SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 31 January 2025

BOS118–116NOP
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 81% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ NOP winsBOS wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when NOP leads and falls when BOS does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · BOS

Jayson Tatum
Kristaps Porzingis
Jrue Holiday
Al Horford
Luke Kornet

Tatum · Porzingis · Holiday · Horford · Kornet

Closing lineup · NOP

Trey Murphy III
CJ McCollum
Javonte Green
Brandon Boston
Jose Alvarado

Murphy · McCollum · Green · Boston · Alvarado

Q1Q2Q3Q4
BOS
Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum

39′ · +4

Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown

35′ · +2

Derrick White

Derrick White

34′ · +2

Kristaps Porzingis

Kristaps Porzingis

30′ · +3

Jrue Holiday

Jrue Holiday

30′ · +1

Al Horford

Al Horford

25′ · -4

Payton Pritchard

Payton Pritchard

17′ · 0

Luke Kornet

Luke Kornet

16′ · +2

Sam Hauser

Sam Hauser

14′ · 0

Jaden Springer

Jaden Springer

0′ · 0

NOP
Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III

39′ · +3

CJ McCollum

CJ McCollum

34′ · -2

Yves Missi

Yves Missi

30′ · -2

Javonte Green

Javonte Green

29′ · +1

Dejounte Murray

Dejounte Murray

8′ · -1

Karlo Matkovic

Karlo Matkovic

18′ · 0

Brandon Boston

Brandon Boston

30′ · -7

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl

13′ · -4

Jose Alvarado

Jose Alvarado

34′ · +1

Jamal Cain

Jamal Cain

5′ · +1

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BOS and NOP.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Boston Celtics

  • Brown, Tatum, White, Holiday, and Porzingis played 22.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Tatum, Kornet, Pritchard, Hauser, and Horford played 8.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Brown, Kornet, Pritchard, Hauser, and Horford played 4.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Green, Murphy, Alvarado, Missi, and McCollum played 10.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Robinson-Earl, Boston, Alvarado, Matkovic, and McCollum played 5.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Murray, Green, Murphy, Missi, and McCollum played 5.4 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

▸See every lineup of the game

Boston Celtics

  • Tatum, White, Horford, Holiday, and Porzingis played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Brown, White, Horford, Holiday, and Porzingis played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Brown, White, Kornet, Pritchard, and Horford played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Brown, Tatum, White, Horford, and Holiday played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Tatum, White, Hauser, Horford, and Porzingis played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Robinson-Earl, Boston, Murphy, Alvarado, and Matkovic played 5.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Green, Boston, Murphy, Alvarado, and Missi played 5.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Green, Boston, Murphy, Missi, and McCollum played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Boston, Murphy, Alvarado, Cain, and Missi played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Boston, Alvarado, Matkovic, Cain, and McCollum played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Murray, Green, Murphy, Matkovic, and McCollum played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Green, Boston, Murphy, Matkovic, and McCollum played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Robinson-Earl, Boston, Alvarado, Missi, and McCollum played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
16.432
97.4% of capacity
Smoothie King Center · New Orleans
Scoring
234
combined points
6.3 above the season average (227.7)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

20 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA
Violation: Defensive Goaltending · 01:17.1
Javonte Green → Kristaps Porzingis
Green (NOP) puts his hand through the net and makes contact with the ball while it's in the imaginary cylinder as the called illegal contact occurs with Porzingis (BOS) during his play at the basket.
Foul: Shooting · 01:37.6
Derrick White → Trey Murphy III
White (BOS) has a resting forearm on Murphy III's (NOP) body as he drives toward the basket, and marginal contact occurs before White removes his arm during Murphy III's upward shooting motion.