Toronto Raptors – Atlanta Hawks · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 28 January 2024

TOR125–126ATL

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 98% of NBA games since 2017

· It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ ATL winsTOR wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when ATL leads and falls when TOR does.

This is how the game was decided.

Trae Young decided it, the Atlanta Hawks player with the most points (30, with 2 rebounds and 12 assists; +8 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Clint Capela's (+19). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Atlanta Hawks 126-125 Toronto Raptors (January 28, 2024) was hit by Saddiq Bey: a dunk with 1.1 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Atlanta Hawks up 126-125. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Atlanta Hawks 126-125 Toronto Raptors (January 28, 2024) was a 9-0 run by the Toronto Raptors in the second quarter (from 10:23 to 9:07), from 31-36 to 40-36. The Atlanta Hawks' best was a 8-0 run in the first quarter (from 7:11 to 5:31), from 14-12 to 22-12.

With 24 points, this is Jordan Nwora's highest-scoring game of the 2023‑24 regular season.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Saddiq Bey makes dunk.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

It is compared by points with all his official NBA box scores in that scope; it is the same criterion the Analyst uses.

Saddiq Bey decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 1.1 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 3 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Bey decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

28 January 2024 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401585281:715; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · TOR

Barnes · Brown · Trent · Young · Nwora

Closing lineup · ATL

Johnson · Young · Bey · Bogdanovic · Capela

Q1Q2Q3Q4

TOR

Scottie Barnes

38′ · -11

Bruce Brown

37′ · -22

Dennis Schroder

29′ · +7

Gary Trent Jr.

26′ · -19

Thaddeus Young

22′ · -18

Gradey Dick

25′ · +19

Jontay Porter

19′ · +14

Jordan Nwora

31′ · +11

Chris Boucher

13′ · +14

ATL

Jalen Johnson

42′ · +6

Trae Young

42′ · +8

Saddiq Bey

41′ · +19

Bogdan Bogdanovic

39′ · +17

Clint Capela

28′ · +19

Patty Mills

15′ · -18

Trent Forrest

6′ · -7

Onyeka Okongwu

20′ · -18

Garrison Mathews

8′ · -21

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. TOR and ATL.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Toronto Raptors

Brown, Trent, Barnes, Young, and Schroder played 12.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Boucher, Porter, Nwora, Dick, and Schroder played 7.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 17 points.
Brown, Porter, Nwora, Barnes, and Dick played 6.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

Atlanta Hawks

Young, Bey, Johnson, Capela, and Bogdanovic played 26.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 17 points.
Young, Mathews, Okongwu, Johnson, and Mills played 5.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 16 points.
Young, Okongwu, Bey, Johnson, and Bogdanovic played 4.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Toronto Raptors

Brown, Trent, Nwora, Barnes, and Schroder played 4.6 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Boucher, Nwora, Barnes, Dick, and Young played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Brown, Trent, Nwora, Barnes, and Dick played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Brown, Trent, Nwora, Young, and Schroder played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Brown, Trent, Nwora, Barnes, and Young played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Boucher, Brown, Barnes, Young, and Schroder played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Boucher, Porter, Nwora, Barnes, and Dick played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Brown, Porter, Trent, Barnes, and Dick played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Brown, Trent, Barnes, Dick, and Young played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Brown, Nwora, Barnes, Dick, and Young played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.

Atlanta Hawks

Young, Okongwu, Bey, Johnson, and Mills played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Okongwu, Bey, Forrest, Mills, and Bogdanovic played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Mathews, Okongwu, Bey, Forrest, and Bogdanovic played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Bey, Forrest, Mills, Capela, and Bogdanovic played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Young, Okongwu, Johnson, Mills, and Bogdanovic played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Jalen Johnson covered 5.25 km, more than anyone in the game.

Trae Young touched the ball 105 times, a game high.
Jalen Johnson made 81 passes, a game high.
Scottie Barnes defended 15 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 8.
Clint Capela had 24 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Toronto Raptors

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Scottie Barnes	4.68	7.0	79	56
Bruce Brown	4.60	7.0	62	46
Jordan Nwora	4.28	7.7	59	39
Dennis Schröder	3.62	6.9	78	59
Gradey Dick	3.44	7.6	30	14
Gary Trent Jr.	3.06	6.5	27	13
Thaddeus Young	2.61	6.7	32	29
Jontay Porter	2.41	7.0	40	31
Chris Boucher	1.64	6.9	12	7

Atlanta Hawks

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Jalen Johnson	5.25	7.0	104	81
Saddiq Bey	5.07	6.9	65	39
Trae Young	4.92	6.6	105	67
Bogdan Bogdanović	4.89	7.1	50	33
Clint Capela	3.35	6.7	37

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2023-24 regular season, not this game.

Toronto Raptors

Dennis Schröder recovered 0.9 loose balls per game over his 79 games.
He ranks 27 of 373 in the league.
Scottie Barnes contested 7.1 shots per game over his 60 games.
He ranks 35 of 373 in the league.
Chris Boucher drew 0.09 charges per game over his 47 games.
He ranks 47 of 373 in the league.

Atlanta Hawks

Garrison Mathews drew 0.25 charges per game over his 60 games.
He ranks 9 of 373 in the league.
Trae Young drew 0.22 charges per game over his 54 games.
He ranks 11 of 373 in the league.
Clint Capela drew 0.19 charges per game over his 73 games.
He ranks 12 of 373 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Atlanta Hawks have won 54 of their 113 games against the Toronto Raptors.

54-59record of the Atlanta Hawks · NBA 1995-96 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

0-4in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1995-96 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

15.658

91.9% of capacity

State Farm Arena · Atlanta

Scoring

251

combined points

22.6 above the season average (228.4)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

18 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA

Foul: Personal · 00:10.0

Jordan Nwora → Trae Young

Nwora (TOR) continues to move into and makes contact with Young's (ATL) lower body, affecting his SQBR during his drive in transition.

Foul: Shooting · 00:19.2

Clint Capela → Scottie Barnes

Capela (ATL) lifts his arm into a vertical position, at the end of Barnes' (TOR) drive, and lowers it, initiating contact with Barnes' wrist which affects his shot attempt.