SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 29 December 2024

BKN101–102ORL
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 73% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 20 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ ORL winsBKN wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when ORL leads and falls when BKN does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · BKN

Keon Johnson
Nic Claxton
Ben Simmons
Tyrese Martin
Cam Thomas

Johnson · Claxton · Simmons · Martin · Thomas

Closing lineup · ORL

Tristan da Silva
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Goga Bitadze
Jonathan Isaac
Gary Harris

da Silva · Caldwell-Pope · Bitadze · Isaac · Harris

Q1Q2Q3Q4
BKN
Keon Johnson

Keon Johnson

33′ · -3

Nic Claxton

Nic Claxton

32′ · -19

Ben Simmons

Ben Simmons

31′ · -22

Noah Clowney

Noah Clowney

28′ · -4

Cameron Johnson

Cameron Johnson

25′ · +1

Jalen Wilson

Jalen Wilson

31′ · +5

Tyrese Martin

Tyrese Martin

20′ · +13

Cam Thomas

Cam Thomas

25′ · +8

Day'Ron Sharpe

Day'Ron Sharpe

16′ · +18

ORL
Tristan da Silva

Tristan da Silva

35′ · +23

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

34′ · +17

Goga Bitadze

Goga Bitadze

34′ · +9

Wendell Carter Jr.

Wendell Carter Jr.

27′ · -2

Jalen Suggs

Jalen Suggs

13′ · -4

Jonathan Isaac

Jonathan Isaac

19′ · -12

Gary Harris

Gary Harris

15′ · -13

Trevelin Queen

Trevelin Queen

6′ · -14

Jett Howard

Jett Howard

12′ · -18

Cory Joseph

Cory Joseph

14′ · -7

Cole Anthony

Cole Anthony

17′ · +17

Caleb Houstan

Caleb Houstan

15′ · +9

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BKN and ORL.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Brooklyn Nets

  • Simmons, Claxton, Johnson, Johnson, and Clowney played 9.6 minutes together.

  • Sharpe, Johnson, Thomas, Wilson, and Martin played 7.7 minutes together.

  • Claxton, Johnson, Thomas, Wilson, and Martin played 5.5 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Brooklyn Nets lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

Orlando Magic

  • Carter, Bitadze, Suggs, da Silva, and Caldwell-Pope played 6.5 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Carter, Bitadze, Anthony, da Silva, and Caldwell-Pope played 6.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Bitadze, Howard, da Silva, Joseph, and Caldwell-Pope played 4.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Brooklyn Nets

  • Simmons, Claxton, Johnson, Thomas, and Clowney played 4.4 minutes together.

  • Simmons, Claxton, Johnson, Wilson, and Clowney played 4.0 minutes together.

  • Simmons, Claxton, Johnson, Thomas, and Wilson played 3.7 minutes together.

  • Simmons, Sharpe, Johnson, Wilson, and Clowney played 3.7 minutes together.

  • Simmons, Johnson, Sharpe, Martin, and Clowney played 2.0 minutes together.

  • Johnson, Sharpe, Wilson, Martin, and Clowney played 1.5 minutes together.

  • Johnson, Sharpe, Johnson, Wilson, and Martin played 1.0 minutes together.

Orlando Magic

  • Isaac, Carter, Queen, Howard, and Harris played 4.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.

  • Bitadze, Suggs, da Silva, Joseph, and Caldwell-Pope played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Isaac, Bitadze, Anthony, Houstan, and Harris played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Bitadze, Anthony, Houstan, da Silva, and Caldwell-Pope played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 11 points.

  • Carter, Houstan, da Silva, Joseph, and Caldwell-Pope played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Isaac, Carter, Houstan, Joseph, and Harris played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Isaac, Carter, Suggs, Howard, and Caldwell-Pope played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Carter, Anthony, Houstan, da Silva, and Caldwell-Pope played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Isaac, Bitadze, Anthony, da Silva, and Harris played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Isaac, Bitadze, Queen, Howard, and Harris played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Isaac, Bitadze, Houstan, da Silva, and Caldwell-Pope played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Carter, Houstan, da Silva, Joseph, and Harris played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Isaac, Bitadze, Anthony, da Silva, and Caldwell-Pope played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
19.397
102.9% of capacity
Kia Center · Orlando
Scoring
203
combined points
24.7 below the season average (227.7)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

10 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Shooting · 01:18.1
Keon Johnson → Tristan da Silva
Johnson (BKN) obtains a legal guarding position in da Silva's (ORL) path and is dislodged from his position. An offensive foul on da Silva should be called instead of a blocking foul on Johnson.