SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 15 November 2023

ORL96–94CHI
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 59% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ CHI winsORL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHI leads and falls when ORL does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · ORL

Paolo Banchero
Franz Wagner
Jalen Suggs
Joe Ingles
Jonathan Isaac

Banchero · Wagner · Suggs · Ingles · Isaac

Closing lineup · CHI

Nikola Vucevic
Zach LaVine
Patrick Williams
Torrey Craig
Alex Caruso

Vucevic · LaVine · Williams · Craig · Caruso

Q1Q2Q3Q4
ORL
Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero

33′ · -8

Franz Wagner

Franz Wagner

31′ · +1

Anthony Black

Anthony Black

27′ · -2

Jalen Suggs

Jalen Suggs

27′ · -2

Goga Bitadze

Goga Bitadze

26′ · +6

Joe Ingles

Joe Ingles

18′ · +3

Cole Anthony

Cole Anthony

22′ · +4

Gary Harris

Gary Harris

21′ · +2

Moritz Wagner

Moritz Wagner

20′ · +2

Jonathan Isaac

Jonathan Isaac

17′ · +4

CHI
Nikola Vucevic

Nikola Vucevic

36′ · +4

Zach LaVine

Zach LaVine

36′ · +3

Coby White

Coby White

33′ · +5

Patrick Williams

Patrick Williams

32′ · -2

Torrey Craig

Torrey Craig

28′ · -8

Alex Caruso

Alex Caruso

24′ · +7

Ayo Dosunmu

Ayo Dosunmu

18′ · -6

Andre Drummond

Andre Drummond

12′ · -6

Jevon Carter

Jevon Carter

16′ · -3

Julian Phillips

Julian Phillips

4′ · -4

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. ORL and CHI.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Orlando Magic

  • Bitadze, Wagner, Suggs, Banchero, and Black played 15.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Isaac, Wagner, Anthony, Wagner, and Harris played 10.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 18 points.

  • Bitadze, Suggs, Banchero, Black, and Ingles played 7.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 10 points.

Chicago Bulls

  • Craig, White, Williams, Vucevic, and LaVine played 15.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Caruso, White, Williams, Vucevic, and LaVine played 9.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Caruso, Carter, Dosunmu, Phillips, and Drummond played 4.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Orlando Magic

  • Isaac, Wagner, Anthony, Harris, and Ingles played 4.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Wagner, Anthony, Banchero, Harris, and Ingles played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Wagner, Wagner, Suggs, Banchero, and Harris played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Bitadze, Anthony, Banchero, Black, and Ingles played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Isaac, Wagner, Suggs, Banchero, and Black played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

Chicago Bulls

  • Craig, Carter, White, Dosunmu, and Vucevic played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Caruso, Craig, Carter, Dosunmu, and Vucevic played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Craig, Carter, Williams, Dosunmu, and Vucevic played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Caruso, Williams, Dosunmu, Vucevic, and LaVine played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Carter, White, Williams, Drummond, and LaVine played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Caruso, Craig, Dosunmu, Drummond, and LaVine played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Caruso, Craig, Dosunmu, Vucevic, and LaVine played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Caruso, White, Williams, Drummond, and LaVine played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Caruso, Carter, Dosunmu, Drummond, and LaVine played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Caruso, Craig, White, Drummond, and LaVine played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
19.092
91.3% of capacity
United Center · Chicago
Scoring
190
combined points
38.4 below the season average (228.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

18 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA
Turnover: Traveling · 00:04.2
Paolo Banchero → Bulls
Banchero (ORL) lifts and replants his left pivot foot after his gather in the lane.
Foul: Shooting · 01:27.5
Alex Caruso → Franz Wagner
Caruso (CHI) reaches in and initiates contact to Wagner's (ORL) arm, which affects his driving shot attempt.