Dallas Mavericks – Denver Nuggets · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 10 November 2024

DAL120–122DEN

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 94% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes
· The win probability swung between the two teams 38 times
· It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ DEN winsDAL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when DEN leads and falls when DAL does.

This is how the game was decided.

Nikola Jokić decided it, the Denver Nuggets player with the most points (37, with 18 rebounds and 15 assists; +13 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Jamal Murray's (+15). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Denver Nuggets 122-120 Dallas Mavericks (November 10, 2024) was hit by Michael Porter Jr.: a jump shot with 6.1 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Denver Nuggets up 122-120. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Denver Nuggets 122-120 Dallas Mavericks (November 10, 2024) was a 7-0 run by the Denver Nuggets in the third quarter (from 4:25 to 3:23), from 83-83 to 90-83. The Dallas Mavericks' best was a 7-0 run between the first quarter and the second quarter, from 27-35 to 34-35.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Michael Porter Jr. makes 14-foot driving floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists).

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Michael Porter Jr. decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 6.1 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 2 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Porter decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

10 November 2024 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401704774:644; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · DAL

Doncic · Marshall · Irving · Gafford · Thompson

Closing lineup · DEN

Watson · Jokic · Murray · Braun · Westbrook

Q1Q2Q3Q4

DAL

Luka Doncic

41′ · +5

Naji Marshall

36′ · +7

Kyrie Irving

35′ · -6

Daniel Gafford

34′ · -5

Klay Thompson

33′ · -4

Dwight Powell

14′ · +3

Olivier-Maxence Prosper

8′ · -13

Spencer Dinwiddie

20′ · +3

Jaden Hardy

19′ · 0

DEN

Peyton Watson

40′ · +3

Nikola Jokic

38′ · +13

Jamal Murray

38′ · +15

Michael Porter Jr.

36′ · +2

Christian Braun

35′ · +8

Julian Strawther

23′ · -7

Russell Westbrook

20′ · -13

Zeke Nnaji

10′ · -11

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. DAL and DEN.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Dallas Mavericks

Doncic, Gafford, Marshall, Irving, and Thompson played 16.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Doncic, Marshall, Hardy, Thompson, and Powell played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Doncic, Gafford, Marshall, Irving, and Dinwiddie played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

Denver Nuggets

Murray, Porter, Braun, Watson, and Jokic played 24.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 9 points.
Strawther, Braun, Watson, Westbrook, and Jokic played 6.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Murray, Porter, Nnaji, Strawther, and Westbrook played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Dallas Mavericks

Doncic, Gafford, Hardy, Prosper, and Thompson played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Doncic, Gafford, Marshall, Hardy, and Dinwiddie played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Doncic, Marshall, Irving, Dinwiddie, and Powell played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Doncic, Gafford, Hardy, Thompson, and Dinwiddie played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Doncic, Marshall, Irving, Thompson, and Powell played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Marshall, Hardy, Irving, Dinwiddie, and Powell played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Gafford, Marshall, Hardy, Irving, and Dinwiddie played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Doncic, Prosper, Irving, Thompson, and Powell played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Prosper, Irving, Thompson, Dinwiddie, and Powell played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Doncic, Gafford, Irving, Thompson, and Dinwiddie played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Doncic, Gafford, Hardy, Prosper, and Dinwiddie played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

Denver Nuggets

Porter, Nnaji, Strawther, Watson, and Westbrook played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Murray, Nnaji, Strawther, Watson, and Westbrook played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Murray, Porter, Strawther, Braun, and Jokic played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Murray, Strawther, Watson, Westbrook, and Jokic played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Murray, Porter, Strawther, Westbrook, and Jokic played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Murray, Strawther, Braun, Watson, and Jokic played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Peyton Watson covered 4.67 km, more than anyone in the game.

Nikola Jokić touched the ball 130 times, a game high.
Nikola Jokić made 98 passes, a game high.
Daniel Gafford defended 12 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 7.
Nikola Jokić had 29 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Dallas Mavericks

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Naji Marshall	4.49	7.0	43	33
Daniel Gafford	4.14	6.9	51	39
Luka Dončić	4.04	5.6	98	66
Kyrie Irving	3.78	6.1	66	40
Klay Thompson	3.75	6.6	36	22
Jaden Hardy	2.43	7.4	26	16
Spencer Dinwiddie	2.37	6.6	33	25
Dwight Powell	1.79	7.2	16	11
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	1.11	7.9	9	7

Denver Nuggets

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Peyton Watson	4.67	6.6	39	30
Jamal Murray	4.41	6.5	73	47
Christian Braun	4.20	6.7	48	34
Nikola Jokić	4.09	6.1	130	98
Michael Porter Jr.	3.86	6.1	50

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2024-25 regular season, not this game.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford defended 6.4 shots at the rim per game over his 57 games, and opponents made 14 fewer out of every 100 than usual.
He ranks 3 of 138 in the league.
Luka Dončić deflected 3.4 passes per game over his 50 games.
He ranks 11 of 388 in the league.
Kyrie Irving deflected 3.3 passes per game over his 50 games.
He ranks 13 of 388 in the league.

Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokić deflected 3.8 passes per game over his 70 games.
He ranks 4 of 388 in the league.
Russell Westbrook deflected 2.5 passes per game over his 75 games.
He ranks 46 of 388 in the league.
Jamal Murray recovered 0.7 loose balls per game over his 67 games.
He ranks 49 of 388 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Denver Nuggets have won 103 of their 208 games against the Dallas Mavericks.

103-105record of the Denver Nuggets · NBA 1980-81 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

2-2in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1980-81 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

19.908

102% of capacity

Ball Arena · Denver

Scoring

242

combined points

14.3 above the season average (227.7)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

11 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors