Jaden McDaniels

36′ · -8

Rudy Gobert

33′ · +3

Mike Conley

30′ · +10

Karl-Anthony Towns

26′ · +13

Taurean Prince

28′ · +1

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

17′ · -11

Naz Reid

26′ · +3

Jaylen Nowell

8′ · -2

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. ATL and MIN.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Atlanta Hawks

Collins, Young, Hunter, Capela, and Bogdanovic played 20.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Young, Mathews, Okongwu, Bey, and Griffin played 6.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Collins, Young, Hunter, Griffin, and Capela played 3.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Towns, McDaniels, Conley, Gobert, and Anderson played 13.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Prince, Reid, McDaniels, Gobert, and Anderson played 6.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Prince, Alexander-Walker, McDaniels, Gobert, and Anderson played 5.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Atlanta Hawks

Holiday, Mathews, Okongwu, Bey, and Griffin played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Collins, Holiday, Hunter, Capela, and Bogdanovic played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Collins, Holiday, Hunter, Griffin, and Capela played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 9 points.
Holiday, Mathews, Okongwu, Bey, and Bogdanovic played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Collins, Holiday, Okongwu, Bey, and Bogdanovic played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Holiday, Hunter, Okongwu, Bey, and Griffin played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Collins, Young, Okongwu, Bey, and Bogdanovic played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Holiday, Okongwu, Bey, Griffin, and Bogdanovic played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Holiday, Hunter, Okongwu, Bey, and Bogdanovic played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Towns, Prince, Nowell, Reid, and Conley played 5.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Towns, Prince, Alexander-Walker, Reid, and Conley played 5.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Alexander-Walker, Reid, McDaniels, Gobert, and Anderson played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Prince, Alexander-Walker, Reid, McDaniels, and Anderson played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Reid, McDaniels, Conley, Gobert, and Anderson played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Towns, Prince, Conley, Gobert, and Anderson played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Jaden McDaniels covered 4.57 km, more than anyone in the game.

Trae Young touched the ball 80 times, a game high.
Kyle Anderson made 54 passes, a game high.
Clint Capela defended 11 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 8.
Rudy Gobert had 20 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Atlanta Hawks

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Trae Young	3.73	6.5	80	47
De'Andre Hunter	3.72	6.5	27	12
John Collins	3.65	6.3	39	27
Bogdan Bogdanović	3.65	6.6	45	31
Clint Capela	3.25	6.3	39	31
AJ Griffin	2.53	7.7	14	10
Onyeka Okongwu	2.25	6.7	38	25
Saddiq Bey	2.25	6.5	31	17
Aaron Holiday	2.01	7.1	39	34
Garrison Mathews	1.56	7.3	11	8

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Jaden McDaniels	4.57	7.2	59	36
Kyle Anderson	4.04	6.3	65	54
Rudy Gobert	3.91	6.6	53	39
Mike Conley	3.65	6.7	67	53
Taurean Prince	3.46	6.8	41

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2022-23 regular season, not this game.

Atlanta Hawks

Garrison Mathews drew 0.28 charges per game over his 46 games.
He ranks 14 of 382 in the league.
Clint Capela drew 0.25 charges per game over his 65 games.
He ranks 15 of 382 in the league.
John Collins drew 0.20 charges per game over his 71 games.
He ranks 21 of 382 in the league.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Rudy Gobert contested 10.1 shots per game over his 70 games.
He ranks 14 of 382 in the league.
Taurean Prince drew 0.19 charges per game over his 54 games.
He ranks 23 of 382 in the league.
Kyle Anderson deflected 2.4 passes per game over his 69 games.
He ranks 34 of 382 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have won 28 of their 71 games against the Atlanta Hawks.

28-43record of the Minnesota Timberwolves · NBA 1989-90 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

1-1in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1989-90 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

17.136

95.1% of capacity

Target Center · Minneapolis

Scoring

249

combined points

19.6 above the season average (229.4)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

36 calls reviewed5 errors admitted by the NBA

Foul: Shooting · 00:00.8

Taurean Prince → Saddiq Bey

Prince (MIN) moves backwards into Bey's (ATL) body and the contact affects his put-back shot attempt at the basket.

Turnover: Traveling · 00:29.8

Bogdan Bogdanovic → Timberwolves

Bogdanovic (ATL) lifts and replants his pivot foot prior to releasing his dribble.

Foul: Offensive · 01:06.5

Rudy Gobert → Trae Young

Gobert (MIN) establishes a wide screening position and illegal contact occurs with Young's (ATL) lower body that affects Young's (ATL) ability to defend.

Turnover: 24 Second Violation · 01:24

Timberwolves → Hawks

The shot clock expires before Bogdanovic (ATL) gathers the loose ball.