SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 28 February 2025

MIN116–117UTA
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 88% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 17 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ UTA winsMIN wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when UTA leads and falls when MIN does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · MIN

Naz Reid
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Jaden McDaniels
Mike Conley
Donte DiVincenzo

Reid · Alexander-Walker · McDaniels · Conley · DiVincenzo

Closing lineup · UTA

Isaiah Collier
John Collins
Walker Kessler
Keyonte George
KJ Martin

Collier · Collins · Kessler · George · Martin

Q1Q2Q3Q4
MIN
Naz Reid

Naz Reid

41′ · -5

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

35′ · -14

Jaden McDaniels

Jaden McDaniels

35′ · -14

Terrence Shannon Jr

Terrence Shannon Jr

28′ · -6

Mike Conley

Mike Conley

24′ · -16

Donte DiVincenzo

Donte DiVincenzo

26′ · +14

Luka Garza

Luka Garza

18′ · +11

Jaylen Clark

Jaylen Clark

16′ · +14

Rob Dillingham

Rob Dillingham

18′ · +11

UTA
Isaiah Collier

Isaiah Collier

30′ · +16

John Collins

John Collins

27′ · +11

Walker Kessler

Walker Kessler

26′ · +23

Johnny Juzang

Johnny Juzang

21′ · +12

Collin Sexton

Collin Sexton

17′ · +13

Brice Sensabaugh

Brice Sensabaugh

23′ · -6

Keyonte George

Keyonte George

25′ · -23

KJ Martin

KJ Martin

22′ · -8

Cody Williams

Cody Williams

18′ · -10

Kyle Filipowski

Kyle Filipowski

22′ · -22

Jaden Springer

Jaden Springer

10′ · -1

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. MIN and UTA.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Alexander-Walker, Reid, McDaniels, Shannon, and Conley played 17.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 13 points.

  • DiVincenzo, Reid, Garza, Clark, and Dillingham played 8.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • DiVincenzo, Alexander-Walker, Reid, McDaniels, and Conley played 6.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

Utah Jazz

  • Collins, Sexton, Juzang, Kessler, and Collier played 7.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 16 points.

  • Collins, Sexton, Springer, Collier, and Filipowski played 5.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Martin, George, Sensabaugh, Williams, and Filipowski played 4.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • DiVincenzo, Alexander-Walker, Reid, McDaniels, and Shannon played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Alexander-Walker, McDaniels, Shannon, Garza, and Dillingham played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • DiVincenzo, Alexander-Walker, McDaniels, Garza, and Clark played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • DiVincenzo, McDaniels, Garza, Clark, and Dillingham played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • DiVincenzo, Reid, Shannon, Clark, and Dillingham played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • DiVincenzo, Alexander-Walker, Reid, Garza, and Clark played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Alexander-Walker, Reid, McDaniels, Shannon, and Dillingham played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

Utah Jazz

  • Martin, Springer, George, Williams, and Filipowski played 4.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Martin, Kessler, George, Sensabaugh, and Williams played 4.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Collins, Juzang, Kessler, Sensabaugh, and Collier played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Collins, Kessler, George, Williams, and Collier played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Collins, Sexton, Juzang, Collier, and Filipowski played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Collins, Kessler, George, Sensabaugh, and Collier played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Martin, Juzang, George, Sensabaugh, and Filipowski played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Martin, Juzang, Kessler, George, and Sensabaugh played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Martin, Juzang, Sensabaugh, Collier, and Filipowski played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Martin, Kessler, Sensabaugh, Williams, and Collier played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
18.175
99.3% of capacity
Delta Center · Salt Lake City
Scoring
233
combined points
5.3 above the season average (227.7)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

11 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Offensive · 01:20.7
Walker Kessler → Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Kessler (UTA) establishes himself in a wide stance in Alexander-Walker's (MIN) path, and he delivers illegal contact to Alexander-Walker that affects ability to defend.