Sacramento Kings – Miami Heat · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 4 November 2024

SAC111–110MIA

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 96% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes
· It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MIA winsSAC wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MIA leads and falls when SAC does.

This is how the game was decided.

De'Aaron Fox decided it, the Sacramento Kings player with the most points (28, with 6 rebounds and 5 assists; -9 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Keon Ellis's (+22). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Miami Heat 110-111 Sacramento Kings (November 4, 2024) was hit by Domantas Sabonis: a jump shot with 0.1 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Sacramento Kings up 111-110. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Miami Heat 110-111 Sacramento Kings (November 4, 2024) was a 14-0 run by the Sacramento Kings in the third quarter (from 4:02 to 1:17), from 71-76 to 85-76. The Miami Heat' best was a 8-0 run in the second quarter (from 2:20 to 1:01), from 49-47 to 57-47.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Domantas Sabonis makes 9-foot two point shot.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Domantas Sabonis decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 0.1 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 5 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Sabonis decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

4 November 2024 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401704725:689; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · SAC

Murray · Sabonis · Fox · Ellis · Len

Closing lineup · MIA

Butler · Adebayo · Herro · Rozier · Larsson

Q1Q2Q3Q4

SAC

Keegan Murray

39′ · +4

Domantas Sabonis

38′ · +8

De'Aaron Fox

37′ · -9

DeMar DeRozan

36′ · -2

Keon Ellis

29′ · +22

Alex Len

10′ · -7

Malik Monk

24′ · -4

Trey Lyles

16′ · -1

Jordan McLaughlin

11′ · -6

MIA

Jimmy Butler III

36′ · +11

Bam Adebayo

36′ · -3

Tyler Herro

34′ · -6

Terry Rozier

30′ · +6

Nikola Jovic

12′ · -9

Pelle Larsson

25′ · +2

Haywood Highsmith

8′ · -12

Alec Burks

13′ · +7

Thomas Bryant

12′ · +2

Josh Richardson

21′ · -8

Duncan Robinson

14′ · +5

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. SAC and MIA.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Sacramento Kings

Sabonis, Fox, Murray, Ellis, and DeRozan played 12.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 9 points.
Sabonis, Fox, Monk, Murray, and DeRozan played 6.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Lyles, Fox, Monk, DeRozan, and Len played 4.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

Miami Heat

Rozier, Adebayo, Herro, Jovic, and Butler played 12.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.
Rozier, Adebayo, Herro, Larsson, and Butler played 10.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 14 points.
Richardson, Bryant, Robinson, Burks, and Butler played 8.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Sacramento Kings

Lyles, Sabonis, Fox, Monk, and Murray played 3.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Sabonis, Monk, Murray, Ellis, and DeRozan played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Lyles, Sabonis, Monk, Murray, and Ellis played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Sabonis, Fox, McLaughlin, Murray, and Ellis played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Lyles, McLaughlin, Ellis, DeRozan, and Len played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Sabonis, Fox, McLaughlin, Murray, and DeRozan played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Lyles, Sabonis, McLaughlin, Ellis, and DeRozan played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Fox, Murray, Ellis, DeRozan, and Len played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Sabonis, Monk, McLaughlin, Murray, and Ellis played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Lyles, Fox, Monk, Murray, and Len played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Lyles, Sabonis, Fox, Monk, and DeRozan played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Sabonis, Fox, Monk, Murray, and Ellis played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Fox, McLaughlin, Murray, DeRozan, and Len played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

Miami Heat

Richardson, Adebayo, Highsmith, Herro, and Larsson played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 11 points.
Rozier, Adebayo, Highsmith, Herro, and Larsson played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Richardson, Adebayo, Robinson, Burks, and Butler played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Rozier, Richardson, Adebayo, Robinson, and Larsson played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Rozier, Richardson, Adebayo, Herro, and Larsson played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Richardson, Bryant, Robinson, Larsson, and Butler played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Keegan Murray covered 4.78 km, more than anyone in the game.

Jimmy Butler III touched the ball 75 times, a game high.
Terry Rozier made 52 passes, a game high.
Domantas Sabonis had 28 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Sacramento Kings

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Keegan Murray	4.78	6.9	49	33
De'Aaron Fox	4.63	7.0	62	35
Domantas Sabonis	4.36	6.4	54	38
DeMar DeRozan	4.09	6.4	43	22
Keon Ellis	3.62	7.2	39	33
Malik Monk	3.01	6.8	41	29
Trey Lyles	2.04	6.9	17	12
Jordan McLaughlin	1.46	7.8	16	13
Alex Len	1.29	7.4	11	10

Miami Heat

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Tyler Herro	4.36	7.3	68	42
Jimmy Butler III	4.34	6.8	75	49
Bam Adebayo	4.10	6.4	63	47
Terry Rozier	3.83	7.1	66	52
Pelle Larsson	3.28	7.2	22	14

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2024-25 regular season, not this game.

Sacramento Kings

Keon Ellis deflected 3.6 passes per game over his 78 games.
He ranks 5 of 388 in the league.
Keegan Murray drew 0.16 charges per game over his 76 games.
He ranks 16 of 388 in the league.
De'Aaron Fox deflected 3.1 passes per game over his 62 games.
He ranks 17 of 388 in the league.

Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler III recovered 0.9 loose balls per game over his 54 games.
He ranks 13 of 388 in the league.
Bam Adebayo deflected 3.1 passes per game over his 78 games.
He ranks 19 of 388 in the league.
Duncan Robinson drew 0.11 charges per game over his 72 games.
He ranks 32 of 388 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Miami Heat have won 48 of their 75 games against the Sacramento Kings.

48-27record of the Miami Heat · NBA 1988-89 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

1-1in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1988-89 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

19.604

100% of capacity

Kaseya Center · Miami

Scoring

221

combined points

6.7 below the season average (227.7)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

16 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors