SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 10 November 2025

POR112–115ORL
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 93% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ ORL winsPOR wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when ORL leads and falls when POR does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · POR

Jrue Holiday
Deni Avdija
Toumani Camara
Shaedon Sharpe
Jerami Grant

Holiday · Avdija · Camara · Sharpe · Grant

Closing lineup · ORL

Franz Wagner
Paolo Banchero
Desmond Bane
Anthony Black
Wendell Carter Jr.

Wagner · Banchero · Bane · Black · Carter

Q1Q2Q3Q4
POR
Jrue Holiday

Jrue Holiday

36′ · +14

Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija

35′ · -11

Toumani Camara

Toumani Camara

34′ · +3

Donovan Clingan

Donovan Clingan

29′ · -4

Shaedon Sharpe

Shaedon Sharpe

29′ · +4

Jerami Grant

Jerami Grant

31′ · -1

Kris Murray

Kris Murray

19′ · -3

Robert Williams III

Robert Williams III

14′ · -6

Sidy Cissoko

Sidy Cissoko

10′ · -7

Duop Reath

Duop Reath

4′ · -4

ORL
Franz Wagner

Franz Wagner

36′ · -1

Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero

35′ · -7

Desmond Bane

Desmond Bane

33′ · -2

Anthony Black

Anthony Black

32′ · -13

Wendell Carter Jr.

Wendell Carter Jr.

30′ · +2

Tristan da Silva

Tristan da Silva

17′ · +7

Jett Howard

Jett Howard

19′ · +8

Goga Bitadze

Goga Bitadze

18′ · +3

Jonathan Isaac

Jonathan Isaac

14′ · +8

Tyus Jones

Tyus Jones

6′ · +4

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. POR and ORL.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Portland Trail Blazers

  • Avdija, Sharpe, Camara, Clingan, and Holiday played 13.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Williams, Murray, Camara, Holiday, and Grant played 4.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Williams, Avdija, Sharpe, Camara, and Reath played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

Orlando Magic

  • Carter, Bane, Wagner, Banchero, and Black played 12.9 minutes together.

  • Bitadze, Banchero, Black, Howard, and da Silva played 7.0 minutes together.

  • Isaac, Carter, Bane, Wagner, and Howard played 6.8 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Orlando Magic lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

▸See every lineup of the game

Portland Trail Blazers

  • Avdija, Sharpe, Camara, Holiday, and Grant played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Williams, Avdija, Murray, Holiday, and Grant played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Avdija, Murray, Cissoko, Clingan, and Grant played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Avdija, Camara, Clingan, Holiday, and Grant played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Murray, Camara, Clingan, Holiday, and Grant played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Murray, Cissoko, Clingan, Holiday, and Grant played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Avdija, Sharpe, Cissoko, Clingan, and Grant played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Sharpe, Murray, Camara, Clingan, and Grant played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Sharpe, Camara, Clingan, Holiday, and Grant played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Williams, Avdija, Murray, Cissoko, and Grant played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Avdija, Cissoko, Clingan, Holiday, and Grant played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

Orlando Magic

  • Jones, Isaac, Carter, Bane, and Wagner played 3.8 minutes together.

  • Bitadze, Bane, Wagner, Banchero, and da Silva played 2.9 minutes together.

  • Bitadze, Wagner, Banchero, Black, and da Silva played 2.8 minutes together.

  • Carter, Bane, Banchero, Black, and da Silva played 2.5 minutes together.

  • Bitadze, Wagner, Banchero, Black, and Howard played 2.3 minutes together.

  • Isaac, Carter, Bane, Howard, and da Silva played 2.0 minutes together.

  • Bitadze, Bane, Wagner, Banchero, and Black played 1.7 minutes together.

  • Jones, Bitadze, Wagner, Banchero, and Black played 1.1 minutes together.

  • Carter, Wagner, Banchero, Black, and Howard played 1.1 minutes together.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
17.989
95.5% of capacity
Kia Center · Orlando
Scoring
227
combined points
4.2 below the season average (231.2)