Miami Heat – Minnesota Timberwolves · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 10 November 2024

MIA95–94MIN

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 97% of NBA games since 2017

· The win probability swung between the two teams 19 times
· It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MIN winsMIA wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MIN leads and falls when MIA does.

This is how the game was decided.

Tyler Herro decided it, the Miami Heat player with the most points (26, with 6 rebounds and 3 assists; -6 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Bam Adebayo's (+12). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Minnesota Timberwolves 94-95 Miami Heat (November 10, 2024) was hit by Nikola Jović: a free throw with 7.1 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Miami Heat up 95-94. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Minnesota Timberwolves 94-95 Miami Heat (November 10, 2024) was a 15-0 run by the Minnesota Timberwolves in the third quarter (from 4:52 to 2:09), from 56-63 to 71-63. The Miami Heat' best was a 8-0 run in the first quarter (from 4:07 to 2:55), from 15-15 to 23-15.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Nikola Jovic makes free throw 1 of 1.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Nikola Jović decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 7.1 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is the only game he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Jović decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

10 November 2024 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401704772:690; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · MIA

Adebayo · Herro · Highsmith · Rozier · Jovic

Closing lineup · MIN

Edwards · Randle · McDaniels · Conley · Reid

Q1Q2Q3Q4

MIA

Bam Adebayo

39′ · +12

Tyler Herro

34′ · -8

Haywood Highsmith

33′ · -5

Terry Rozier

32′ · -5

Kevin Love

13′ · +10

Josh Richardson

20′ · 0

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

16′ · -2

Kel'el Ware

9′ · -14

Duncan Robinson

17′ · +2

Nikola Jovic

23′ · +10

Pelle Larsson

3′ · +3

MIN

Anthony Edwards

37′ · +2

Julius Randle

36′ · -2

Jaden McDaniels

33′ · +5

Rudy Gobert

33′ · -4

Mike Conley

24′ · -14

Donte DiVincenzo

29′ · +3

Naz Reid

23′ · +10

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

26′ · -3

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. MIA and MIN.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Miami Heat

Rozier, Adebayo, Highsmith, Herro, and Love played 11.1 minutes together.
Rozier, Adebayo, Highsmith, Herro, and Jovic played 8.5 minutes together.
Richardson, Adebayo, Robinson, Jovic, and Jaquez played 8.1 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Miami Heat lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Edwards, McDaniels, Conley, Gobert, and Randle played 13.2 minutes together.
DiVincenzo, Alexander-Walker, Reid, Conley, and Randle played 5.7 minutes together.
DiVincenzo, Reid, Edwards, McDaniels, and Gobert played 4.8 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Minnesota Timberwolves lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

▸See every lineup of the game

Miami Heat

Rozier, Adebayo, Robinson, Jovic, and Larsson played 3.2 minutes together.
Rozier, Richardson, Adebayo, Highsmith, and Herro played 2.0 minutes together.
Richardson, Adebayo, Highsmith, Herro, and Love played 2.0 minutes together.
Richardson, Highsmith, Herro, Jaquez, and Ware played 2.0 minutes together.
Rozier, Adebayo, Highsmith, Herro, and Jaquez played 1.9 minutes together.
Richardson, Adebayo, Robinson, Herro, and Jovic played 1.7 minutes together.
Rozier, Highsmith, Herro, Jaquez, and Ware played 1.7 minutes together.
Rozier, Richardson, Highsmith, Herro, and Ware played 1.5 minutes together.
Rozier, Robinson, Highsmith, Herro, and Ware played 1.5 minutes together.
Richardson, Robinson, Jovic, Jaquez, and Ware played 1.4 minutes together.

Minnesota Timberwolves

DiVincenzo, Edwards, McDaniels, Gobert, and Randle played 4.2 minutes together.
DiVincenzo, Alexander-Walker, Reid, Edwards, and Randle played 3.7 minutes together.
DiVincenzo, Alexander-Walker, Edwards, McDaniels, and Randle played 3.4 minutes together.
DiVincenzo, Alexander-Walker, Reid, Conley, and Gobert played 3.2 minutes together.
Alexander-Walker, Edwards, McDaniels, Gobert, and Randle played 2.9 minutes together.
Alexander-Walker, Reid, Edwards, McDaniels, and Randle played 2.5 minutes together.
DiVincenzo, Alexander-Walker, Reid, Edwards, and Gobert played 2.4 minutes together.
DiVincenzo, Alexander-Walker, McDaniels, Conley, and Gobert played 1.8 minutes together.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Tyler Herro covered 4.49 km, more than anyone in the game.

Anthony Edwards touched the ball 88 times, a game high.
Anthony Edwards made 53 passes, a game high.
Rudy Gobert had 23 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Miami Heat

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Tyler Herro	4.49	7.3	68	41
Bam Adebayo	4.42	6.3	51	33
Haywood Highsmith	4.36	7.2	49	40
Terry Rozier	4.22	7.3	59	43
Nikola Jović	2.90	6.9	36	23
Josh Richardson	2.62	7.3	27	23
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	2.19	7.3	38	28
Duncan Robinson	2.16	6.8	32	20
Kevin Love	1.53	6.6	26	19
Kel'el Ware	1.05	6.4	8	4
Pelle Larsson	0.45	7.5	4	3

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Jaden McDaniels	4.42	7.4	53	40
Anthony Edwards	4.23	6.2	88	53
Julius Randle	4.15	6.4	73	50
Rudy Gobert	3.93	6.7	31	23
Donte DiVincenzo	3.83	7.2	62

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2024-25 regular season, not this game.

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo deflected 3.1 passes per game over his 78 games.
He ranks 19 of 388 in the league.
Duncan Robinson drew 0.11 charges per game over his 72 games.
He ranks 32 of 388 in the league.
Haywood Highsmith deflected 2.3 passes per game over his 74 games.
He ranks 63 of 388 in the league.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Rudy Gobert contested 9.9 shots per game over his 72 games.
He ranks 8 of 388 in the league.
Julius Randle recovered 0.9 loose balls per game over his 68 games.
He ranks 9 of 388 in the league.
Jaden McDaniels deflected 2.7 passes per game over his 82 games.
He ranks 35 of 388 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have won 36 of their 72 games against the Miami Heat.

36-36record of the Minnesota Timberwolves · NBA 1989-90 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

2-0in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1989-90 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

18.978

105.3% of capacity

Target Center · Minneapolis

Scoring

189

combined points

38.7 below the season average (227.7)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

18 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA

Foul: Shooting · 01:09.5

Haywood Highsmith → Mike Conley

Highsmith (MIA) initiates contact to Conley's (MIN) right leg during his upward shooting motion, affecting the jump shot attempt.