Sacramento Kings – Dallas Mavericks · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 10 February 2025

SAC129–128DAL

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 97% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes
· The win probability swung between the two teams 42 times
· It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ DAL winsSAC wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when DAL leads and falls when SAC does.

This is how the game was decided.

DeMar DeRozan decided it, the Sacramento Kings player with the most points (42, with 7 rebounds and 3 assists; +21 with him on the floor). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Dallas Mavericks 128-129 Sacramento Kings (February 10, 2025) was hit by DeMar DeRozan: a jump shot with 2.0 s left in overtime, putting the Sacramento Kings up 129-128. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Dallas Mavericks 128-129 Sacramento Kings (February 10, 2025) was a 10-0 run by the Dallas Mavericks in the first quarter (from 1:42 to 30.0 s), from 25-27 to 35-27. The Sacramento Kings' best was a 9-0 run in the first quarter (from 7:34 to 5:36), from 13-13 to 22-13.

With 42 points, this is DeMar DeRozan's highest-scoring game of the 2024‑25 regular season.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: DeMar DeRozan makes 13-foot driving floating jump shot.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

It is compared by points with all his official NBA box scores in that scope; it is the same criterion the Analyst uses.

DeMar DeRozan decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 2 seconds left in overtime 1, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 11 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games DeRozan decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

10 February 2025 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401705328:785; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · SAC

Monk · Sabonis · DeRozan · LaVine · Lyles

Closing lineup · DAL

Irving · Edwards · Prosper · Dinwiddie · Christie

Q1Q2Q3Q4OT1

SAC

Malik Monk

43′ · +8

Domantas Sabonis

42′ · +19

DeMar DeRozan

39′ · +21

Zach LaVine

38′ · +6

Keegan Murray

30′ · -3

Keon Ellis

32′ · -13

Jake LaRavia

13′ · -17

Trey Lyles

10′ · -10

Jonas Valanciunas

18′ · -6

DAL

Kyrie Irving

44′ · -7

Klay Thompson

26′ · -14

Kessler Edwards

26′ · -10

Dante Exum

19′ · -7

Daniel Gafford

10′ · +9

Olivier-Maxence Prosper

34′ · -21

Spencer Dinwiddie

34′ · +8

Max Christie

35′ · +23

Naji Marshall

27′ · +5

Jaden Hardy

9′ · +10

Kylor Kelley

1′ · -1

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. SAC and DAL.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Sacramento Kings

Sabonis, Monk, Murray, DeRozan, and LaVine played 19.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 13 points.
Lyles, Monk, Ellis, LaRavia, and Valanciunas played 9.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.
Sabonis, Murray, Ellis, DeRozan, and LaVine played 6.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

Dallas Mavericks

Marshall, Christie, Prosper, Irving, and Dinwiddie played 8.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Marshall, Edwards, Christie, Irving, and Dinwiddie played 5.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Edwards, Prosper, Irving, Thompson, and Exum played 5.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Sacramento Kings

Sabonis, Monk, Ellis, DeRozan, and LaVine played 4.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Sabonis, Monk, Ellis, DeRozan, and Valanciunas played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Sabonis, Ellis, DeRozan, Valanciunas, and LaVine played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Sabonis, Ellis, LaRavia, DeRozan, and LaVine played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Sabonis, Monk, Murray, Ellis, and LaRavia played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Sabonis, Monk, Murray, Ellis, and LaVine played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Monk, Murray, Ellis, Valanciunas, and LaVine played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Sabonis, Monk, DeRozan, Valanciunas, and LaVine played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

Dallas Mavericks

Gafford, Edwards, Irving, Thompson, and Exum played 4.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Edwards, Christie, Prosper, Irving, and Exum played 4.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Christie, Prosper, Irving, Thompson, and Dinwiddie played 3.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Marshall, Prosper, Irving, Thompson, and Dinwiddie played 3.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Gafford, Marshall, Hardy, Christie, and Dinwiddie played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 9 points.
Christie, Prosper, Irving, Thompson, and Exum played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Edwards, Hardy, Prosper, Thompson, and Dinwiddie played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Gafford, Marshall, Christie, Irving, and Dinwiddie played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Edwards, Christie, Irving, Thompson, and Exum played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Marshall, Hardy, Christie, Prosper, and Dinwiddie played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Edwards, Prosper, Irving, Thompson, and Dinwiddie played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Gafford, Marshall, Hardy, Thompson, and Dinwiddie played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Malik Monk covered 5.15 km, more than anyone in the game.

Malik Monk touched the ball 88 times, a game high.
Malik Monk made 63 passes, a game high.
Domantas Sabonis had 28 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Sacramento Kings

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Malik Monk	5.15	6.7	88	63
Domantas Sabonis	4.97	6.6	73	56
Zach LaVine	4.81	7.0	68	46
DeMar DeRozan	4.36	6.3	53	23
Keegan Murray	3.91	7.2	39	27
Keon Ellis	3.88	6.6	34	25
Jonas Valanciunas	2.17	6.9	35	24
Jake LaRavia	1.77	7.3	13	11
Trey Lyles	1.30	6.9	18	13

Dallas Mavericks

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Kyrie Irving	4.84	6.2	80	50
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	4.36	7.2	44	33
Max Christie	4.15	6.5	46	32
Spencer Dinwiddie	3.65	5.8	76	55
Kessler Edwards	3.33	7.3	40

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2024-25 regular season, not this game.

Sacramento Kings

Keon Ellis deflected 3.6 passes per game over his 78 games.
He ranks 5 of 388 in the league.
Keegan Murray drew 0.16 charges per game over his 76 games.
He ranks 16 of 388 in the league.
Trey Lyles drew 0.14 charges per game over his 69 games.
He ranks 23 of 388 in the league.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford defended 6.4 shots at the rim per game over his 57 games, and opponents made 14 fewer out of every 100 than usual.
He ranks 3 of 138 in the league.
Kyrie Irving deflected 3.3 passes per game over his 50 games.
He ranks 13 of 388 in the league.
Kessler Edwards defended 4.4 shots at the rim per game over his 34 games, and opponents made 7 fewer out of every 100 than usual.
He ranks 25 of 138 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Dallas Mavericks have won 95 of their 176 games against the Sacramento Kings.

95-81record of the Dallas Mavericks · NBA 1985-86 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

1-2in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1985-86 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

19.726

102.7% of capacity

American Airlines Center · Dallas

Scoring

257

combined points

29.3 above the season average (227.7)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

42 calls reviewed3 errors admitted by the NBA

Turnover: Out of Bounds · 00:15.1

DeMar DeRozan → Mavericks

DeRozan's (SAC) shot attempt enters the cylinder from below, which is considered out of bounds.

Foul: Offensive · 01:06.3

Olivier-Maxence Prosper → Zach LaVine

Prosper (DAL) establishes himself in a wide screening position and the illegal foot contact that occurs causes LaVine (SAC) to lose his balance as he moves around the screen.

Turnover: 3 Second Violation · 01:27.0

Domantas Sabonis → Mavericks

Sabonis (SAC) is in the paint for longer than three seconds.