SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 26 February 2024

DET111–113NYK
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 70% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ NYK winsDET wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when NYK leads and falls when DET does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · DET

Ausar Thompson
Cade Cunningham
Simone Fontecchio
Jalen Duren
Quentin Grimes

Thompson · Cunningham · Fontecchio · Duren · Grimes

Closing lineup · NYK

Josh Hart
Jalen Brunson
Precious Achiuwa
Donte DiVincenzo
Isaiah Hartenstein

Hart · Brunson · Achiuwa · DiVincenzo · Hartenstein

Q1Q2Q3Q4
DET
Ausar Thompson

Ausar Thompson

36′ · +3

Cade Cunningham

Cade Cunningham

36′ · +3

Simone Fontecchio

Simone Fontecchio

33′ · -2

Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren

31′ · +3

Jaden Ivey

Jaden Ivey

24′ · +4

Quentin Grimes

Quentin Grimes

24′ · -6

James Wiseman

James Wiseman

17′ · -5

Evan Fournier

Evan Fournier

20′ · -1

Malachi Flynn

Malachi Flynn

12′ · -5

Tosan Evbuomwan

Tosan Evbuomwan

8′ · -4

NYK
Josh Hart

Josh Hart

42′ · -1

Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson

40′ · +3

Precious Achiuwa

Precious Achiuwa

34′ · +9

Donte DiVincenzo

Donte DiVincenzo

32′ · -6

Isaiah Hartenstein

Isaiah Hartenstein

27′ · +5

Jericho Sims

Jericho Sims

20′ · +2

Alec Burks

Alec Burks

14′ · +8

Bojan Bogdanovic

Bojan Bogdanovic

22′ · -9

Miles McBride

Miles McBride

10′ · -1

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. DET and NYK.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Detroit Pistons

  • Cunningham, Ivey, Duren, Fontecchio, and Thompson played 21.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Grimes, Wiseman, Flynn, Evbuomwan, and Fournier played 7.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Grimes, Cunningham, Duren, Fontecchio, and Thompson played 5.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

New York Knicks

  • Hartenstein, Hart, Brunson, DiVincenzo, and Achiuwa played 18.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Hart, Brunson, DiVincenzo, Achiuwa, and Sims played 6.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Brunson, Achiuwa, Sims, Burks, and Bogdanovic played 5.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Detroit Pistons

  • Grimes, Cunningham, Duren, Thompson, and Fournier played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Grimes, Wiseman, Cunningham, Fontecchio, and Fournier played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Grimes, Wiseman, Flynn, Thompson, and Fournier played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Wiseman, Flynn, Ivey, Thompson, and Fournier played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Grimes, Wiseman, Cunningham, Fontecchio, and Thompson played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Grimes, Cunningham, Duren, Fontecchio, and Fournier played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

New York Knicks

  • Hartenstein, Hart, McBride, Burks, and Bogdanovic played 4.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Hart, McBride, Sims, Burks, and Bogdanovic played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Hart, Brunson, DiVincenzo, Sims, and Bogdanovic played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Hart, Brunson, McBride, Sims, and Bogdanovic played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Hartenstein, Hart, Brunson, DiVincenzo, and Bogdanovic played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Hartenstein, Hart, DiVincenzo, McBride, and Bogdanovic played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Hart, Brunson, DiVincenzo, Achiuwa, and Bogdanovic played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Hart, Brunson, Achiuwa, Sims, and Burks played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
19.303
97.4% of capacity
Madison Square Garden · New York
Scoring
224
combined points
4.4 below the season average (228.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

24 calls reviewed3 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Loose Ball · 00:08.2
Donte DiVincenzo → Ausar Thompson
Thompson (DET) deflects the ball from NYK, which ends their team control. However, he does not yet gain possession before DiVincenzo (NYK) drives into his lower body. A loose ball foul was warranted.
Foul: Defense 3 Second · 00:25.0
Jalen Duren → Knicks
Duren (DET) is in the paint for longer than three seconds without imminently actively guarding an opponent.
Foul: Loose Ball · 00:58.0
Jalen Duren → Isaiah Hartenstein
Duren (DET) holds Hartenstein's (NYK) wrist, affecting his ability to get to the rebound.