Orlando Magic – Indiana Pacers · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 31 December 2025

ORL112–110IND

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 88% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes
· The win probability swung between the two teams 35 times
· It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ IND winsORL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when IND leads and falls when ORL does.

This is how the game was decided.

Paolo Banchero decided it, the Orlando Magic player with the most points (29, with 10 rebounds and 4 assists; +2 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Anthony Black's (+7). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Indiana Pacers 110-112 Orlando Magic (December 31, 2025) was hit by Paolo Banchero: a layup with 7.5 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Orlando Magic up 112-110. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Indiana Pacers 110-112 Orlando Magic (December 31, 2025) was a 13-0 run by the Orlando Magic in the second quarter (from 4:53 to 2:24), from 47-53 to 60-53. The Indiana Pacers' best was a 7-0 run between the first quarter and the second quarter, from 25-31 to 32-31.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Paolo Banchero makes driving layup.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Paolo Banchero decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 7.5 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 6 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Banchero decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

31 December 2025 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401810319:716; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · ORL

Banchero · Bane · Black · Carter · Suggs

Closing lineup · IND

Mathurin · Siakam · Nembhard · Nesmith · Potter

Q1Q2Q3Q4

ORL

Paolo Banchero

35′ · +2

Desmond Bane

33′ · +2

Anthony Black

31′ · +5

Wendell Carter Jr.

29′ · -1

Jalen Suggs

25′ · +2

Tyus Jones

24′ · +3

Tristan da Silva

15′ · +5

Goga Bitadze

19′ · +3

Noah Penda

9′ · -14

Jase Richardson

8′ · -5

Jamal Cain

12′ · +6

IND

Bennedict Mathurin

37′ · -7

Pascal Siakam

34′ · -6

Andrew Nembhard

31′ · 0

Jay Huff

11′ · -16

Johnny Furphy

5′ · -7

Aaron Nesmith

32′ · +10

Tony Bradley

12′ · -9

Jarace Walker

18′ · -3

T.J. McConnell

17′ · -2

Ben Sheppard

19′ · +7

Micah Potter

26′ · +23

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. ORL and IND.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Orlando Magic

Carter, Bane, Suggs, Banchero, and Black played 10.3 minutes together.
Jones, Bitadze, Bane, Suggs, and da Silva played 7.7 minutes together.
Carter, Bane, Banchero, Cain, and Black played 6.2 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Orlando Magic lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

Indiana Pacers

Siakam, Nembhard, Nesmith, Potter, and Mathurin played 10.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 13 points.
Siakam, Nembhard, Nesmith, Huff, and Mathurin played 5.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Nesmith, Potter, Walker, Sheppard, and McConnell played 4.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Orlando Magic

Jones, Carter, Banchero, Black, and da Silva played 4.0 minutes together.
Bitadze, Bane, Suggs, Richardson, and Penda played 3.1 minutes together.
Jones, Carter, Banchero, Cain, and Black played 3.0 minutes together.
Carter, Banchero, Cain, Black, and Richardson played 3.0 minutes together.
Jones, Bitadze, Banchero, Black, and da Silva played 2.9 minutes together.
Jones, Bitadze, Bane, Suggs, and Penda played 2.4 minutes together.
Jones, Carter, Bane, Banchero, and Black played 1.8 minutes together.
Jones, Bitadze, Suggs, Banchero, and Penda played 1.8 minutes together.
Bitadze, Bane, Banchero, Richardson, and Penda played 1.2 minutes together.

Indiana Pacers

Siakam, Bradley, Nembhard, Nesmith, and Mathurin played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Potter, Mathurin, Walker, Sheppard, and McConnell played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Siakam, Nesmith, Potter, Sheppard, and McConnell played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Siakam, Nembhard, Huff, Mathurin, and Furphy played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Siakam, Nembhard, Potter, Mathurin, and Furphy played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Siakam, Nembhard, Potter, Mathurin, and Sheppard played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Bradley, Nesmith, Walker, Sheppard, and McConnell played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Nembhard, Huff, Mathurin, Walker, and Sheppard played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Bradley, Nesmith, Mathurin, Walker, and McConnell played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Bradley, Mathurin, Walker, Sheppard, and McConnell played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Siakam, Bradley, Nembhard, Mathurin, and Sheppard played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Bennedict Mathurin covered 4.68 km, more than anyone in the game.

Andrew Nembhard touched the ball 95 times, a game high.
Andrew Nembhard made 72 passes, a game high.
Micah Potter defended 9 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 7.
Wendell Carter Jr. had 18 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Orlando Magic

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Paolo Banchero	4.47	7.2	80	46
Desmond Bane	4.34	7.3	62	40
Anthony Black	3.83	6.9	54	35
Wendell Carter Jr.	3.68	7.1	43	36
Jalen Suggs	3.23	7.1	41	26
Tyus Jones	3.09	7.3	46	38
Goga Bitadze	2.43	7.1	34	24
Tristan da Silva	2.06	7.9	19	14
Jamal Cain	1.64	7.4	13	7
Noah Penda	1.27	7.7	13	10
Jase Richardson	1.08	7.6	9	8

Indiana Pacers

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Bennedict Mathurin	4.68	7.0	63	40
Pascal Siakam	4.46	7.3	79	51
Aaron Nesmith	4.14	7.4	48	35
Andrew Nembhard	3.86	7.0	95	72
Micah Potter	3.56	7.6	24

How far does Bennedict Mathurin run per game?

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who guarded whom

Paolo Banchero guarded Pascal Siakam for 6.3 minutes, over 39 possessions.
In that time, Pascal Siakam scored 8 points and made 3 of 8 shots.
Pascal Siakam guarded Paolo Banchero for 5.9 minutes, over 34 possessions.
In that time, Paolo Banchero scored 8 points and made 4 of 7 shots.
Andrew Nembhard guarded Desmond Bane for 4.9 minutes, over 22 possessions.
In that time, Desmond Bane scored 5 points and made 2 of 3 shots.

▸See all 23 matchups of two minutes or more

Orlando Magic defending

Defender	Attacker	Min	Poss	Pts (FG)
Banchero	Siakam	6.3	39	8 (3/8)
Bane	Nesmith	4.6	27	0 (0/2)
Black	Nembhard	3.7	22	2 (1/3)
Suggs	Mathurin	3.0	17	9 (1/3)
Carter	Potter	3.0	19	0 (0/0)
Bitadze	Potter	2.5	13	4 (1/2)
Carter	Huff	2.4	13	0 (0/0)
Black	Mathurin	2.3	13	0 (0/2)
Jones	Sheppard	2.3	13	2 (1/1)
Cain	Mathurin	2.1	11	0 (0/0)

Indiana Pacers defending

Defender	Attacker	Min	Poss	Pts (FG)
Siakam	Banchero	5.9	34	8 (4/7)
Nembhard	Bane	4.9	22	5 (2/3)
Potter	Carter	4.3	20	2 (0/2)
Nembhard	Black	3.9	21	6 (3/4)
McConnell	Jones	3.8	19	4 (2/2)

Matchups come from the NBA's tracking (NBA.com) for this game: how long each defender guarded each attacker and what the attacker produced in that time. Only matchups of two minutes or more are shown.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2025-26 regular season, not this game.

Orlando Magic

Jalen Suggs deflected 3.4 passes per game over his 57 games.
He ranks 16 of 399 in the league.
Desmond Bane recovered 0.7 loose balls per game over his 82 games.
He ranks 22 of 399 in the league.
Anthony Black deflected 3.0 passes per game over his 64 games.
He ranks 25 of 399 in the league.

Indiana Pacers

Jay Huff contested 8.7 shots per game over his 81 games.
He ranks 14 of 399 in the league.
Aaron Nesmith drew 0.09 charges per game over his 45 games.
He ranks 31 of 399 in the league.
T.J. McConnell recovered 0.6 loose balls per game over his 54 games.
He ranks 46 of 399 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Indiana Pacers have won 84 of their 148 games against the Orlando Magic.

84-64record of the Indiana Pacers · NBA 1989-90 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

1-2in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1989-90 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

16.504

92.1% of capacity

Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Indianapolis

Scoring

222

combined points

9.2 below the season average (231.2)