SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 29 October 2025

MEM114–113PHX
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 93% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 34 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ PHX winsMEM wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when PHX leads and falls when MEM does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · MEM

Ja Morant
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Jaylen Wells
Santi Aldama
Cedric Coward

Morant · Jackson · Wells · Aldama · Coward

Closing lineup · PHX

Devin Booker
Grayson Allen
Royce O'Neale
Mark Williams
Collin Gillespie

Booker · Allen · O'Neale · Williams · Gillespie

Q1Q2Q3Q4
MEM
Ja Morant

Ja Morant

32′ · +13

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

32′ · -2

Jaylen Wells

Jaylen Wells

29′ · -2

Jock Landale

Jock Landale

24′ · 0

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

19′ · +6

Santi Aldama

Santi Aldama

31′ · +8

Cedric Coward

Cedric Coward

28′ · +4

John Konchar

John Konchar

17′ · -13

Javon Small

Javon Small

10′ · -15

Cam Spencer

Cam Spencer

19′ · +6

PHX
Devin Booker

Devin Booker

36′ · +4

Grayson Allen

Grayson Allen

36′ · -2

Royce O'Neale

Royce O'Neale

35′ · +7

Ryan Dunn

Ryan Dunn

28′ · +4

Mark Williams

Mark Williams

28′ · +6

Collin Gillespie

Collin Gillespie

31′ · +1

Oso Ighodaro

Oso Ighodaro

12′ · -7

Nigel Hayes-Davis

Nigel Hayes-Davis

14′ · -9

Isaiah Livers

Isaiah Livers

8′ · -12

Nick Richards

Nick Richards

12′ · +3

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. MEM and PHX.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Jackson, Landale, Morant, Wells, and Caldwell-Pope played 7.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Landale, Morant, Konchar, Spencer, and Wells played 6.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Jackson, Konchar, Aldama, Coward, and Small played 5.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 13 points.

Phoenix Suns

  • Booker, O'Neale, Allen, Williams, and Dunn played 14.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Booker, O'Neale, Allen, Williams, and Gillespie played 6.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • O'Neale, Allen, Richards, Gillespie, and Ighodaro played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Jackson, Morant, Aldama, Wells, and Coward played 4.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Landale, Morant, Aldama, Wells, and Coward played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Jackson, Aldama, Spencer, Coward, and Small played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Jackson, Morant, Aldama, Coward, and Caldwell-Pope played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Jackson, Morant, Aldama, Wells, and Caldwell-Pope played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Landale, Aldama, Spencer, Wells, and Coward played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Jackson, Morant, Aldama, Spencer, and Coward played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Jackson, Morant, Aldama, Spencer, and Caldwell-Pope played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Landale, Morant, Konchar, Wells, and Caldwell-Pope played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Landale, Konchar, Coward, Small, and Caldwell-Pope played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Jackson, Konchar, Aldama, Spencer, and Coward played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Jackson, Aldama, Spencer, Wells, and Coward played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

Phoenix Suns

  • Booker, O'Neale, Gillespie, Ighodaro, and Dunn played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • O'Neale, Allen, Richards, Gillespie, and Dunn played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Booker, Hayes-Davis, Livers, Williams, and Dunn played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Hayes-Davis, Allen, Livers, Gillespie, and Ighodaro played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Booker, Hayes-Davis, Livers, Gillespie, and Ighodaro played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • O'Neale, Hayes-Davis, Allen, Richards, and Gillespie played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Booker, Hayes-Davis, Allen, Richards, and Gillespie played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Booker, Hayes-Davis, Williams, Gillespie, and Dunn played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Booker, Allen, Williams, Gillespie, and Dunn played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
17.071
100% of capacity
Mortgage Matchup Center · Phoenix
Scoring
227
combined points
4.2 below the season average (231.2)