SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 29 March 2025

BKN115–112WAS
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 89% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 38 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ WAS winsBKN wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when WAS leads and falls when BKN does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · BKN

Tyrese Martin
Keon Johnson
Ziaire Williams
Jalen Wilson
Trendon Watford

Martin · Johnson · Williams · Wilson · Watford

Closing lineup · WAS

AJ Johnson
Jaylen Martin
Colby Jones
Tristan Vukcevic
JT Thor

Johnson · Martin · Jones · Vukcevic · Thor

Q1Q2Q3Q4
BKN
Tyrese Martin

Tyrese Martin

31′ · +5

Keon Johnson

Keon Johnson

31′ · +5

Ziaire Williams

Ziaire Williams

25′ · +7

Cameron Johnson

Cameron Johnson

24′ · +7

Noah Clowney

Noah Clowney

19′ · +13

Drew Timme

Drew Timme

29′ · -12

Jalen Wilson

Jalen Wilson

23′ · -2

Trendon Watford

Trendon Watford

24′ · -4

Dariq Whitehead

Dariq Whitehead

17′ · -2

Maxwell Lewis

Maxwell Lewis

17′ · -2

WAS
AJ Johnson

AJ Johnson

42′ · -8

Alex Sarr

Alex Sarr

25′ · -7

Bub Carrington

Bub Carrington

22′ · -4

Jordan Poole

Jordan Poole

21′ · -5

Justin Champagnie

Justin Champagnie

17′ · -12

Jaylen Martin

Jaylen Martin

30′ · +9

Colby Jones

Colby Jones

29′ · +6

Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart

7′ · +2

Tristan Vukcevic

Tristan Vukcevic

24′ · +4

JT Thor

JT Thor

23′ · 0

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BKN and WAS.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Brooklyn Nets

  • Johnson, Williams, Johnson, Martin, and Clowney played 18.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 13 points.

  • Watford, Wilson, Timme, Lewis, and Whitehead played 17.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Johnson, Watford, Wilson, Timme, and Martin played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

Washington Wizards

  • Poole, Champagnie, Sarr, Carrington, and Johnson played 17.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 12 points.

  • Thor, Jones, Vukcevic, Martin, and Johnson played 16.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Thor, Jones, Vukcevic, Martin, and Smart played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

▸See every lineup of the game

Brooklyn Nets

  • Williams, Johnson, Watford, Timme, and Martin played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Johnson, Williams, Johnson, Timme, and Martin played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Johnson, Johnson, Wilson, Timme, and Martin played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

Washington Wizards

  • Thor, Jones, Martin, Sarr, and Johnson played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Jones, Vukcevic, Martin, Carrington, and Smart played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Poole, Jones, Martin, Sarr, and Johnson played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Jones, Martin, Sarr, Johnson, and Smart played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Poole, Martin, Sarr, Carrington, and Johnson played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
16.316
80.2% of capacity
Capital One Arena · Washington
Scoring
227
combined points
0.7 below the season average (227.7)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

22 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Shooting · 00:31.1
Tristan Vukcevic → Tyrese Martin
Vukcevic (WAS) steps into Martin's (BKN) space and delivers contact, which impacts Martin's driving shot attempt at the basket.