SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 25 December 2024

LAL115–113GSW
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 74% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 17 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ GSW winsLAL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when GSW leads and falls when LAL does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · LAL

Rui Hachimura
LeBron James
Austin Reaves
Max Christie
Gabe Vincent

Hachimura · James · Reaves · Christie · Vincent

Closing lineup · GSW

Stephen Curry
Andrew Wiggins
Draymond Green
Dennis Schroder
Jonathan Kuminga

Curry · Wiggins · Green · Schroder · Kuminga

Q1Q2Q3Q4
LAL
Rui Hachimura

Rui Hachimura

39′ · -5

LeBron James

LeBron James

37′ · +4

Austin Reaves

Austin Reaves

37′ · -4

Max Christie

Max Christie

34′ · -8

Anthony Davis

Anthony Davis

7′ · -7

Gabe Vincent

Gabe Vincent

29′ · +3

Dalton Knecht

Dalton Knecht

25′ · +13

Cam Reddish

Cam Reddish

23′ · +7

Christian Koloko

Christian Koloko

9′ · +7

GSW
Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry

36′ · -1

Andrew Wiggins

Andrew Wiggins

35′ · +4

Draymond Green

Draymond Green

34′ · +2

Dennis Schroder

Dennis Schroder

28′ · +4

Trayce Jackson-Davis

Trayce Jackson-Davis

26′ · +11

Buddy Hield

Buddy Hield

17′ · -6

Jonathan Kuminga

Jonathan Kuminga

28′ · -17

Kevon Looney

Kevon Looney

5′ · -7

Brandin Podziemski

Brandin Podziemski

24′ · +2

Gary Payton II

Gary Payton II

7′ · -4

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. LAL and GSW.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Los Angeles Lakers

  • Hachimura, Vincent, Reaves, Christie, and James played 12.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Vincent, Reddish, Koloko, Knecht, and James played 6.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Hachimura, Reaves, Christie, Davis, and James played 6.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

Golden State Warriors

  • Jackson-Davis, Curry, Green, Schroder, and Wiggins played 12.2 minutes together.

  • Payton, Kuminga, Podziemski, Curry, and Green played 6.5 minutes together.

  • Jackson-Davis, Podziemski, Curry, Green, and Wiggins played 3.8 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Golden State Warriors lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

▸See every lineup of the game

Los Angeles Lakers

  • Hachimura, Reddish, Reaves, Christie, and Knecht played 4.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Hachimura, Reaves, Christie, Knecht, and James played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Hachimura, Vincent, Reddish, Knecht, and James played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Hachimura, Vincent, Christie, Knecht, and James played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Hachimura, Vincent, Reddish, Reaves, and Knecht played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Hachimura, Reddish, Reaves, Christie, and James played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Hachimura, Reddish, Reaves, Knecht, and James played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Reddish, Reaves, Christie, Koloko, and Knecht played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Golden State Warriors

  • Hield, Kuminga, Jackson-Davis, Podziemski, and Schroder played 3.8 minutes together.

  • Kuminga, Curry, Green, Schroder, and Wiggins played 3.5 minutes together.

  • Hield, Jackson-Davis, Podziemski, Schroder, and Wiggins played 3.1 minutes together.

  • Hield, Kuminga, Curry, Green, and Wiggins played 2.7 minutes together.

  • Kuminga, Podziemski, Curry, Green, and Wiggins played 2.6 minutes together.

  • Looney, Hield, Kuminga, Podziemski, and Schroder played 2.4 minutes together.

  • Looney, Hield, Kuminga, Curry, and Wiggins played 2.4 minutes together.

  • Kuminga, Jackson-Davis, Podziemski, Schroder, and Wiggins played 1.2 minutes together.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
18.064
100% of capacity
Chase Center · San Francisco
Scoring
228
combined points
0.3 above the season average (227.7)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

16 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors