Win probability changed during the game. · 26 November 2023
It was more exciting than 91% of NBA games since 2017
- · It was still open in the final minutes
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when NYK leads and falls when PHX does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · PHX
Booker · Gordon · Bates-Diop · Little · Goodwin
Closing lineup · NYK
Brunson · Randle · Robinson · Barrett · Quickley
Devin Booker
38′ · +15
Eric Gordon
33′ · 0
Jusuf Nurkic
33′ · +1
Keita Bates-Diop
28′ · 0
Josh Okogie
17′ · -3
Nassir Little
20′ · -15
Jordan Goodwin
29′ · +7
Drew Eubanks
15′ · +2
Chimezie Metu
13′ · +3
Yuta Watanabe
15′ · +5
Jalen Brunson
38′ · +5
Julius Randle
36′ · -9
Mitchell Robinson
34′ · -1
RJ Barrett
31′ · -5
Quentin Grimes
20′ · -8
Josh Hart
24′ · +1
Immanuel Quickley
29′ · +5
Isaiah Hartenstein
14′ · -2
Donte DiVincenzo
14′ · -1
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. PHX and NYK.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Phoenix Suns
Booker, Bates-Diop, Okogie, Gordon, and Nurkic played 12.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Booker, Bates-Diop, Goodwin, Gordon, and Nurkic played 7.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Booker, Metu, Watanabe, Eubanks, and Goodwin played 6.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
New York Knicks
Brunson, Robinson, Barrett, Grimes, and Randle played 16.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Hartenstein, Hart, DiVincenzo, Barrett, and Quickley played 9.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Hart, Brunson, Robinson, Quickley, and Randle played 6.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
Phoenix Suns
Bates-Diop, Little, Goodwin, Gordon, and Nurkic played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Booker, Metu, Eubanks, Little, and Goodwin played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Booker, Metu, Little, Goodwin, and Nurkic played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Booker, Bates-Diop, Little, Gordon, and Nurkic played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Watanabe, Eubanks, Little, Goodwin, and Gordon played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Okogie, Watanabe, Little, Gordon, and Nurkic played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Booker, Watanabe, Eubanks, Little, and Goodwin played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
New York Knicks
Brunson, Robinson, Barrett, Quickley, and Randle played 4.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Hart, Brunson, Robinson, Grimes, and Randle played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Hartenstein, Hart, Brunson, Quickley, and Randle played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Hartenstein, Hart, Brunson, DiVincenzo, and Quickley played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Brunson, DiVincenzo, Robinson, Quickley, and Randle played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Hart, Brunson, DiVincenzo, Robinson, and Quickley played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.
