SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 26 January 2024

PHX131–133IND
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 67% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ IND winsPHX wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when IND leads and falls when PHX does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · PHX

Kevin Durant
Devin Booker
Grayson Allen
Bradley Beal
Eric Gordon

Durant · Booker · Allen · Beal · Gordon

Closing lineup · IND

Aaron Nesmith
Pascal Siakam
Andrew Nembhard
Bennedict Mathurin
Obi Toppin

Nesmith · Siakam · Nembhard · Mathurin · Toppin

Q1Q2Q3Q4
PHX
Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant

39′ · -9

Devin Booker

Devin Booker

38′ · +1

Grayson Allen

Grayson Allen

37′ · -8

Bradley Beal

Bradley Beal

34′ · -4

Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic

20′ · -3

Eric Gordon

Eric Gordon

30′ · 0

Drew Eubanks

Drew Eubanks

16′ · +12

Keita Bates-Diop

Keita Bates-Diop

9′ · +7

Josh Okogie

Josh Okogie

13′ · -1

Chimezie Metu

Chimezie Metu

2′ · -5

IND
Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith

34′ · +7

Pascal Siakam

Pascal Siakam

33′ · +9

Andrew Nembhard

Andrew Nembhard

30′ · +7

Myles Turner

Myles Turner

18′ · -2

Buddy Hield

Buddy Hield

14′ · -5

Bennedict Mathurin

Bennedict Mathurin

21′ · -2

Jalen Smith

Jalen Smith

20′ · -5

T.J. McConnell

T.J. McConnell

18′ · -5

Ben Sheppard

Ben Sheppard

18′ · -1

Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin

33′ · +7

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. PHX and IND.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Phoenix Suns

  • Booker, Allen, Durant, Beal, and Nurkic played 10.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Booker, Allen, Durant, Gordon, and Beal played 7.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Booker, Allen, Durant, Gordon, and Nurkic played 6.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

Indiana Pacers

  • Toppin, Smith, Mathurin, Sheppard, and McConnell played 9.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.

  • Turner, Siakam, Nembhard, Toppin, and Nesmith played 8.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Turner, Hield, Siakam, Nembhard, and Nesmith played 6.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Phoenix Suns

  • Booker, Allen, Eubanks, Durant, and Beal played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Okogie, Eubanks, Durant, Gordon, and Beal played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Booker, Bates-Diop, Eubanks, Gordon, and Beal played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Allen, Okogie, Durant, Beal, and Nurkic played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Metu, Okogie, Durant, Gordon, and Beal played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Booker, Allen, Bates-Diop, Eubanks, and Gordon played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Booker, Allen, Bates-Diop, Okogie, and Gordon played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Allen, Okogie, Eubanks, Durant, and Gordon played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Booker, Eubanks, Durant, Gordon, and Beal played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

Indiana Pacers

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Toppin, Nesmith, and Mathurin played 5.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Toppin, Nesmith, and Sheppard played 4.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Hield, Toppin, Smith, Mathurin, and McConnell played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Hield, Siakam, Nembhard, Nesmith, and Smith played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Siakam, Smith, Mathurin, Sheppard, and McConnell played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Hield, Toppin, Nesmith, Smith, and McConnell played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Turner, Toppin, Nesmith, Sheppard, and McConnell played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Nesmith, Smith, and Mathurin played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
17.274
96.4% of capacity
Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Indianapolis
Scoring
264
combined points
35.6 above the season average (228.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

15 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Offensive · 00:36.1
Devin Booker → Aaron Nesmith
Booker (PHX) extends his arm into Nesmith (IND) and dislodges him from his defensive position.