SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 26 December 2025

BOS140–122IND
Is it worth watching?
Skippable

It was more exciting than 25% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ IND winsBOS wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when IND leads and falls when BOS does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · BOS

Payton Pritchard
Hugo Gonzalez
Anfernee Simons
Luka Garza
Baylor Scheierman

Pritchard · Gonzalez · Simons · Garza · Scheierman

Closing lineup · IND

Ethan Thompson
Micah Potter
Johnny Furphy
Kam Jones
Taelon Peter

Thompson · Potter · Furphy · Jones · Peter

Q1Q2Q3Q4
BOS
Payton Pritchard

Payton Pritchard

38′ · +8

Derrick White

Derrick White

33′ · +16

Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown

32′ · +19

Neemias Queta

Neemias Queta

21′ · -3

Jordan Walsh

Jordan Walsh

19′ · -5

Hugo Gonzalez

Hugo Gonzalez

12′ · -13

Anfernee Simons

Anfernee Simons

21′ · +7

Luka Garza

Luka Garza

27′ · +26

Sam Hauser

Sam Hauser

17′ · +17

Baylor Scheierman

Baylor Scheierman

20′ · +18

IND
Andrew Nembhard

Andrew Nembhard

30′ · -17

Bennedict Mathurin

Bennedict Mathurin

30′ · -13

Pascal Siakam

Pascal Siakam

28′ · -10

Jay Huff

Jay Huff

21′ · -2

Quenton Jackson

Quenton Jackson

16′ · +3

Ethan Thompson

Ethan Thompson

26′ · -8

Jarace Walker

Jarace Walker

18′ · -19

Tony Bradley

Tony Bradley

7′ · -6

T.J. McConnell

T.J. McConnell

14′ · -18

Micah Potter

Micah Potter

18′ · -7

Johnny Furphy

Johnny Furphy

18′ · -5

Kam Jones

Kam Jones

7′ · +6

Taelon Peter

Taelon Peter

7′ · +6

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BOS and IND.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Boston Celtics

  • Brown, White, Queta, Pritchard, and Walsh played 8.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Brown, Pritchard, Garza, Hauser, and Walsh played 6.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Brown, White, Pritchard, Garza, and Scheierman played 6.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 13 points.

Indiana Pacers

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Huff, Mathurin, and Jackson played 14.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Thompson, Potter, Furphy, Jones, and Peter played 6.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Thompson, Potter, Walker, Furphy, and McConnell played 5.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Boston Celtics

  • White, Simons, Queta, Scheierman, and Gonzalez played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • White, Simons, Garza, Hauser, and Gonzalez played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Brown, White, Queta, Pritchard, and Scheierman played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Brown, White, Queta, Pritchard, and Gonzalez played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Brown, White, Simons, Pritchard, and Garza played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Simons, Pritchard, Garza, Hauser, and Walsh played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • White, Simons, Queta, Hauser, and Scheierman played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Simons, Pritchard, Garza, Hauser, and Scheierman played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • White, Simons, Garza, Scheierman, and Gonzalez played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Brown, Simons, Pritchard, Garza, and Hauser played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Simons, Pritchard, Garza, Scheierman, and Gonzalez played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Indiana Pacers

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Huff, Thompson, and Mathurin played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Siakam, Potter, Walker, Furphy, and McConnell played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Siakam, Bradley, Thompson, Walker, and McConnell played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Bradley, Nembhard, Thompson, Mathurin, and Walker played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Siakam, Bradley, Nembhard, Thompson, and Mathurin played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Nembhard, Thompson, Potter, Mathurin, and Walker played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Thompson, Mathurin, and Furphy played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Bradley, Thompson, Mathurin, Walker, and McConnell played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Nembhard, Huff, Mathurin, Jackson, and Walker played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
17.004
94.9% of capacity
Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Indianapolis
Scoring
262
combined points
30.8 above the season average (231.2)