SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 30 November 2025

OKC123–115POR
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 80% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ POR winsOKC wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when POR leads and falls when OKC does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Jalen Williams
Luguentz Dort
Jaylin Williams
Ajay Mitchell

Gilgeous-Alexander · Williams · Dort · Williams · Mitchell

Closing lineup · POR

Toumani Camara
Deni Avdija
Kris Murray
Jerami Grant
Sidy Cissoko

Camara · Avdija · Murray · Grant · Cissoko

Q1Q2Q3Q4
OKC
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

36′ · +2

Jalen Williams

Jalen Williams

34′ · +12

Chet Holmgren

Chet Holmgren

30′ · +14

Luguentz Dort

Luguentz Dort

28′ · -1

Cason Wallace

Cason Wallace

21′ · -2

Jaylin Williams

Jaylin Williams

14′ · -4

Isaiah Joe

Isaiah Joe

15′ · -2

Ajay Mitchell

Ajay Mitchell

29′ · +7

Aaron Wiggins

Aaron Wiggins

20′ · +9

Kenrich Williams

Kenrich Williams

13′ · +5

POR
Toumani Camara

Toumani Camara

38′ · +1

Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija

37′ · +4

Kris Murray

Kris Murray

35′ · -12

Jerami Grant

Jerami Grant

34′ · -11

Sidy Cissoko

Sidy Cissoko

21′ · +7

Rayan Rupert

Rayan Rupert

6′ · -8

Robert Williams III

Robert Williams III

19′ · 0

Duop Reath

Duop Reath

3′ · -9

Shaedon Sharpe

Shaedon Sharpe

22′ · -18

Caleb Love

Caleb Love

19′ · +3

Hansen Yang

Hansen Yang

4′ · +3

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. OKC and POR.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Holmgren, Williams, and Wallace played 13.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Williams, Wiggins, Holmgren, Williams, and Mitchell played 10.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Gilgeous-Alexander, Joe, Wiggins, Williams, and Mitchell played 6.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

Portland Trail Blazers

  • Avdija, Murray, Cissoko, Camara, and Grant played 10.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Avdija, Sharpe, Murray, Camara, and Grant played 4.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 11 points.

  • Sharpe, Love, Murray, Yang, and Grant played 4.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Joe, Williams, and Mitchell played 4.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Holmgren, Williams, and Mitchell played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Joe, Williams, and Wallace played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Williams, Wiggins, Williams, Wallace, and Mitchell played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Joe, Williams, and Wallace played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Williams, Wallace, and Mitchell played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Gilgeous-Alexander, Williams, Wiggins, Holmgren, and Williams played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

Portland Trail Blazers

  • Avdija, Love, Murray, Camara, and Grant played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Williams, Avdija, Sharpe, Love, and Camara played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Williams, Avdija, Cissoko, Camara, and Grant played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Avdija, Love, Murray, Cissoko, and Camara played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Williams, Avdija, Sharpe, Murray, and Camara played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Williams, Avdija, Love, Murray, and Camara played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Williams, Sharpe, Rupert, Reath, and Grant played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.

  • Williams, Sharpe, Love, Rupert, and Grant played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Williams, Avdija, Rupert, Camara, and Reath played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Sharpe, Love, Murray, Cissoko, and Grant played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Williams, Avdija, Murray, Cissoko, and Camara played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Williams, Avdija, Murray, Camara, and Grant played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Avdija, Murray, Cissoko, Rupert, and Camara played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Williams, Sharpe, Love, Camara, and Grant played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
17.597
90.7% of capacity
Moda Center · Portland
Scoring
238
combined points
6.8 above the season average (231.2)