Win probability changed during the game. · 31 October 2025
It was more exciting than 67% of NBA games since 2017
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when PHI leads and falls when BOS does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · BOS
White · Pritchard · Brown · Minott · Tillman
Closing lineup · PHI
Maxey · Oubre · Edgecombe · Embiid · Grimes
Derrick White
35′ · -15
Payton Pritchard
33′ · -4
Jaylen Brown
32′ · -11
Josh Minott
22′ · -4
Neemias Queta
19′ · -3
Sam Hauser
24′ · +3
Anfernee Simons
29′ · +23
Luka Garza
15′ · +5
Hugo Gonzalez
15′ · +10
Xavier Tillman
13′ · -1
Baylor Scheierman
3′ · +2
Tyrese Maxey
44′ · +10
Kelly Oubre Jr.
41′ · +5
VJ Edgecombe
40′ · +3
Joel Embiid
25′ · +2
Jabari Walker
11′ · +3
Quentin Grimes
33′ · -15
Adem Bona
11′ · -10
Justin Edwards
12′ · -3
Trendon Watford
11′ · -7
Andre Drummond
12′ · +7
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BOS and PHI.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Boston Celtics
Brown, White, Queta, Pritchard, and Minott played 9.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Brown, Simons, Pritchard, Garza, and Hauser played 7.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
White, Simons, Queta, Hauser, and Gonzalez played 6.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Philadelphia 76ers
Oubre, Maxey, Walker, Edgecombe, and Embiid played 11.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Oubre, Grimes, Maxey, Edgecombe, and Embiid played 9.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Oubre, Grimes, Maxey, Edgecombe, and Drummond played 5.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
▸See every lineup of the game
Boston Celtics
Brown, White, Pritchard, Tillman, and Minott played 5.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Brown, White, Queta, Pritchard, and Hauser played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Simons, Pritchard, Garza, Hauser, and Gonzalez played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 10 points.
Brown, Simons, Pritchard, Garza, and Minott played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
White, Simons, Tillman, Minott, and Scheierman played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
White, Simons, Tillman, Minott, and Gonzalez played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
White, Simons, Tillman, Hauser, and Gonzalez played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Brown, White, Simons, Tillman, and Minott played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
White, Simons, Tillman, Scheierman, and Gonzalez played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
White, Simons, Garza, Hauser, and Gonzalez played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Brown, White, Pritchard, Garza, and Hauser played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Philadelphia 76ers
Oubre, Grimes, Maxey, Bona, and Edwards played 4.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 11 points.
Oubre, Grimes, Maxey, Bona, and Edgecombe played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Oubre, Grimes, Maxey, Watford, and Bona played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Oubre, Maxey, Edwards, Edgecombe, and Drummond played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 11 points.
Grimes, Maxey, Watford, Edgecombe, and Embiid played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Grimes, Watford, Edwards, Edgecombe, and Drummond played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Grimes, Watford, Edwards, Edgecombe, and Embiid played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

