Milwaukee Bucks – Indiana Pacers · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 11 March 2025

MIL114–115IND

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 96% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes
· The win probability swung between the two teams 47 times
· It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ IND winsMIL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when IND leads and falls when MIL does.

This is how the game was decided.

Pascal Siakam decided it, the Indiana Pacers player with the most points (25, with 12 rebounds and 5 assists; +9 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was T.J. McConnell's (+10). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Indiana Pacers 115-114 Milwaukee Bucks (March 11, 2025) was hit by Tyrese Haliburton: a free throw with 3.1 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Indiana Pacers up 115-114. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Indiana Pacers 115-114 Milwaukee Bucks (March 11, 2025) was a 12-0 run by the Milwaukee Bucks in the second quarter (from 7:14 to 4:26), from 36-47 to 48-47. The Indiana Pacers' best was a 10-0 run in the fourth quarter (from 10:07 to 8:08), from 93-93 to 103-93.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Tyrese Haliburton makes free throw 1 of 1.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Tyrese Haliburton decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 3.1 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 7 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Haliburton decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

11 March 2025 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401705508:647; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · MIL

Lillard · Lopez · Prince · Antetokounmpo · Kuzma

Closing lineup · IND

Siakam · Haliburton · Nesmith · Nembhard · Sheppard

Q1Q2Q3Q4

MIL

Damian Lillard

37′ · +10

Brook Lopez

36′ · +16

Taurean Prince

34′ · +4

Giannis Antetokounmpo

34′ · +10

Kyle Kuzma

31′ · -18

AJ Green

20′ · -8

Kevin Porter Jr.

17′ · -6

Jericho Sims

12′ · -17

Gary Trent Jr.

20′ · +4

IND

Pascal Siakam

37′ · +9

Tyrese Haliburton

32′ · -3

Aaron Nesmith

31′ · -13

Andrew Nembhard

29′ · -15

Myles Turner

28′ · -1

Thomas Bryant

19′ · +4

Bennedict Mathurin

22′ · +4

T.J. McConnell

21′ · +10

Ben Sheppard

15′ · +6

Obi Toppin

6′ · +2

Tony Bradley

0′ · 0

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. MIL and IND.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Milwaukee Bucks

Prince, Kuzma, Lopez, Lillard, and Antetokounmpo played 16.4 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Prince, Trent, Lopez, Lillard, and Antetokounmpo played 6.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 15 points.
Kuzma, Trent, Sims, Green, and Lillard played 5.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

Indiana Pacers

Turner, Siakam, Nembhard, Haliburton, and Nesmith played 18.7 minutes together.
Siakam, Bryant, Mathurin, Sheppard, and McConnell played 6.7 minutes together.
Siakam, Bryant, Nembhard, Haliburton, and Nesmith played 4.9 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Indiana Pacers lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

▸See every lineup of the game

Milwaukee Bucks

Prince, Porter, Green, Lopez, and Antetokounmpo played 5.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Kuzma, Porter, Sims, Green, and Lillard played 4.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Prince, Trent, Porter, Lopez, and Antetokounmpo played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Trent, Green, Lopez, Lillard, and Antetokounmpo played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Kuzma, Porter, Green, Lopez, and Lillard played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

Indiana Pacers

Turner, Siakam, Mathurin, Sheppard, and McConnell played 4.6 minutes together.
Turner, Nembhard, Haliburton, Nesmith, and Mathurin played 2.2 minutes together.
Siakam, Bryant, Haliburton, Mathurin, and McConnell played 2.1 minutes together.
Bryant, Toppin, Mathurin, Sheppard, and McConnell played 1.8 minutes together.
Turner, Nesmith, Mathurin, Sheppard, and McConnell played 1.7 minutes together.
Bryant, Toppin, Haliburton, Nesmith, and McConnell played 1.4 minutes together.
Bryant, Nembhard, Toppin, Haliburton, and Nesmith played 1.2 minutes together.
Turner, Nembhard, Nesmith, Mathurin, and McConnell played 1.2 minutes together.
Bryant, Toppin, Haliburton, Mathurin, and McConnell played 1.1 minutes together.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Damian Lillard covered 4.17 km, more than anyone in the game.

Giannis Antetokounmpo touched the ball 85 times, a game high.
Tyrese Haliburton made 74 passes, a game high.
Myles Turner defended 6 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 4.
Giannis Antetokounmpo had 21 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Milwaukee Bucks

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Damian Lillard	4.17	6.9	77	68
Brook Lopez	3.81	6.5	53	38
Taurean Prince	3.65	6.6	58	41
Kyle Kuzma	3.60	7.3	37	29
Giannis Antetokounmpo	3.41	6.1	85	64
AJ Green	2.51	7.7	29	26
Kevin Porter Jr.	2.09	7.8	26	21
Gary Trent Jr.	1.93	6.0	20	15
Jericho Sims	1.48	7.8	20	16

Indiana Pacers

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Pascal Siakam	3.91	6.5	59	39
Tyrese Haliburton	3.80	7.3	81	74
Aaron Nesmith	3.60	7.0	37	29
Andrew Nembhard	3.38	7.3	32	30
Myles Turner	3.06	6.6	40

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2024-25 regular season, not this game.

Milwaukee Bucks

Brook Lopez contested 13.6 shots per game over his 80 games.
He ranks 1 of 388 in the league.
Damian Lillard deflected 3.0 passes per game over his 58 games.
He ranks 21 of 388 in the league.
Kyle Kuzma drew 0.14 charges per game over his 64 games.
He ranks 23 of 388 in the league.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith drew 0.16 charges per game over his 45 games.
He ranks 16 of 388 in the league.
Pascal Siakam recovered 0.8 loose balls per game over his 78 games.
He ranks 19 of 388 in the league.
Myles Turner contested 8.7 shots per game over his 72 games.
He ranks 19 of 388 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Indiana Pacers have won 111 of their 238 games against the Milwaukee Bucks.

111-127record of the Indiana Pacers · NBA 1976-77 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

0-4in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1976-77 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

15.008

83.7% of capacity

Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Indianapolis

Scoring

229

combined points

1.3 above the season average (227.7)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

16 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA

Turnover: Traveling · 01:26.3

Tyrese Haliburton → Bucks

Haliburton (IND) maintains his pivot foot prior to jumping into his shooting motion.